Morning Consult / Politico: Trump 49% DeSantis 14% Pence 13% Romney 4%

[Mr. Morden]

Morning Consult / Politico national GOP primary poll, conducted Jan. 22-23:

https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000017e-92cd-db3e-a17e-d2ff8b5d0000&nname=playbook&nid=0000014f-1646-d88f-a1cf-5f46b7bd0000&nrid=0000016a-0d2a-dea6-a96e-4f3fdf280000&nlid=630318

Trump 49%
DeSantis 14%
Pence 13%
Romney 4%
L. Cheney 2%
Cruz 2%
Haley 2%
Hawley 2%
Pompeo 1%
Christie 1%
Hogan 1%
Rubio 1%
T. Scott 1%
Cotton, Noem, R. Scott 0%

If Trump doesn’t run, but his son does:

DeSantis 25%
Trump Jr. 24%
Pence 12%
Cruz 6%
Haley 4%
Romney 2%
L. Cheney 1%
Christie 1%
Hogan 1%
Noem 1%
Pompeo 1%
Rubio 1%
T. Scott 1%
Cotton, R. Scott 0%

Looks like they also omitted Hawley in the 2nd scenario, despite including him in the 1st.  Maybe that was just a mistake.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

But pundits told me, Trump will lose his ~70% vaccinated base to latent anti-vaxxer DeSantis, because Trump had endorsed  the vaccines? DeSantis is even inside MOE with Trump Junior. 


With that said, there is 2 years until primaries and most people will probably forget him being anti-vaxxer.

[Mr. Morden]

crosstabs pdf

fav/unfav % among Democrats:
Biden 79/20% for +59%
Harris 75/17% for +58%

fav/unfav % among Republicans:
Trump 81/17% for +64%
Trump Jr. 67/21% for +46%
Pence 67/24% for +43%
DeSantis 52/13% for +39%
Cruz 61/23% for +38%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Both DeSantis and Trump are losing badly to Biden and Trump still thinks he won