A redistricting map series
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May 21, 2022, 05:58:40 PM
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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« on: May 13, 2022, 10:25:48 PM »
« edited: May 13, 2022, 10:35:01 PM by Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil »

My goals here will be simple.
1) segregation of rural, urban, and suburban, within reason
2) Michigan rules (no two districts can split two counties together, no exceptions except possibly VRA)
3) compactness
4) minimize county splits, but zeroing them out isn't massively important
5) +/- 1000 deviation
6) cities should be kept whole when possible, and districts should avoid unduly splitting metros
7) minority opportunity seats will generally be drawn when they are so practical
The ordering here should not be taken as some ironclad priority list.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2022, 10:35:06 PM »

Excited to see!
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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #2 on: May 13, 2022, 11:33:40 PM »
« Edited: May 14, 2022, 01:40:26 AM by Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil »


Washington state.
Seattle gets its own dedicated district, with 3 districts enveloping it from the north, west, and south.
3 districts in turn envelope these districts and together compromise about 65% or so of the land area of Washington west of the Cascades.
Then there are 3 districts covering part or all of Eastern Washington.
The Yakima district takes the borders it has so that Yakima can be kept whole, and its Hispanic percentage can exceed 35%.

WA-01: 69-28 Biden, D+19; 60W, 20A, 11H
WA-02: 54-43 Biden, D+3; 75W, 11H
WA-03: 49-48 Trump, R+3; 68W, 18H
WA-04: 57-40 Trump, R+12; 57W, 35H
WA-05: 53-44 Trump, R+8; 79W
WA-06: 51-45 Biden, D+1; 72W, 10H
WA-07: 88-10 Biden, D+39; 58W, 21A
WA-08: 57-40 Biden, D+6; 64W, 20A
WA-09: 67-30 Biden, D+17; 43W, 25A, 15H, 13B
WA-10: 60-37 Biden, D+9; 63W, 11H, 10A, 10B

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Sol
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« Reply #3 on: May 14, 2022, 12:45:37 AM »

Looks like you split the Colville rez.
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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #4 on: May 14, 2022, 01:30:30 AM »


I've put Augusta in ME-01 for compactness reasons.

ME-01: 59-38 Biden, D+8; 89W
ME-02: 51-46 Trump, R+5; 92W

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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #5 on: May 14, 2022, 01:38:10 AM »

Looks like you split the Colville rez.
This is thorny.
I wanted to pair all of the most Latino counties in Eastern Washington in one district. All of Okanagan in WA-05 is not very compact. Michigan Rules (the most ironclad of all of the rules) de facto forces Walla Walla to be entirely within the 5th if any part of Okanagan is in the 4th.
What solutions do you see?
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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #6 on: May 14, 2022, 06:25:11 AM »


One district is drawn taking in all of the Little Rock MSA and a bit of Jefferson. Another urban seat is drawn in NW AR. Rural Arkansas is drawn into two seats, drawn as compact as is possible and using the river as a border along parts of it.

AR-01: 74-23 Trump, R+27; 82W
AR-02: 53-45 Trump, R+6; 63W, 25B
AR-03: 61-36 Trump, R+16; 68W, 16B
AR-04: 63-34 Trump, R+15; 62W, 29B

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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #7 on: May 14, 2022, 08:05:00 AM »


This was a tough one. Ultimately, though, I decided having dedicated seats for Midland-Saginaw-Bay City, Grand Rapids, and Lansing should take top priority. This had the positive side effect of having one dedicated rural seat covering the central Lower Peninsula. The 10th ended up similar to its 2013-2023 iteration, as did the 9th. The desire to avoid racial packing influenced the lines in Metro Detroit.

Though partisanship did not drive these lines, I nonetheless ended up with a map where the median district voted quite similarly to the state as a whole.

MI-01: 59-40 Trump, R+13; 89W
MI-02: 51-47 Trump, R+5; 76W, 10B
MI-03: 50-48 Biden, R+3; 73W, 11B, 10H
MI-04: 61-38 Trump, R+13; 85W
MI-05: 50-48 Biden, R+1; 73W, 17B
MI-06: 76-23 Biden, D+25; 51B, 38B
MI-07: 55-43 Biden, D+4; 76W, 10B
MI-08: 50-48 Biden, R+1; 77W, 10B
MI-09: 55-44 Biden, D+3; 72W, 14B
MI-10: 63-35 Trump, R+17; 86W
MI-11: 55-44 Trump, R+9; 80W
MI-12: 77-22 Biden, D+26; 45B, 41W, 11H
MI-13: 51-48 Biden, R+1; 75W, 12B

https://davesredistricting.org/join/28cb493d-cd4c-44a1-b17e-aea6b50c03e9
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Sol
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« Reply #8 on: May 14, 2022, 12:40:43 PM »

Looks like you split the Colville rez.
This is thorny.
I wanted to pair all of the most Latino counties in Eastern Washington in one district. All of Okanagan in WA-05 is not very compact. Michigan Rules (the most ironclad of all of the rules) de facto forces Walla Walla to be entirely within the 5th if any part of Okanagan is in the 4th.
What solutions do you see?

IMO the thing to do is to just treat rezes as their own county.

You can pretty easily make the divide in Okanagan E-W rather than SW-NE. That leaves the rez all in 5.

Btw, WA-08 isn't contiguous on your map--Skykomish is completely inaccessible.
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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #9 on: May 14, 2022, 04:11:24 PM »
« Edited: May 14, 2022, 04:29:23 PM by Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil »

Looks like you split the Colville rez.
This is thorny.
I wanted to pair all of the most Latino counties in Eastern Washington in one district. All of Okanagan in WA-05 is not very compact. Michigan Rules (the most ironclad of all of the rules) de facto forces Walla Walla to be entirely within the 5th if any part of Okanagan is in the 4th.
What solutions do you see?

IMO the thing to do is to just treat rezes as their own county.

You can pretty easily make the divide in Okanagan E-W rather than SW-NE. That leaves the rez all in 5.

Btw, WA-08 isn't contiguous on your map--Skykomish is completely inaccessible.
Is it really that easy? Colville Reservation has a huge section of the southern part of the county, one that makes it perhaps difficult to keep whole while also keeping to compactness rules.
But having Okanagan all in the 5th isn't *that* bad from a compactness POV. A Walla Walla-Okanagan trade would make sense from that angle.
Btw, I'm aware of the lack of road contiguity with that little bit of WA-08. The rules favor county integrity over road contiguity. Of course, discontiguous counties are treated a bit differently - all the discontigous chunks are treated separately. But King is not such a county.
I'm actually shocked you didn't bring it up earlier.
EDIT: What would be a preferable arrangement to you: Douglas, Chelan, Okanagan in the 5th and Lincoln, Adams, Whitman, Walla Walla, Columbia, Garfield, and Asotin in the 4th, or all of Okanagan being placed in the 4th and Adams in the 5th (with some kind of mini-chop somewhere along the WA-4 and WA-5 border)? I'm leaving it up to you.
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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #10 on: May 14, 2022, 04:44:56 PM »
« Edited: May 14, 2022, 04:48:47 PM by Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil »


What does this look?
Scores high on compactness. I lament having to place Franklin in the 5th but the whole make-it-as-Latino-as-possible CD angle isn't quite as important as some other things...
EDIT: Apparently part of Colville is in Ferry too. The reservation is still split.
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Sol
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« Reply #11 on: May 14, 2022, 05:10:48 PM »

Is it really that easy? Colville Reservation has a huge section of the southern part of the county, one that makes it perhaps difficult to keep whole while also keeping to compactness rules.



link

Keeps all of Colville in 5.

Btw, I'm aware of the lack of road contiguity with that little bit of WA-08. The rules favor county integrity over road contiguity. Of course, discontiguous counties are treated a bit differently - all the discontigous chunks are treated separately. But King is not such a county.

I'm actually shocked you didn't bring it up earlier.

I mean, King is functionally discontinuous--keeping Skykomish in 8 is basically sacrificing logic to The Rules.
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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #12 on: May 14, 2022, 05:18:36 PM »

Is it really that easy? Colville Reservation has a huge section of the southern part of the county, one that makes it perhaps difficult to keep whole while also keeping to compactness rules.



link

Keeps all of Colville in 5.

Btw, I'm aware of the lack of road contiguity with that little bit of WA-08. The rules favor county integrity over road contiguity. Of course, discontiguous counties are treated a bit differently - all the discontigous chunks are treated separately. But King is not such a county.

I'm actually shocked you didn't bring it up earlier.

I mean, King is functionally discontinuous--keeping Skykomish in 8 is basically sacrificing logic to The Rules.
I am going to be adopting your WA-04 and WA-05 and thank you for proposing this correction. But I'll note that Skynomish was part of 8 from 1993-2003 and remain completely unmoved on where I'm placing it here.
Michigan Rules comes first. Road connectivity is secondary.
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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #13 on: May 14, 2022, 10:48:12 PM »



Rural CO is given two seats. Colorado Springs and Denver get dedicated districts. A Latino influence district has been drawn, centered on Adams County and most of Aurora.

Two CDs take in 93% or so of the state's land area but only 25% of the population.

CO-01: 80-18 Biden, D+29; 54W, 28H, 11B
CO-02: 66-32 Biden, D+14; 77W, 13H
CO-03: 51-47 Trump, R+6; 74W, 19H
CO-04: 60-37 Trump, R+15; 62W, 30H
CO-05: 53-43 Trump, R+10; 66W, 18H
CO-06: 59-38 Biden, D+8; 43W, 40H, 10B
CO-07: 59-39 Biden, D+6; 74W, 16H
CO-08: 52-46 Biden, R+1; 71W, 12H

https://davesredistricting.org/join/e7404a27-4a2b-4298-9cde-d7dadecde080
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« Reply #14 on: May 15, 2022, 09:10:51 PM »



Rural CO is given two seats. Colorado Springs and Denver get dedicated districts. A Latino influence district has been drawn, centered on Adams County and most of Aurora.

Two CDs take in 93% or so of the state's land area but only 25% of the population.

CO-01: 80-18 Biden, D+29; 54W, 28H, 11B
CO-02: 66-32 Biden, D+14; 77W, 13H
CO-03: 51-47 Trump, R+6; 74W, 19H
CO-04: 60-37 Trump, R+15; 62W, 30H
CO-05: 53-43 Trump, R+10; 66W, 18H
CO-06: 59-38 Biden, D+8; 43W, 40H, 10B
CO-07: 59-39 Biden, D+6; 74W, 16H
CO-08: 52-46 Biden, R+1; 71W, 12H

https://davesredistricting.org/join/e7404a27-4a2b-4298-9cde-d7dadecde080

If only the Colorado commission would draw something this beatiful
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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #15 on: May 16, 2022, 01:24:06 AM »



Rural CO is given two seats. Colorado Springs and Denver get dedicated districts. A Latino influence district has been drawn, centered on Adams County and most of Aurora.

Two CDs take in 93% or so of the state's land area but only 25% of the population.

CO-01: 80-18 Biden, D+29; 54W, 28H, 11B
CO-02: 66-32 Biden, D+14; 77W, 13H
CO-03: 51-47 Trump, R+6; 74W, 19H
CO-04: 60-37 Trump, R+15; 62W, 30H
CO-05: 53-43 Trump, R+10; 66W, 18H
CO-06: 59-38 Biden, D+8; 43W, 40H, 10B
CO-07: 59-39 Biden, D+6; 74W, 16H
CO-08: 52-46 Biden, R+1; 71W, 12H

https://davesredistricting.org/join/e7404a27-4a2b-4298-9cde-d7dadecde080

If only the Colorado commission would draw something this beatiful
If only...
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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #16 on: May 16, 2022, 03:41:37 PM »


A dedicated Metro Jackson CD has been drawn, and taken lines that create a minority influence district. Not very happy with the compactness, but the fact this scores well on minority access and keeps the Jackson metro together makes up for that.

MS-01: 63-35 Trump, R+16; 62W, 31B
MS-02: 52-47 Biden, D+1; 52B, 43W
MS-03: 52-47 Trump, R+4; 50W, 44B
MS-04: 69-29 Trump, R+23; 66W, 24B

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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #17 on: May 16, 2022, 06:55:13 PM »



Had to make some tough decisions here. I considered both Ocean-to-Burlington and Ocean-to-Mercer. Ultimately, the pair-rural-with-rural thing and the fact it was impossible to avoid 3 seats being within the NJ side of the Philly metro dashed Trenton being paired with areas within the NY MSA.

I was of course able to hew to Michigan Rules and have two additional minority opportunity seats besides the mandatory black seat and the mandatory Latino seat. One of them was designed to be as Asian as was practical, the other as Hispanic as was practical. In case of the former, I sacrificed 5 percentage points of Asian % for sake of compactness and keeping the 12th more rural.

For all this to work, the city of Newark was split. Essex County was the only county in the state that was tri-chopped, rather impressive given the restraints I was working with and the fact I hewed to Michigan Rules. On a sidenote, NJ-05 here is the first EVEN district drawn.

NJ-01: 61-38 Biden, D+10; 60W, 19B, 15H
NJ-02: 51-47 Trump, R+4; 63W, 17H, 14B
NJ-03: 65-34 Biden, D+14; 53W, 21B, 15H, 11A
NJ-04: 62-37 Trump, R+15; 80W, 11H
NJ-05: 53-46 Biden, EVEN; 62W, 15A, 13H
NJ-06: 66-33 Biden, D+15; 34W, 27H, 24A, 16B
NJ-07: 73-26 Biden, D+23; 34H, 30W, 19B, 17A
NJ-08: 78-21 Biden, D+28; 48B, 27H, 22W
NJ-09: 59-40 Biden, D+7; 54W, 20A, 19H
NJ-10: 64-35 Biden, D+15; 54H, 28W, 12B
NJ-11: 55-44 Biden, D+3; 65W, 14H, 12A
NJ-12: 50-48 Trump, R+5; 72W, 12H, 10A

https://davesredistricting.org/join/1b56869f-be49-41a0-8c7b-79d5a480f57c
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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #18 on: May 16, 2022, 09:41:56 PM »


Compact seats have been drawn in Richmond, the blacker parts of the Hampton Roads, and the whiter parts of it. Two seats are nested in Fairfax+jurisdictions within it. A suburban ring district has been drawn. The bulk of the Richmond metro is in just two seats. Rural VA has been drawn with mini-metro integrity, minimizing county splits, and compactness in mind.

VA-01: 53-45 Trump, R+8; 66W, 19B
VA-02: 52-46 Biden, R+1; 57W, 25H
VA-03: 65-33 Biden, D+14; 47B, 41W
VA-04: 69-30 Biden, D+17; 44W, 38B, 10H
VA-05: 49.3-49.1 Biden, R+2; 67W, 22B
VA-06: 64-35 Trump, R+17; 75W, 18B
VA-07: 56-43 Trump, R+10; 74W, 11B
VA-08: 72-26 Biden, D+21; 46W, 19A, 19H, 15B
VA-09: 66-33 Trump, R+19; 84W
VA-10: 74-24 Biden, D+23; 53W, 22A, 16H
VA-11: 64-34 Biden, D+12; 39W, 24H, 18B, 18A

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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #19 on: May 17, 2022, 03:21:01 AM »


The biggest challenge here was how to have simultaneously compact rural districts and not as many seats crossing out of metro Indianapolis. There are three urban-suburban seats, together compromising about 7% or so of the state's land area, but 33% of the population. Effort was taken to keep mini-metros whole.

IN-01: 53-45 Biden, D+4; 59W, 21B, 17H
IN-02: 60-38 Trump, R+13; 75W, 12H
IN-03: 64-34 Trump, R+18; 80W
IN-04: 66-32 Trump, R+21; 84W
IN-05: 53-46 Biden, EVEN; 70W, 15B
IN-06: 66-32 Trump, R+20; 86W
IN-07: 59-39 Biden, D+7; 51W, 29B, 14H
IN-08: 59-39 Trump, R+12; 86W
IN-09: 68-30 Trump, R+21; 88W

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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #20 on: May 17, 2022, 05:20:18 AM »


This was very straightforward. Whole-county NV-02, and three minority opportunity seats out of what was left (NV minus NV-02 is about 40-41% white). One district was formed, centered on the city of Las Vegas, and another was drawn in the most Asian parts of Clark County. The rest formed something of a leftovers district with most of the eastern half of the built-up part of Clark County. To confirm to rural being paired with rural and so on, all the empty parts of Clark are within one congressional district.

NV-01: 54-44 Biden, D+4; 39W, 36H, 15B
NV-02: 54-43 Trump, R+8; 63W, 23H
NV-03: 53-45 Biden, D+3; 42W, 23H, 21A, 13B
NV-04: 51-47 Biden, D+1; 41W, 33H, 16B

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« Reply #21 on: May 17, 2022, 04:01:22 PM »



Had to make some tough decisions here. I considered both Ocean-to-Burlington and Ocean-to-Mercer. Ultimately, the pair-rural-with-rural thing and the fact it was impossible to avoid 3 seats being within the NJ side of the Philly metro dashed Trenton being paired with areas within the NY MSA.

I was of course able to hew to Michigan Rules and have two additional minority opportunity seats besides the mandatory black seat and the mandatory Latino seat. One of them was designed to be as Asian as was practical, the other as Hispanic as was practical. In case of the former, I sacrificed 5 percentage points of Asian % for sake of compactness and keeping the 12th more rural.

For all this to work, the city of Newark was split. Essex County was the only county in the state that was tri-chopped, rather impressive given the restraints I was working with and the fact I hewed to Michigan Rules. On a sidenote, NJ-05 here is the first EVEN district drawn.

NJ-01: 61-38 Biden, D+10; 60W, 19B, 15H
NJ-02: 51-47 Trump, R+4; 63W, 17H, 14B
NJ-03: 65-34 Biden, D+14; 53W, 21B, 15H, 11A
NJ-04: 62-37 Trump, R+15; 80W, 11H
NJ-05: 53-46 Biden, EVEN; 62W, 15A, 13H
NJ-06: 66-33 Biden, D+15; 34W, 27H, 24A, 16B
NJ-07: 73-26 Biden, D+23; 34H, 30W, 19B, 17A
NJ-08: 78-21 Biden, D+28; 48B, 27H, 22W
NJ-09: 59-40 Biden, D+7; 54W, 20A, 19H
NJ-10: 64-35 Biden, D+15; 54H, 28W, 12B
NJ-11: 55-44 Biden, D+3; 65W, 14H, 12A
NJ-12: 50-48 Trump, R+5; 72W, 12H, 10A

https://davesredistricting.org/join/1b56869f-be49-41a0-8c7b-79d5a480f57c

Why did you choose to pack Republican voters in one North Jersey seat (your NJ-12) when they could be used instead to make NJ-11 more competitive.
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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #22 on: May 17, 2022, 05:45:24 PM »
« Edited: May 17, 2022, 05:50:33 PM by Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil »



Had to make some tough decisions here. I considered both Ocean-to-Burlington and Ocean-to-Mercer. Ultimately, the pair-rural-with-rural thing and the fact it was impossible to avoid 3 seats being within the NJ side of the Philly metro dashed Trenton being paired with areas within the NY MSA.

I was of course able to hew to Michigan Rules and have two additional minority opportunity seats besides the mandatory black seat and the mandatory Latino seat. One of them was designed to be as Asian as was practical, the other as Hispanic as was practical. In case of the former, I sacrificed 5 percentage points of Asian % for sake of compactness and keeping the 12th more rural.

For all this to work, the city of Newark was split. Essex County was the only county in the state that was tri-chopped, rather impressive given the restraints I was working with and the fact I hewed to Michigan Rules. On a sidenote, NJ-05 here is the first EVEN district drawn.

NJ-01: 61-38 Biden, D+10; 60W, 19B, 15H
NJ-02: 51-47 Trump, R+4; 63W, 17H, 14B
NJ-03: 65-34 Biden, D+14; 53W, 21B, 15H, 11A
NJ-04: 62-37 Trump, R+15; 80W, 11H
NJ-05: 53-46 Biden, EVEN; 62W, 15A, 13H
NJ-06: 66-33 Biden, D+15; 34W, 27H, 24A, 16B
NJ-07: 73-26 Biden, D+23; 34H, 30W, 19B, 17A
NJ-08: 78-21 Biden, D+28; 48B, 27H, 22W
NJ-09: 59-40 Biden, D+7; 54W, 20A, 19H
NJ-10: 64-35 Biden, D+15; 54H, 28W, 12B
NJ-11: 55-44 Biden, D+3; 65W, 14H, 12A
NJ-12: 50-48 Trump, R+5; 72W, 12H, 10A

https://davesredistricting.org/join/1b56869f-be49-41a0-8c7b-79d5a480f57c

Why did you choose to pack Republican voters in one North Jersey seat (your NJ-12) when they could be used instead to make NJ-11 more competitive.
Unlike most redistricting series I have made, segregation of urban and rural is an explicit part of the criteria, and I do not balance for partisan fairness. These maps are driven by non-partisanship-defined criteria.
You could argue that the way things are, it actually helps Rs I've drawn things this way. It could have ended up worse, especially given that the criteria leads to D trending suburban turf being placed with firmly R rurals anyway.
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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #23 on: May 17, 2022, 06:26:26 PM »
« Edited: May 17, 2022, 06:29:36 PM by Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil »


Two metro seats, and two rural ones.
It proved impossible to draw Waterloo into an urban seat for compactness reasons. In respect to Iowa law, I zeroed out county splits.
Two districts cover 85% of the state's land area. Funnily enough I ended up with the same Des Moines seat as Sol has.

IA-01: 61-37 Trump, R+14; 86W
IA-02: 54-44 Biden, D+3; 82W
IA-03: 53-45 Biden, D+2; 78W
IA-04: 63-35 Trump, R+16; 85W

https://davesredistricting.org/join/cbd5b818-7ea1-45cb-813e-bf05d73ae744
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Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #24 on: May 17, 2022, 06:47:40 PM »


All of Western MT is one district except for Helena. The split was placed where it was so that two precincts directly bordering Helena would be placed along with it, and no mini-metros would be chopped. MT-02 would be among the most Native districts in the country.

MT-01: 53-44 Trump, R+7; 87W
MT-02: 61-36 Trump, R+15; 80W, 13N

https://davesredistricting.org/join/b7223205-ea40-4257-8bdb-05dd6876f450
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