What is the most likely 2028 match-up right now? (user search)
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  What is the most likely 2028 match-up right now? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What is the most likely 2028 match up as of now?
#1
Incumbent Democrat vs. GOP challenger
 
#2
Incumbent Dem’s VP vs. GOP challenger
 
#3
Incumbent Republican vs. Dem challenger
 
#4
Incumbent GOP VP vs. Dem challenger
 
#5
Open race with no sitting president or VP
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 21

Author Topic: What is the most likely 2028 match-up right now?  (Read 788 times)
Devils30
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Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« on: May 28, 2022, 09:52:20 PM »

Start with the observation that incumbents win reelection more often than not  and then add on the non-trivial odds that a term-limited Trump wins in 2024, and the answer has to be open seat.

What about sitting Dem President who is Biden's VP....either Harris or a 2024 replacement on the ticket. Biden wins and then resigns in 2026 or dies. It can't be ruled out!
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