2020: Barack Obama runs for a third nonconsecutive term

[Blow by blow, the passion dies]

Let's say former Presidents can run for nonconsecutive terms. How well would Obama do if he ran in 2020 ITTL?

[Alben Barkley]

Probably Biden’s map plus NC. And more comfortable margins of victory in most/all swing states. While closer margins in those Trump still wins. FL is probably as close as it typically is, Trump may still have the edge but if Obama retains more popularity among Cubans he might have a chance. Even IA and OH may be closer, same with ME-02, but probably still gone. Not sure about TX, Obama lost it bigger than Biden or Hillary, but it was trending left anyway. Again, largely comes down I think to if Obama can keep up his old levels of Hispanic support. I think the educated/suburban white shift happens either way.