FL — Suffolk: Trump +7, Hillary + 3
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  FL — Suffolk: Trump +7, Hillary + 3
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Author Topic: FL — Suffolk: Trump +7, Hillary + 3  (Read 681 times)
BigSerg
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« on: February 01, 2022, 10:01:33 AM »

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Vaccinated Russian Bear
Russian Bear
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« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2022, 10:45:24 AM »

Trump's margin against DeSantis looks pathetic to him. Now, the sample is very small (180 LV), which gives MOE of 15%, but it's still really bad for Trump.

It's first time, I'm excited about (R) primary polling. Fight, fight, fight!
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Person Man
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« Reply #2 on: February 01, 2022, 10:52:39 AM »

DeSantis has his work cut out for him and but it is promising. Who the hell wants Hillary to run? This looks dumb.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: February 01, 2022, 12:10:55 PM »

Crosstabs here: https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/other-states/2022/02_01_2022_tables.pdf

Dems:
men: Biden +25
women: Clinton +20
age 18-34: Biden +4
age 35-49: Clinton +26
age 50-64: Biden +4
age 65+: Biden +2
white: Biden +5
black: Clinton +18
Hispanic: Clinton +25

GOP:
men: Trump +1
women: Trump +14
age 18-34: DeSantis +6
age 35-49: DeSantis +18
age 50-64: Trump +24
age 65+: Trump +10
white: Trump +8
Hispanic: Trump +4
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: February 01, 2022, 12:20:25 PM »

Hillary sux she cost us judges she won't be the Nominee again, that will ensure a Trump revival and she is just as open to amnesty as Biden is, she was blasted by Trump for open borders
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #5 on: February 01, 2022, 12:31:24 PM »

Based middle aged Latinas?
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #6 on: February 01, 2022, 12:41:24 PM »

DeSantis has his work cut out for him and but it is promising. Who the hell wants Hillary to run? This looks dumb.

Hillary is just an extremely well-known name in American politics. The takeaway here is not that there's a surge of support for Hillary is running in 2024 but that there is some growing Democratic uneasiness with Biden and Harris as their leaders.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #7 on: February 01, 2022, 04:55:25 PM »

Lmao... Hillary is NOT leading the sitting President of the United States in a state he won the primary in a landslide. Nonsense.
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支持核绿派 (Greens4Nuclear)
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« Reply #8 on: February 02, 2022, 01:09:50 AM »

Hillary is just an extremely well-known name in American politics. The takeaway here is not that there's a surge of support for Hillary is running in 2024 but that there is some growing Democratic uneasiness with Biden and Harris as their leaders.

Crosstabs of the Biden v Trump and Biden v DeSantis matchups are interesting. They suggest that there are some Hispanic voters who would vote for Trump but not DeSantis, which is the opposite of every other crosstab and the overall sample.

They also indicate that the Black and 18-35 crosstabs have higher household incomes than the sample as a whole. The Hispanic crosstab has a bimodal household income distribution, and is marginally more educated than the White crosstab as a whole.

2022 Polling tidbit- "Better off than 4 years ago" = D-leaning, "Worse off" or "No difference" = R-leaning.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #9 on: February 02, 2022, 01:22:18 AM »

Hillary is just an extremely well-known name in American politics. The takeaway here is not that there's a surge of support for Hillary is running in 2024 but that there is some growing Democratic uneasiness with Biden and Harris as their leaders.

Crosstabs of the Biden v Trump and Biden v DeSantis matchups are interesting. They suggest that there are some Hispanic voters who would vote for Trump but not DeSantis, which is the opposite of every other crosstab and the overall sample.

This is completely negligible given the small sample size.

Biden v Trump (among Hispanics): 40 Trump, 31 DeSantis
Biden v DeSantis (among Hispanics): 38 DeSantis, 34 Biden
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: February 09, 2022, 09:52:26 AM »

The one person who could potentially inspire me to actually vote for Biden in the primary...
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #11 on: February 09, 2022, 09:55:21 AM »

The D side has to be the dumbest poll I e seen in awhile.
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