Which series of major party votes over the last 6 presidential elections is the most uncommon? (user search)
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  Which series of major party votes over the last 6 presidential elections is the most uncommon? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Which series of major party votes over the last 6 presidential elections is the most uncommon?  (Read 1510 times)
Schiff for Senate
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« on: May 25, 2022, 12:22:19 PM »

It's probably Bush-Kerry-McCain-Obama-Clinton-Trump. Basically a voter that swings against the national trend every time. It's also a fairly incoherent voting pattern in its own right.


This is the really hard part to explain.  Are they pro- or anti-war LOL?  And the 2012 vote rules out personal animosity against Obama.

They're a liberal Arizonan who McCain won the vote of because of favourite son effect.
Or they don't even need to be Arizonan; they could just be a moderate centre-left Democrat who likes how McCain is a 'maverick.'
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #1 on: May 25, 2022, 12:25:48 PM »


That's not totally farfetched.  An isolationist who will only vote for white men.

Or a conservative Massachusettser who really wants another Massachusettser as president (lazy answer, I know).
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Schiff for Senate
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Posts: 12,187
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 03, 2022, 06:14:13 PM »

It's probably Bush-Kerry-McCain-Obama-Clinton-Trump. Basically a voter that swings against the national trend every time. It's also a fairly incoherent voting pattern in its own right.


This is the really hard part to explain.  Are they pro- or anti-war LOL?  And the 2012 vote rules out personal animosity against Obama.

They're a liberal Arizonan who McCain won the vote of because of favourite son effect.
Or they don't even need to be Arizonan; they could just be a moderate centre-left Democrat who likes how McCain is a 'maverick.'

But why would someone like that vote Trump in 2020?

I was considering only the Kerry-McCain-Obama aspect of the vote, since that’s what Skill and Chance said he found especially baffling. Admittedly, my Kerry-McCain-Obama voter, given that they’re liberal, would probably go on to vote Clinton and then Biden.
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