Why is it that people think that Mastriano would be an underdog if he got the nomination but Lake would be favored?
I know Arizona has historically been much more Republican, but the two states only voted about one point apart in 2020. And both are equally nuts.
Shapiro has been elected statewide twice and outrun the top of the ticket by 3-4% both times. He also had no primary opposition and didn't need to take any leftist positions out of the mainstream. His base is the Philly metro and he will probably substantially out-fundraise Mastriano.
Doug Mastriano has a very big following due to his Facebook “Fireside Chats” and I’ve even seen Trump supporters here in Monmouth County wearing shirts with his weird catchphrases “Walk as Free People” and “We Don’t Dither.” Due to his huge following, I would expect Doug Mastriano to defeat Josh Shapiro by around a 2% margin.
