NC-ECU: Trump +9

[MT Treasurer]

46% Donald Trump (R)
37% Joe Biden (D-inc.)

Biden approval: -20 (35/55)

https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/ecu-poll-ted-budd-leads-cheri-beasley-by-eight-points-among-registered-voters-in-north-carolina-republicans-lead-generic-congressional-vote-by-three-in-nc-biden-s-approval-rating-at-just-thirty-five-percent-in-the-tar-heel-state

[President Johnson]

The state will be significantly closer than that in the end, but these approvals are still somewhat worrying, even if it's 2.5 years out.

[Tekken_Guy]

When will the pollsters start polling Biden vs. DeSantis?

[jamestroll]

yea... Virginia would be very close if a rematch was held today.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

NC isn't a battleground state anymore we don't need it it's wave insurance

[sting in the rafters]

The discrepancy between Biden approvals and GCB probably reflects a number of black voters who are checked out on Joey but still reflexively back the party. Nonetheless, Lean R----> Lean R as this reflects continued deflated enthusiasm among the Democratic base because well... everything kinda sucks rn.

Edit: Young voter apathy is most certainly a factor too.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

The discrepancy between Biden approvals and GCB probably reflects a number of black voters who are checked out on Joey but still reflexively back the party. Nonetheless, Lean R----> Lean R as this reflects continued deflated enthusiasm among the Democratic base because well... everything kinda sucks rn.

It's more due to young voters. There's a ton of young voters who don't approve of Biden but are supporting dem. One poll I saw was 27 approval - 61 disapproval for Biden but 50-38 dem generic ballot among 18-29...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol, young voters will turnout for D's just like the 46% Latino vote he had lol, Romney got 60% of the White vote and 20% of the Latino vote and it was a 303 map in 2012

[2016]

Lol, young voters will turnout for D's just like the 46% Latino vote he had lol, Romney got 60% of the White vote and 20% of the Latino vote and it was a 303 map in 2012

Nonsense, young Voters & Hispanic Voters will not turn out for Democrats at the Level Obama had in 2008 & 2012 because Biden gives them nothing exciting.

[President Johnson]

Lol, young voters will turnout for D's just like the 46% Latino vote he had lol, Romney got 60% of the White vote and 20% of the Latino vote and it was a 303 map in 2012

2012 was a 332 map

[ElectionsGuy]

When will the pollsters start polling Biden vs. DeSantis?

As soon as DeSantis becomes the frontrunner for the nomination... or he's well known enough nationally to the point where he can do as well as Trump. But he's explicitly ruled out running against Trump. Until then, there's no reason to this early.

[Senator Incitatus]

This would indicate a national landslide. Seems like an outlier, even given the environment.

[President Johnson]

This would indicate a national landslide. Seems like an outlier, even given the environment.

I wouldn't either put too much stock into polls that show both candidates way under 50%. The biggest takeaway is that there are several undecided voters and I could imagine fair amount of them is not hot about either of the two polled candidates.

[Tekken_Guy]

When will the pollsters start polling Biden vs. DeSantis?

As soon as DeSantis becomes the frontrunner for the nomination... or he's well known enough nationally to the point where he can do as well as Trump. But he's explicitly ruled out running against Trump. Until then, there's no reason to this early.

Then why are some pollsters doing things like Harris vs. Trump, Buttigieg vs. Trump, even Phil Murphy vs. Trump all the time.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We don't even need NC anyways

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Lol, young voters will turnout for D's just like the 46% Latino vote he had lol, Romney got 60% of the White vote and 20% of the Latino vote and it was a 303 map in 2012

2012 was a 332 map

Romney won Florida, by a lot.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden isn't losing NC by nine pts and the SEN race is within the margin of error