More likely to be governor? Lake or Lombardo?

[Tekken_Guy]

Who is more likely to be governor? Kari Lake or Joe Lombardo?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lake, NV has a D Federal and state legislature and AZ has a GOP State legislation

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Lombardo.  I actually think Sisolak may end up under-performing Cortez-Masto.  Plus, Lake has a high risk of blowing the GE between now and November.  OTOH, Lombardo seems like a strong recruit who will likely be able to hold whatever lead he has for more than a few months.  Additionally, there aren’t gonna be any #NeverLombardo Republicans, but I think some folks will cross over in AZ just b/c Lake really is that awful (and probably has more skeletons in her closet, I should add).  Finally, things have been looking utterly abysmal in NV all cycle (even before the national numbers started going down the drain).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lombardo.  I actually think Sisolak may end up under-performing Cortez-Masto.  Plus, Lake has a high risk of blowing the GE between now and November.  OTOH, Lombardo seems like a strong recruit who will likely be able to hold whatever lead he has for more than a few months.  Additionally, there aren’t gonna be any #NeverLombardo Republicans, but I think some folks will cross over in AZ just b/c Lake really is that awful (and probably has more skeletons in her closet, I should add).  Finally, things have been looking utterly abysmal in NV all cycle (even before the national numbers started going down the drain).

SISOLAK is leading 46(33

[xavier110]

Lake. People over estimate her ability to be a gaffe machine. While she’s nuts and opportunistic, she is a former broadcaster who knows how to communicate, even if what she says is bizarre or unfounded. I doubt she implodes before the general if she wins the nomination.

[Schiff for Senate]

Kari Lake

[LAB-LIB]

Lake, but they're both favored right now.

[Xing]

Lake, since I expect Arizona to still vote a few points to the right of Nevada.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lake, but they're both favored right now.

Yeah Sisolak is so bad he is leading 46/33

[LAB-LIB]

Lake, but they're both favored right now.

Yeah Sisolak is so bad he is leading 46/33

Yeah, and the polls have been spot on the last few cycles.

[Utah Neolib]

Lombardo. I’ve said this before and I’ll say it again: Lombardo has assembled a coalition of voters from suburban Vegas voters who liked him being Sheriff to big MAGA types. I actually think Lake will lose (very narrowly) due to the fact that she is a uniquely bad candidate in a swing state. Lake is going to be the classic midterm exception loss.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lake, but they're both favored right now.

Yeah Sisolak is so bad he is leading 46/33

Yeah, and the polls have been spot on the last few cycles.

They were right in NV Hillary and Biden carried it by 2, so will SISOLAK and CCM

NV Is a blue state, the polls were off in NC a red state because Cooper only won by 4 not 10 and Cunningham lost

Lombardo is losing 46)33 Lombardo isn't winning

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Lombardo is more likely to win his primary and general than Lake.

[Vice President Christian Man]

Lombado could win or get close to winning Clark County as he's the sheriff. On the other hand Lake is likely to underperform in areas such as Maricopa County as she is similar to Trump and could lose if someone like Hobbs gets the nomination. In that case I tihnk Lombado is more likely to win.

My ratings:
Lombado: Lean R (Likely a 1-2 point victory)
Lake: Tossup (Could go either way but most likely Lake wins by a Biden like margin because of the national environment. Masters appeals better to moderates than Lake so Hobbs might overperform Kelly despite his relative popularity.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lombado could win or get close to winning Clark County as he's the sheriff. On the other hand Lake is likely to underperform in areas such as Maricopa County as she is similar to Trump and could lose if someone like Hobbs gets the nomination. In that case I tihnk Lombado is more likely to win.

My ratings:
Lombado: Lean R (Likely a 1-2 point victory)
Lake: Tossup (Could go either way but most likely Lake wins by a Biden like margin because of the national environment. Masters appeals better to moderates than Lake so Hobbs might overperform Kelly despite his relative popularity.

Do you SISOLAK was leading in the last poll 45/33 over every R, Rs are so hypothetical DeSantis was leading Crist 45/33 and SISOLAK the same margin and Rs still rate NV Lean R

[NewYorkExpress]

Lombardo.

Lake would have been better off running in the Senate race, where a more nationalized race would work to her benefit.

While I don't think Lombardo can beat Sisolak (just not high enough name recognition), he's got a better chance of doing so compared to Lake.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lombardo.

Lake would have been better off running in the Senate race, where a more nationalized race would work to her benefit.

While I don't think Lombardo can beat Sisolak (just not high enough name recognition), he's got a better chance of doing so compared to Lake.

Lol SISOLAK is winning 45)33 over Heller and Lombando