2012: Obama vs Bush (Jeb!)

[BigVic]

Who would’ve won with a matchup featuring the FL-Gov and incumbent POTUS Obama?

[Sir Mohamed]

FL goes R, otherwise no change.

[Blow by blow, the passion dies]

[Blow by blow, the passion dies]

I assume Jeb Bush would pick Rob Portman as his running mate, as Portman was a moderate Republican from a key swing state.

Jeb would flip his home state and over perform Romney in the Sun Belt, New Hampshire and among Hispanics. However, Ohio would narrowly remain in Democrat hands due to Barack Obama's popularity among WWC.

Barack Obama could run as a populist contrasting his moderate liberal Administration with Jeb Bush's neoconservatism, but I'm not sure whether he would.

[Adjective-Statement]

President Barack Obama (D-IL) / Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE) ✓
Fmr. Governor Jeb Bush (R-FL) / Senator Rob Portman (R-OH)
Businessman Donald Trump (TP-NY) / Congresswoman Michelle Bachmann (TP-MN)

Hot take: another Bush, Jeb especially, would have caused a revolt.