2016: President Mitt Romney vs Former President Barack Obama

[BigVic]

After being elected POTUS in a surprise win in 2012 over incumbent Obama, Romney decides to move back to Utah from Massachusetts to register to be a Utah voter for the 2016 elections.

Former President Barack Obama successfully wins the Democratic nomination for the third time trying to win back the Presidency he narrowly lost.

Who wins? Discuss with maps

[dw93]

I imagine 2012 would've looked something like this:



Fmr. Gov. Mitt Romney / Rep. Paul Ryan (Republican): 275 EV
President Barack Obama / Vice President Joe Biden (Democratic): 263

Given Economic trends, Incumbency advantage, and demographic/state trends, my guess is 2016 in this Obama vs. Incumbent Romney looks something like this:



President Mitt Romney / Vice President Paul Ryan (Republican): 296 EV
Fmr. President Barack Obama / Senator Tim Kaine (Democratic): 242 EV

[Chips]

Romney probably wins re-election if the timeline plays out mostly the same as our own timeline between 2012-2016.

[BigVic]

Romney probably wins re-election if the timeline plays out mostly the same as our own timeline between 2012-2016.

If that happens Obama would just end his political career or become Chief Justice in the next 10 years