GA Quinnipiac: Walker +1

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

If it’s this close with Biden doing that bad I actually feel better about Warnock. An even mild Biden approval bump helps him tremendously.

This is starting to become a pattern of individual Dems seemingly out-running Biden, and republicans needs to figure out why

It's pretty obvious IMO - Bidens #s have fallen approval-wise with 18-34 year olds, however when push comes to shove they will obviously still vote for Dems rather than Rs (if they arent sitting out altogether). Part of the reason why Biden's overall approval has fallen, b/c thats a huge group for Dems and his approval is like -30 there. But in a H2H with a Republican, Ds are obviously not losing to Rs by anywhere close to that amount for that group

IIRC, you used exactly the same argument in VA GOV race predicting D win.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

If it’s this close with Biden doing that bad I actually feel better about Warnock. An even mild Biden approval bump helps him tremendously.

This is starting to become a pattern of individual Dems seemingly out-running Biden, and republicans needs to figure out why

It's pretty obvious IMO - Bidens #s have fallen approval-wise with 18-34 year olds, however when push comes to shove they will obviously still vote for Dems rather than Rs (if they arent sitting out altogether). Part of the reason why Biden's overall approval has fallen, b/c thats a huge group for Dems and his approval is like -30 there. But in a H2H with a Republican, Ds are obviously not losing to Rs by anywhere close to that amount for that group

IIRC, you used exactly the same argument in VA GOV race predicting D win.

The bulk of Wbrocks posts are wishcasting.. was prevalent in the 2020 cycle.. now 2022.

Not worth engaging lol

[Roll Roons]

If it’s this close with Biden doing that bad I actually feel better about Warnock. An even mild Biden approval bump helps him tremendously.

This is starting to become a pattern of individual Dems seemingly out-running Biden, and republicans needs to figure out why

It's pretty obvious IMO - Bidens #s have fallen approval-wise with 18-34 year olds, however when push comes to shove they will obviously still vote for Dems rather than Rs (if they arent sitting out altogether). Part of the reason why Biden's overall approval has fallen, b/c thats a huge group for Dems and his approval is like -30 there. But in a H2H with a Republican, Ds are obviously not losing to Rs by anywhere close to that amount for that group

IIRC, you used exactly the same argument in VA GOV race predicting D win.

The bulk of Wbrocks posts are wishcasting.. was prevalent in the 2020 cycle.. now 2022.

Not worth engaging lol

He also repeatedly claimed that Jack Ciattarelli was "invisible" and "barely campaigning".

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Most predictable flip in the Senate for sure

You said the samething in 2020 it's a Runoff and if it GA and LA goes to a Runoff we can win, don't forget there were multiple candidates in the rave like LA 22

[Sir Mohamed]

Most predictable flip in the Senate for sure

AZ is more likely to flip, imho.

Poll could be accurate, although I won't take Quinnipiac serious before they get at least 1-2 cycles right.

[MillennialModerate]

Most predictable flip in the Senate for sure

You said the samething in 2020 it's a Runoff

LOL. You’re the last person who can lock anyones predictions…

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[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

My Predictions are called wave insurance but on ZOGBY Biden isn't at 39% percent he is at 50/48 Job Approvals and 43/50 on Job Performance and we have 3.o Unemployment when has an incumbent party lost with under 7.0 unemployment, Bush W was saved in 2004 because it was 6.0 unemployment after 911, we lost 2010 it was 11% unemployment

The user prediction doesn't block wmyou whenn you get to 304 you can put as many states as you want for your party just like Rs make NUT MAPS, I CAN MAKE ONE TOO

[SnowLabrador]

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1486420085384302602

Of course. Voting is being expanded in rural areas but restricted in urban areas.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol everyone has the right to vote, it's voting procedures that SCOTUS STRUCK DOWN like Voter ID, closing polling places and reducing drop boxes if you read the Law carefully Blks under Amendment 15 and Females under 20 Have the absolute right to vote

The Voting Rights law that Congress is debating has a ban on Gerrymandering and Soft money Ds are gonna have to wait til after midterm s to ban soft money