How long would the Tories have lasted in power if the Lib Dems never formed a coalition with them

[OSR stands with Israel]

Assume the Lib Dems never form a coalition with them and Tories govern as a minorty government how long would they have lasted power. Imo I think the Cameron government probably falls in 2012/13 and Labour probably takes a majority and I think they still would be in power to this day.


Lib Dems going into coalition may have saved the Tories from another long spell in the wilderness as going into that coalition tanked the Lib Dems popularity meaning they really couldnt vote for an early election and by 2015 the economy recovered enough for Cameron to win.

[NewYorkExpress]

If the Liberal Democrats don't form a coalition with the Tories in 2010, the most likely scenario would have been a very shaky Labour/Conservative grand coalition (David Cameron as PM, Gordon Brown as Deputy PM, and possibly with the Cabinet Ministry of his choice) that falls apart within a year.

Second most likely scenario is probably a Conservative Minority Government, but that also falls apart as soon as Cameron is able to call for a snap election.

[Property Representative of the Harold Holt Swimming Centre]

If the Liberal Democrats don't form a coalition with the Tories in 2010, the most likely scenario would have been a very shaky Labour/Conservative grand coalition (David Cameron as PM, Gordon Brown as Deputy PM, and possibly with the Cabinet Ministry of his choice) that falls apart within a year.

Second most likely scenario is probably a Conservative Minority Government, but that also falls apart as soon as Cameron is able to call for a snap election.

To quote another prime minister - no, no, no. Grand coalitions aren't a thing outside of wartime in the UK, and if one did happen in those circumstances then they'd be major splits in both main parties. And Brown is probably one of the most partisanly anti-Tory figures in the Labour Party at that time.

[BigVic]

They’ll be a German style Grand Coalition which would fall apart with new elections called. A Grand Coalition hasn’t been formed other than in times of war. It has never happened after a General Election

[OSR stands with Israel]

They’ll be a German style Grand Coalition which would fall apart with new elections called. A Grand Coalition hasn’t been formed other than in times of war. It has never happened after a General Election

I mean wouldn’t the Tories just govern as a minorty government  ala Canada 2004-2011 and 2019-2021 rather than a coalition one

[LAB-LIB]

There were a few hours on May 11, 2010 it looked like that might happen. After five days of negotiations between all three parties, Gordon Brown announced his resignation as Prime Minister and asked the Queen to send for Cameron. The coalition agreement had not been ratified yet and when Cameron was told he was going to be Prime Minister, he allegedly said, "No, I'm the leader of a minority government that won't last the summer".