A redistricting map series (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 02:16:11 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderators: muon2, 100% pro-life no matter what)
  A redistricting map series (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: A redistricting map series  (Read 1517 times)
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« on: May 13, 2022, 10:25:48 PM »
« edited: May 13, 2022, 10:35:01 PM by Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil »

My goals here will be simple.
1) segregation of rural, urban, and suburban, within reason
2) Michigan rules (no two districts can split two counties together, no exceptions except possibly VRA)
3) compactness
4) minimize county splits, but zeroing them out isn't massively important
5) +/- 1000 deviation
6) cities should be kept whole when possible, and districts should avoid unduly splitting metros
7) minority opportunity seats will generally be drawn when they are so practical
The ordering here should not be taken as some ironclad priority list.
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2022, 11:33:40 PM »
« Edited: May 14, 2022, 01:40:26 AM by Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil »


Washington state.
Seattle gets its own dedicated district, with 3 districts enveloping it from the north, west, and south.
3 districts in turn envelope these districts and together compromise about 65% or so of the land area of Washington west of the Cascades.
Then there are 3 districts covering part or all of Eastern Washington.
The Yakima district takes the borders it has so that Yakima can be kept whole, and its Hispanic percentage can exceed 35%.

WA-01: 69-28 Biden, D+19; 60W, 20A, 11H
WA-02: 54-43 Biden, D+3; 75W, 11H
WA-03: 49-48 Trump, R+3; 68W, 18H
WA-04: 57-40 Trump, R+12; 57W, 35H
WA-05: 53-44 Trump, R+8; 79W
WA-06: 51-45 Biden, D+1; 72W, 10H
WA-07: 88-10 Biden, D+39; 58W, 21A
WA-08: 57-40 Biden, D+6; 64W, 20A
WA-09: 67-30 Biden, D+17; 43W, 25A, 15H, 13B
WA-10: 60-37 Biden, D+9; 63W, 11H, 10A, 10B

https://davesredistricting.org/join/a929b10c-4b8a-44e9-bb22-8500c56bb2c5
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #2 on: May 14, 2022, 01:30:30 AM »


I've put Augusta in ME-01 for compactness reasons.

ME-01: 59-38 Biden, D+8; 89W
ME-02: 51-46 Trump, R+5; 92W

https://davesredistricting.org/join/7811f150-ae81-4a0c-82f9-5820b0f6ee99
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #3 on: May 14, 2022, 01:38:10 AM »

Looks like you split the Colville rez.
This is thorny.
I wanted to pair all of the most Latino counties in Eastern Washington in one district. All of Okanagan in WA-05 is not very compact. Michigan Rules (the most ironclad of all of the rules) de facto forces Walla Walla to be entirely within the 5th if any part of Okanagan is in the 4th.
What solutions do you see?
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #4 on: May 14, 2022, 06:25:11 AM »


One district is drawn taking in all of the Little Rock MSA and a bit of Jefferson. Another urban seat is drawn in NW AR. Rural Arkansas is drawn into two seats, drawn as compact as is possible and using the river as a border along parts of it.

AR-01: 74-23 Trump, R+27; 82W
AR-02: 53-45 Trump, R+6; 63W, 25B
AR-03: 61-36 Trump, R+16; 68W, 16B
AR-04: 63-34 Trump, R+15; 62W, 29B

https://davesredistricting.org/join/8abc600b-bf03-439c-a86c-aa169dc403e7
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #5 on: May 14, 2022, 08:05:00 AM »


This was a tough one. Ultimately, though, I decided having dedicated seats for Midland-Saginaw-Bay City, Grand Rapids, and Lansing should take top priority. This had the positive side effect of having one dedicated rural seat covering the central Lower Peninsula. The 10th ended up similar to its 2013-2023 iteration, as did the 9th. The desire to avoid racial packing influenced the lines in Metro Detroit.

Though partisanship did not drive these lines, I nonetheless ended up with a map where the median district voted quite similarly to the state as a whole.

MI-01: 59-40 Trump, R+13; 89W
MI-02: 51-47 Trump, R+5; 76W, 10B
MI-03: 50-48 Biden, R+3; 73W, 11B, 10H
MI-04: 61-38 Trump, R+13; 85W
MI-05: 50-48 Biden, R+1; 73W, 17B
MI-06: 76-23 Biden, D+25; 51B, 38B
MI-07: 55-43 Biden, D+4; 76W, 10B
MI-08: 50-48 Biden, R+1; 77W, 10B
MI-09: 55-44 Biden, D+3; 72W, 14B
MI-10: 63-35 Trump, R+17; 86W
MI-11: 55-44 Trump, R+9; 80W
MI-12: 77-22 Biden, D+26; 45B, 41W, 11H
MI-13: 51-48 Biden, R+1; 75W, 12B

https://davesredistricting.org/join/28cb493d-cd4c-44a1-b17e-aea6b50c03e9
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #6 on: May 14, 2022, 04:11:24 PM »
« Edited: May 14, 2022, 04:29:23 PM by Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil »

Looks like you split the Colville rez.
This is thorny.
I wanted to pair all of the most Latino counties in Eastern Washington in one district. All of Okanagan in WA-05 is not very compact. Michigan Rules (the most ironclad of all of the rules) de facto forces Walla Walla to be entirely within the 5th if any part of Okanagan is in the 4th.
What solutions do you see?

IMO the thing to do is to just treat rezes as their own county.

You can pretty easily make the divide in Okanagan E-W rather than SW-NE. That leaves the rez all in 5.

Btw, WA-08 isn't contiguous on your map--Skykomish is completely inaccessible.
Is it really that easy? Colville Reservation has a huge section of the southern part of the county, one that makes it perhaps difficult to keep whole while also keeping to compactness rules.
But having Okanagan all in the 5th isn't *that* bad from a compactness POV. A Walla Walla-Okanagan trade would make sense from that angle.
Btw, I'm aware of the lack of road contiguity with that little bit of WA-08. The rules favor county integrity over road contiguity. Of course, discontiguous counties are treated a bit differently - all the discontigous chunks are treated separately. But King is not such a county.
I'm actually shocked you didn't bring it up earlier.
EDIT: What would be a preferable arrangement to you: Douglas, Chelan, Okanagan in the 5th and Lincoln, Adams, Whitman, Walla Walla, Columbia, Garfield, and Asotin in the 4th, or all of Okanagan being placed in the 4th and Adams in the 5th (with some kind of mini-chop somewhere along the WA-4 and WA-5 border)? I'm leaving it up to you.
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #7 on: May 14, 2022, 04:44:56 PM »
« Edited: May 14, 2022, 04:48:47 PM by Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil »


What does this look?
Scores high on compactness. I lament having to place Franklin in the 5th but the whole make-it-as-Latino-as-possible CD angle isn't quite as important as some other things...
EDIT: Apparently part of Colville is in Ferry too. The reservation is still split.
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #8 on: May 14, 2022, 05:18:36 PM »

Is it really that easy? Colville Reservation has a huge section of the southern part of the county, one that makes it perhaps difficult to keep whole while also keeping to compactness rules.



link

Keeps all of Colville in 5.

Btw, I'm aware of the lack of road contiguity with that little bit of WA-08. The rules favor county integrity over road contiguity. Of course, discontiguous counties are treated a bit differently - all the discontigous chunks are treated separately. But King is not such a county.

I'm actually shocked you didn't bring it up earlier.

I mean, King is functionally discontinuous--keeping Skykomish in 8 is basically sacrificing logic to The Rules.
I am going to be adopting your WA-04 and WA-05 and thank you for proposing this correction. But I'll note that Skynomish was part of 8 from 1993-2003 and remain completely unmoved on where I'm placing it here.
Michigan Rules comes first. Road connectivity is secondary.
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #9 on: May 14, 2022, 10:48:12 PM »



Rural CO is given two seats. Colorado Springs and Denver get dedicated districts. A Latino influence district has been drawn, centered on Adams County and most of Aurora.

Two CDs take in 93% or so of the state's land area but only 25% of the population.

CO-01: 80-18 Biden, D+29; 54W, 28H, 11B
CO-02: 66-32 Biden, D+14; 77W, 13H
CO-03: 51-47 Trump, R+6; 74W, 19H
CO-04: 60-37 Trump, R+15; 62W, 30H
CO-05: 53-43 Trump, R+10; 66W, 18H
CO-06: 59-38 Biden, D+8; 43W, 40H, 10B
CO-07: 59-39 Biden, D+6; 74W, 16H
CO-08: 52-46 Biden, R+1; 71W, 12H

https://davesredistricting.org/join/e7404a27-4a2b-4298-9cde-d7dadecde080
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #10 on: May 16, 2022, 01:24:06 AM »



Rural CO is given two seats. Colorado Springs and Denver get dedicated districts. A Latino influence district has been drawn, centered on Adams County and most of Aurora.

Two CDs take in 93% or so of the state's land area but only 25% of the population.

CO-01: 80-18 Biden, D+29; 54W, 28H, 11B
CO-02: 66-32 Biden, D+14; 77W, 13H
CO-03: 51-47 Trump, R+6; 74W, 19H
CO-04: 60-37 Trump, R+15; 62W, 30H
CO-05: 53-43 Trump, R+10; 66W, 18H
CO-06: 59-38 Biden, D+8; 43W, 40H, 10B
CO-07: 59-39 Biden, D+6; 74W, 16H
CO-08: 52-46 Biden, R+1; 71W, 12H

https://davesredistricting.org/join/e7404a27-4a2b-4298-9cde-d7dadecde080

If only the Colorado commission would draw something this beatiful
If only...
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #11 on: May 16, 2022, 03:41:37 PM »


A dedicated Metro Jackson CD has been drawn, and taken lines that create a minority influence district. Not very happy with the compactness, but the fact this scores well on minority access and keeps the Jackson metro together makes up for that.

MS-01: 63-35 Trump, R+16; 62W, 31B
MS-02: 52-47 Biden, D+1; 52B, 43W
MS-03: 52-47 Trump, R+4; 50W, 44B
MS-04: 69-29 Trump, R+23; 66W, 24B

https://davesredistricting.org/join/427bbe1f-e496-4082-a667-dcc671f2bb80
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #12 on: May 16, 2022, 06:55:13 PM »



Had to make some tough decisions here. I considered both Ocean-to-Burlington and Ocean-to-Mercer. Ultimately, the pair-rural-with-rural thing and the fact it was impossible to avoid 3 seats being within the NJ side of the Philly metro dashed Trenton being paired with areas within the NY MSA.

I was of course able to hew to Michigan Rules and have two additional minority opportunity seats besides the mandatory black seat and the mandatory Latino seat. One of them was designed to be as Asian as was practical, the other as Hispanic as was practical. In case of the former, I sacrificed 5 percentage points of Asian % for sake of compactness and keeping the 12th more rural.

For all this to work, the city of Newark was split. Essex County was the only county in the state that was tri-chopped, rather impressive given the restraints I was working with and the fact I hewed to Michigan Rules. On a sidenote, NJ-05 here is the first EVEN district drawn.

NJ-01: 61-38 Biden, D+10; 60W, 19B, 15H
NJ-02: 51-47 Trump, R+4; 63W, 17H, 14B
NJ-03: 65-34 Biden, D+14; 53W, 21B, 15H, 11A
NJ-04: 62-37 Trump, R+15; 80W, 11H
NJ-05: 53-46 Biden, EVEN; 62W, 15A, 13H
NJ-06: 66-33 Biden, D+15; 34W, 27H, 24A, 16B
NJ-07: 73-26 Biden, D+23; 34H, 30W, 19B, 17A
NJ-08: 78-21 Biden, D+28; 48B, 27H, 22W
NJ-09: 59-40 Biden, D+7; 54W, 20A, 19H
NJ-10: 64-35 Biden, D+15; 54H, 28W, 12B
NJ-11: 55-44 Biden, D+3; 65W, 14H, 12A
NJ-12: 50-48 Trump, R+5; 72W, 12H, 10A

https://davesredistricting.org/join/1b56869f-be49-41a0-8c7b-79d5a480f57c
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #13 on: May 16, 2022, 09:41:56 PM »


Compact seats have been drawn in Richmond, the blacker parts of the Hampton Roads, and the whiter parts of it. Two seats are nested in Fairfax+jurisdictions within it. A suburban ring district has been drawn. The bulk of the Richmond metro is in just two seats. Rural VA has been drawn with mini-metro integrity, minimizing county splits, and compactness in mind.

VA-01: 53-45 Trump, R+8; 66W, 19B
VA-02: 52-46 Biden, R+1; 57W, 25H
VA-03: 65-33 Biden, D+14; 47B, 41W
VA-04: 69-30 Biden, D+17; 44W, 38B, 10H
VA-05: 49.3-49.1 Biden, R+2; 67W, 22B
VA-06: 64-35 Trump, R+17; 75W, 18B
VA-07: 56-43 Trump, R+10; 74W, 11B
VA-08: 72-26 Biden, D+21; 46W, 19A, 19H, 15B
VA-09: 66-33 Trump, R+19; 84W
VA-10: 74-24 Biden, D+23; 53W, 22A, 16H
VA-11: 64-34 Biden, D+12; 39W, 24H, 18B, 18A

https://davesredistricting.org/join/9a865b23-d326-4812-bd2b-bab2171c5e33
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #14 on: May 17, 2022, 03:21:01 AM »


The biggest challenge here was how to have simultaneously compact rural districts and not as many seats crossing out of metro Indianapolis. There are three urban-suburban seats, together compromising about 7% or so of the state's land area, but 33% of the population. Effort was taken to keep mini-metros whole.

IN-01: 53-45 Biden, D+4; 59W, 21B, 17H
IN-02: 60-38 Trump, R+13; 75W, 12H
IN-03: 64-34 Trump, R+18; 80W
IN-04: 66-32 Trump, R+21; 84W
IN-05: 53-46 Biden, EVEN; 70W, 15B
IN-06: 66-32 Trump, R+20; 86W
IN-07: 59-39 Biden, D+7; 51W, 29B, 14H
IN-08: 59-39 Trump, R+12; 86W
IN-09: 68-30 Trump, R+21; 88W

https://davesredistricting.org/join/e03934af-3993-4358-a4c4-674b1dc6fc2f
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #15 on: May 17, 2022, 05:20:18 AM »


This was very straightforward. Whole-county NV-02, and three minority opportunity seats out of what was left (NV minus NV-02 is about 40-41% white). One district was formed, centered on the city of Las Vegas, and another was drawn in the most Asian parts of Clark County. The rest formed something of a leftovers district with most of the eastern half of the built-up part of Clark County. To confirm to rural being paired with rural and so on, all the empty parts of Clark are within one congressional district.

NV-01: 54-44 Biden, D+4; 39W, 36H, 15B
NV-02: 54-43 Trump, R+8; 63W, 23H
NV-03: 53-45 Biden, D+3; 42W, 23H, 21A, 13B
NV-04: 51-47 Biden, D+1; 41W, 33H, 16B

https://davesredistricting.org/join/f578bcf5-88af-4cf6-b782-045e823a6b16
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #16 on: May 17, 2022, 05:45:24 PM »
« Edited: May 17, 2022, 05:50:33 PM by Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil »



Had to make some tough decisions here. I considered both Ocean-to-Burlington and Ocean-to-Mercer. Ultimately, the pair-rural-with-rural thing and the fact it was impossible to avoid 3 seats being within the NJ side of the Philly metro dashed Trenton being paired with areas within the NY MSA.

I was of course able to hew to Michigan Rules and have two additional minority opportunity seats besides the mandatory black seat and the mandatory Latino seat. One of them was designed to be as Asian as was practical, the other as Hispanic as was practical. In case of the former, I sacrificed 5 percentage points of Asian % for sake of compactness and keeping the 12th more rural.

For all this to work, the city of Newark was split. Essex County was the only county in the state that was tri-chopped, rather impressive given the restraints I was working with and the fact I hewed to Michigan Rules. On a sidenote, NJ-05 here is the first EVEN district drawn.

NJ-01: 61-38 Biden, D+10; 60W, 19B, 15H
NJ-02: 51-47 Trump, R+4; 63W, 17H, 14B
NJ-03: 65-34 Biden, D+14; 53W, 21B, 15H, 11A
NJ-04: 62-37 Trump, R+15; 80W, 11H
NJ-05: 53-46 Biden, EVEN; 62W, 15A, 13H
NJ-06: 66-33 Biden, D+15; 34W, 27H, 24A, 16B
NJ-07: 73-26 Biden, D+23; 34H, 30W, 19B, 17A
NJ-08: 78-21 Biden, D+28; 48B, 27H, 22W
NJ-09: 59-40 Biden, D+7; 54W, 20A, 19H
NJ-10: 64-35 Biden, D+15; 54H, 28W, 12B
NJ-11: 55-44 Biden, D+3; 65W, 14H, 12A
NJ-12: 50-48 Trump, R+5; 72W, 12H, 10A

https://davesredistricting.org/join/1b56869f-be49-41a0-8c7b-79d5a480f57c

Why did you choose to pack Republican voters in one North Jersey seat (your NJ-12) when they could be used instead to make NJ-11 more competitive.
Unlike most redistricting series I have made, segregation of urban and rural is an explicit part of the criteria, and I do not balance for partisan fairness. These maps are driven by non-partisanship-defined criteria.
You could argue that the way things are, it actually helps Rs I've drawn things this way. It could have ended up worse, especially given that the criteria leads to D trending suburban turf being placed with firmly R rurals anyway.
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #17 on: May 17, 2022, 06:26:26 PM »
« Edited: May 17, 2022, 06:29:36 PM by Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil »


Two metro seats, and two rural ones.
It proved impossible to draw Waterloo into an urban seat for compactness reasons. In respect to Iowa law, I zeroed out county splits.
Two districts cover 85% of the state's land area. Funnily enough I ended up with the same Des Moines seat as Sol has.

IA-01: 61-37 Trump, R+14; 86W
IA-02: 54-44 Biden, D+3; 82W
IA-03: 53-45 Biden, D+2; 78W
IA-04: 63-35 Trump, R+16; 85W

https://davesredistricting.org/join/cbd5b818-7ea1-45cb-813e-bf05d73ae744
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #18 on: May 17, 2022, 06:47:40 PM »


All of Western MT is one district except for Helena. The split was placed where it was so that two precincts directly bordering Helena would be placed along with it, and no mini-metros would be chopped. MT-02 would be among the most Native districts in the country.

MT-01: 53-44 Trump, R+7; 87W
MT-02: 61-36 Trump, R+15; 80W, 13N

https://davesredistricting.org/join/b7223205-ea40-4257-8bdb-05dd6876f450
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #19 on: May 17, 2022, 07:22:54 PM »


Effort was taken to have two compact districts. Completely unifying the Providence metro would have been too ugly, forcing the western parts of it to be placed in the more rural district. No towns are split, except for Cranston; the two most westward precincts were placed in the 2nd. While creating a competitive district was not a goal, the side-effect of creating an uber-rural RI CD is that you have a district that is winnable for Republicans, if still a long shot.

RI-01: 65-33 Biden, D+15; 52W, 28H, 15B
RI-02: 55-43 Biden, D+3; 86W

https://davesredistricting.org/join/f12de246-b2f1-47ac-8eeb-ffea91b0cee3
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #20 on: May 18, 2022, 12:18:31 AM »
« Edited: May 18, 2022, 12:26:08 AM by Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil »


This was very straightforward. Whole-county NV-02, and three minority opportunity seats out of what was left (NV minus NV-02 is about 40-41% white). One district was formed, centered on the city of Las Vegas, and another was drawn in the most Asian parts of Clark County. The rest formed something of a leftovers district with most of the eastern half of the built-up part of Clark County. To confirm to rural being paired with rural and so on, all the empty parts of Clark are within one congressional district.

NV-01: 54-44 Biden, D+4; 39W, 36H, 15B
NV-02: 54-43 Trump, R+8; 63W, 23H
NV-03: 53-45 Biden, D+3; 42W, 23H, 21A, 13B
NV-04: 51-47 Biden, D+1; 41W, 33H, 16B

https://davesredistricting.org/join/f578bcf5-88af-4cf6-b782-045e823a6b16

Firstly, why didn’t Dems do smtg like this instead of their god awful tri-chop? I swear even though top line it may look clean I rlly hate the new NV map as there’s not a single district contained to Las Vegas and city lines seem completely ignored.

I really hope Nevada gains a 5th district in 2030. It'd make a good map fall a lot more naturally and would create a rural exclusive district rather than having a Reno + rurals and Las Vegas + rurals district. It'd also likely allow for an actual Hispanic VRA seat in vegas.

Also it’s weird looking at such urban and diverse seats voting so narrowly D.
https://davesredistricting.org/join/f16ff584-6ce1-48c1-8798-5e1ec7d5a4f2
This is what a 5 seat map would look like under 2020 numbers. It's inevitable that rural NV will be paired with something, but this is certainly something of a "rural interest seat".
As for the narrowness of the D margins, I suspect they are harder to overturn than they look like on paper, sans a 2014-type year.
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #21 on: May 18, 2022, 04:15:56 AM »



There was conflict between creating minority opportunity seats, compactness, pairing rural with rural and urban with urban, and avoiding seats splitting metros too much. Ultimately, I put as much of the built-up Macon metro in the 2nd. The 3rd is horridly uncompact but can't be helped. The 10th and 13th are part of an "outer ring" taken in newer suburbia and exurbia.

The 11th is a new minority opportunity seat, and is likely to elect a black Democrat. The 4th is now counterminous with DeKalb county. 50% of the state's population resides in 7 CDs that have only 13-14% of the land area.

GA-01: 53-45 Trump, R+6; 54W, 34B
GA-02: 55-44 Biden, D+3; 50B, 41W
GA-03: 66-33 Trump, R+19; 63W, 30B
GA-04: 83-16 Biden, D+32; 53B, 28W, 11H
GA-05: 77-22 Biden, D+26; 58B, 31W
GA-06: 51-47 Biden, R+3; 60W, 16B, 13A, 10H
GA-07: 63-36 Biden, D+9; 33B, 28W, 25H, 14A
GA-08: 67-32 Trump, R+20; 60W, 28B
GA-09: 75-23 Trump, R+30; 77W, 12H
GA-10: 66-33 Trump, R+22; 62W, 13H, 12B, 12A
GA-11: 57-42 Biden, D+3; 43W, 37B, 15H
GA-12: 50-49 Trump, R+3; 54W, 35B
GA-13: 67-32 Biden, D+14; 60B, 26W, 14H
GA-14: 75-24 Trump, R+28; 74W, 12H, 10B

https://davesredistricting.org/join/ccf2e25f-e14b-4278-ad97-c1935444e9ee
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #22 on: May 26, 2022, 10:13:25 AM »



Effort was made to keep the cores of mini-metros intact, since keeping the counties themselves whole was difficult given geography. This was done with some success. The Portland metropolitan area has two urban/suburban seats and two exurban/rural ones that cross out of it. This was a decision I took for sake of compactness, to avoid an awkward looping around Washington County.
The new 6th is R-leaning, but probably D-trending, given its large portion of Multnomah and having all of Clackamas. Half of the population is in 3 CDs that have 10% or so of the population. Portland is whole in the 3rd, which, shockingly, is not Republican leaning.

OR-01: 66-31 Biden, D+15; 64W, 16H, 13A
OR-02: 56-41 Trump, R+12; 75W, 16H
OR-03: 83-15 Biden, D+33; 66W, 12H, 11A
OR-04: 50-47 Biden, R+1; 80W
OR-05: 53-44 Biden, D+2; 72W, 17H
OR-06: 51-46 Trump, R+5; 74W, 14H

https://davesredistricting.org/join/9f44f395-c6bc-43de-bc83-7c5ae6600db7
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #23 on: May 30, 2022, 03:37:56 PM »

California up next.
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,451
United States


« Reply #24 on: May 30, 2022, 06:05:03 PM »
« Edited: May 30, 2022, 07:33:20 PM by Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil »


This was a big one, I'm splitting this up into Northern California, Southern California less LA, and LA County. One observation I'd make though, is that the CDs bordering Nevada have roughly 55% of the land area of the state (rough estimate), while having only 8% of the population.

Ultimately, I needed CA-01 to cross both sides of the Coastal Ranges to make a dedicated rural  Jefferson seat, and I wanted to keep the county that had Butte whole as I considered it a mini-metro. There's one very rural CD, one exurban-mini metro one taking in outer parts of the Sacremento metro, one urban seat centered on Sacremento proper, and two largely suburban ones right next to it.

In the Bay Area, I avoided water crossings. It was a happy accident no district had to leave Santa Clara and extend into San Benito. Minority opportunity was a factor in the lines, as it was one of the major criteria. There was an effort at drawing a Latino influence seat in Santa Clara, but it failed. I created two strong Asian plurality seats in Alamada and Santa Clara counties. I didn't have to expend serious effort to consciously draw minority seats here, because they draw themselves.

In the Central Valley, it was necessary to have Michigan Rules as it was part of the criteria, so this narrowed the range of possible configurations. A "leftovers" district, its shape heavily influenced by the Hispanic seats, runs from the Kern County line to exurban Sacramento. Fresno has a district to itself.

CA-01: 51-47 Trump, R+5; 67W, 19H
CA-02: 77-21 Biden, D+27; 61W, 26H
CA-03: 51-47 Trump, R+5; 66W, 19H
CA-04: 50-47 Trump, R+4; 62W, 17H, 13A
CA-05: 72-26 Biden, D+22; 34W, 27H, 21A, 15B
CA-06: 60-38 Biden, D+10; 40W, 26H, 23A
CA-07: 75-23 Biden, D+26; 32H, 31W, 21A, 15B
CA-08: 68-30 Biden, D+18; 43W, 26H, 21A, 10B
CA-09: 57-41 Biden, D+7; 42H, 27W, 21A, 10B
CA-10: 86-12 Biden, D+38; 43W, 35A, 14H
CA-11: 77-21 Biden, D+28; 40A, 32W, 23H
CA-12: 89-9 Biden, D+41; 33W, 25A, 24H, 18B
CA-13: 71-27 Biden, D+22; 40A, 28W, 24H
CA-14: 78-20 Biden, D+29; 46A, 31W, 19H
CA-15: 78-21 Biden, D+25; 45A, 35H, 16W
CA-16: 71-27 Biden, D+21; 37W, 37A, 22H
CA-17: 53-45 Biden, D+3; 55H, 31W
CA-18: 57-41 Trump, R+11; 49H, 43W
CA-19: 55-43 Biden, D+4; 48H, 28W, 15A
CA-20: 73-25 Biden, D+24; 52H, 37W

https://davesredistricting.org/join/edd8554e-4eb8-4c62-81fe-0092da3d86a3
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 12 queries.