Is Lauren Boebert at all endangered?

[Calthrina950]

Bumping this thread because I don't know if there's a dedicated CO-03 thread, but if this guy wins the Democratic primary, this seat is Safe Boebert and I will endorse her for re-election

https://twitter.com/ass_dentata/status/1513618678377496576?s=20&t=SGujJl3F0m...

Isn't this the man who released that disgusting ad involving human feces showering a town? And him stating that it symbolized what Boebert represented?

Probably, yeah.

I watched it, and yes, that's him. He would lose by double digits. Nevertheless, I don't think he will be the nominee. Sol Sandoval of Pueblo appears to be the favorite. She will lose to Boebert (as will any Democratic candidate, especially in this year), but not as badly as this man would.

[Suburban Republican]

Boebert-Coram debate yesterday. This is the first debate Boebert has actively participated in since joining politics.

https://www.denverpost.com/2022/05/26/lauren-boebert-don-coram-debate/amp/

[Suburban Republican]

Quite interesting numbers related to voter registration. Between February and May, about 3,700 voters have changed their registration from Democratic to unaffiliated or another party. Probably driven in large part by an effort by Democrats to defeat Boebert in the primaries. Although this doesn't even represent 1% of all registered voters in the district, this could very well be the biggest shift in party registration in such a short amount of time out of any congressional district this cycle.  



https://www.cpr.org/2022/06/07/lauren-boebert-2022-elections-democrats-unaffiliated-voters/

[Suburban Republican]

Also, I found this excellent analysis of the primary race. Here are a few excerpts:

Coram’s limited campaign presence up to this point has made some of his supporters nervous. Some express dismay that he hasn’t been getting out in the 50,000-square-mile district since he announced outside a Grand Junction coffee shop in early January that he would challenge Boebert. In the meantime, Boebert has been running weekly front-page ads in the Grand Junction Daily Sentinel that refer to her opponent as “Corrupt Coram.” She pops up regularly in the local media as she makes the rounds at award ceremonies and community meetings, dropping incendiary pronouncements about state and national hot topics.     

Coram brushes off her attacks on him as “lies – all lies.” And he cites several reasons for his seeming absence on the campaign trail, mainly that he was at the Colorado Capitol finishing up his work as a state lawmaker.

Democrat John Salazar, who knows what it takes to win the 3rd District — and also how it can be lost — said now that Coram has hit the ground running, he can’t stop. Salazar represented the 3rd District for three terms from 2004 to 2011 but was knocked off by Cortez businessman Scott Tipton in his 2010 bid for a fourth term. Tipton held the seat until he was ousted in the 2020 GOP primary by Boebert.

“He (Coram) is very popular in this valley,” said Salazar, who now farms near Manassa. “But I know he is going to have to get out there in the district a bunch.”

Boebert also has the advantage of being flush with campaign cash. She has outraised Coram by a huge margin. At the end of March, Boebert had $2.2 million on hand. Coram had $55,000.

https://coloradosun.com/2022/05/23/lauren-boebert-don-coram-gop-primary-2/

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I do think Boebert is in real danger, but not because of the primary.  Boebart is probably not going to face any charges out of the one vehicle crash she caused and then tried to cover up (that said abandoning your kid - not going to get help, just straight up bailing - right after a crash where at least one person in the vehicle suffered serious injuries because you don’t want to get caught at the scene of an accident so close to an election is pretty despicable). 

However, I’ve had Boebart on my list of Congresspersons whom I wouldn’t be surprised to see indicted (along with Matt Gaetz, Pat Fallon, Marie Newman, Steven Horsford, and Stanford Bishop).  She’s had a consistent and long-standing pattern of blatantly using tens of thousands of campaign contributions form to pay personal bills (such as paying off tax liens) and then very sloppily trying to hide it by over-reporting her fuel mileage reimbursements.  Boebart has been running this scam for quite a while, long enough that you can’t reasonably argue it is an oversight or that it was just a reporting mistake.  I figured she was under investigation and sure enough the Colorado AG’s office just referred a fraud complaint against her regarding this stuff for investigation to determine what, if any, criminal charges are appropriate.  If Boebart gets indicted then I do think that’ll be the end for her. 

[coloradocowboi]

https://twitter.com/theliamnissan/status/1536779021010276355?s=20&t=zTIpaYn2...

Well this just took a really strange turn.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I'm skeptical unless this is verified by a reputable source.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I don't think she really understands Christianity.

https://twitter.com/patriottakes/status/1536848987361366022

[Tartarus Sauce]

She's in deep trouble under the next Republican midterm.

[BlueSwan]

https://twitter.com/theliamnissan/status/1536779021010276355?s=20&t=zTIpaYn2...

Well this just took a really strange turn.

Awaiting confirmation of this. Wouldn't be surprised at all if it was true, but we'll see.

[Politician]

That's obviously not true lol

[GeneralMacArthur]

y'all really gonna act like there's even a 10% chance this is true

[GP270watch]

 I would bet this is all true. Same people that exposed Cawthorn.

[coloradocowboi]

y'all really gonna act like there's even a 10% chance this is true

They had a sterling track record with Cawthorn. They have a first-hand source confirming these claims. And it's really not that unbelievable with the #s of working class women who have done some form of online sex work. Why are you inclined toward disbelief?

Anyway, it also does not matter if it's true and that's been the case with our politics for I dk, always.

[BlueSwan]

y'all really gonna act like there's even a 10% chance this is true

Yes.

[Vosem]

I don't think she really understands Christianity.

https://twitter.com/patriottakes/status/1536848987361366022

pretty confident this is canon

(pun intended)

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Bumping this thread because I don't know if there's a dedicated CO-03 thread, but if this guy wins the Democratic primary, this seat is Safe Boebert and I will endorse her for re-election

https://twitter.com/ass_dentata/status/1513618678377496576?s=20&t=SGujJl3F0m...

Yeah lol i'd probably tolerate Boebert for 2 more years. This guy is a jerk and a moron.

At least with Boebert, i can at least laugh sometimes.

Also CO-03 is up there with the worst districts of the USA. Seriously what kind of people do live there???

[2016]

Pretty unfair Allegations to Congresswoman Lauren Boebert.

Nice to see CNN doing some fact checking on these fraudish SuperPacs
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/06/25/politics/fact-check-super-pac-lauren-boebert-escort-abortion-sugar-daddy

[2016]

https://twitter.com/theliamnissan/status/1536779021010276355?s=20&t=zTIpaYn2...

Well this just took a really strange turn.

These Accusations are wrong. Lauren Boebert did not have an Abortion CNN has verified.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Boebert does strike me as someone who'll eventually be gone just like MTG because such lightning rod of controversy types don't remain forever in Congress. Steve King is a recent example of one losing. Obviously more vulnerable in the primary but unlike MTG Boebert could lose in a really bad wave, it's a very polarized district with a high D floor and she only won by 6 points in 2018 before she was so controversial. So this isn't the year, but if there was a bet on her still being around at the end of the decade I'd bet against it.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Boebert does strike me as someone who'll eventually be gone just like MTG because such lightning rod of controversy types don't remain forever in Congress. Steve King is a recent example of one losing. Obviously more vulnerable in the primary but unlike MTG Boebert could lose in a really bad wave, it's a very polarized district with a high D floor and she only won by 6 points in 2018 before she was so controversial. So this isn't the year, but if there was a bet on her still being around at the end of the decade I'd bet against it.

Sorta like Musgrave?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Boebert does strike me as someone who'll eventually be gone just like MTG because such lightning rod of controversy types don't remain forever in Congress. Steve King is a recent example of one losing. Obviously more vulnerable in the primary but unlike MTG Boebert could lose in a really bad wave, it's a very polarized district with a high D floor and she only won by 6 points in 2018 before she was so controversial. So this isn't the year, but if there was a bet on her still being around at the end of the decade I'd bet against it.

Sorta like Musgrave?

Not a bad comparison actually.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/AndyKnny/status/1541873706099773441

Looks like the primary could be interesting.

[lfromnj]

Boebert does strike me as someone who'll eventually be gone just like MTG because such lightning rod of controversy types don't remain forever in Congress. Steve King is a recent example of one losing. Obviously more vulnerable in the primary but unlike MTG Boebert could lose in a really bad wave, it's a very polarized district with a high D floor and she only won by 6 points in 2018 before she was so controversial. So this isn't the year, but if there was a bet on her still being around at the end of the decade I'd bet against it.

FYI it was Scott Tipton in 2018 and the new district picked up some rural red Hispano county in the SE while losing a few ski counties so it moved a touch rightwards. Still I do agree she is definitely in danger in the future and I would bet on her losing in a D wave.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Boebert does strike me as someone who'll eventually be gone just like MTG because such lightning rod of controversy types don't remain forever in Congress. Steve King is a recent example of one losing. Obviously more vulnerable in the primary but unlike MTG Boebert could lose in a really bad wave, it's a very polarized district with a high D floor and she only won by 6 points in 2018 before she was so controversial. So this isn't the year, but if there was a bet on her still being around at the end of the decade I'd bet against it.

FYI it was Scott Tipton in 2018 and the new district picked up some rural red Hispano county in the SE while losing a few ski counties so it moved a touch rightwards. Still I do agree she is definitely in danger in the future and I would bet on her losing in a D wave.

Typo, I meant in 2020. Although you are correct even with Tipton who was a pretty generic and inoffensive incumbent it was kind of close-ish in 2018. Of course if any Democrat beats her that seat will be just a one-term rental.