What will the Alabama delegation look like after the midterms?

[Tekken_Guy]

What will the Alabama delegation look like after 2022?

[BoiseBoy]

I wonder what would happen to cause a 7-0 DEM delegation in Alabama...

[NewYorkExpress]

Unless the VRA is completely gutted or Terri Sewell decides to run statewide for some reason, 6-1 Republican.

[TML]

I wonder what would happen to cause a 7-0 DEM delegation in Alabama...

That would require Democrats to win the national House PV margin by at least 20 points (if not more).

[Schiff for Senate]

I wonder what would happen to cause a 7-0 DEM delegation in Alabama...

That would require Democrats to win the national House PV margin by at least 20 points (if not more).

Way more. Think more like 30.

[Tekken_Guy]

How is this even a question?
All districts are solid for their party, and redistricting changed very little of the district boundaries (a least change map).
To give you an idea of how solid all the seats are, the one Democratic seat is some 70% Democratic and - here's the biggie - all 6 other districts voted for Roy Moore in 2017 even though Doug Jones won statewide. That should give you an idea of just how solid and safe each of them are; even if some of those districts bluened marginally in redistricting, they are still massively Republican and will absolutely not flip in a Democratic midterm. I don't know if the people who actually voted 5-2 (or any option other than 7-0 with regards to future votes that I'm preempting; currently the results stand at 4 votes for 6-1 and 2 for 5-2) are serious (I would hope not) or just 'trolling.'

I assume you haven’t heard the news about the court ruling.

[Schiff for Senate]

How is this even a question?
All districts are solid for their party, and redistricting changed very little of the district boundaries (a least change map).
To give you an idea of how solid all the seats are, the one Democratic seat is some 70% Democratic and - here's the biggie - all 6 other districts voted for Roy Moore in 2017 even though Doug Jones won statewide. That should give you an idea of just how solid and safe each of them are; even if some of those districts bluened marginally in redistricting, they are still massively Republican and will absolutely not flip in a Democratic midterm. I don't know if the people who actually voted 5-2 (or any option other than 7-0 with regards to future votes that I'm preempting; currently the results stand at 4 votes for 6-1 and 2 for 5-2) are serious (I would hope not) or just 'trolling.'

I assume you haven’t heard the news about the court ruling.

No, I didn't. I mean I know a 5-2 is very possible in AL (with one rural black seat and one Birmingham-based seat), but I just Googled 'Alabama redistricting' and apparently, a federal court blocked it. I'm happy to see the panel - with 2/3 members being Trump appointees - have rejected the map, and yeah, assuming the AL Democrats get the map they want, then a 5-2 is very possible. Am deleting my post now, though I still have to comment on just how incredible it is that Doug Jones won the senate election while winning one out of seven congressional districts.

[TheElectoralBoobyPrize]

, though I still have to comment on just how incredible it is that Doug Jones won the senate election while winning one out of seven congressional districts.

And a result where a Democrat who was losing by 30 points statewide would have the same breakdown of congressional districts...

[Schiff for Senate]

, though I still have to comment on just how incredible it is that Doug Jones won the senate election while winning one out of seven congressional districts.

And a result where a Democrat who was losing by 30 points statewide would have the same breakdown of congressional districts...

Yeah, and in fact, when you think about it it could hypothetically be much more extreme...
AL usually gives the GOP, say, a 25 point margin or so. AL07 gives the Democrats a 40-point-margin typically.
So that means a GOP candidate could lose AL (like Moore) and still win 6/7 districts, and they could theoretically win statewide by 60 points against a Democrat but still quite possibly still have just those 6/7 (since AL07, assuming the rightward shift is equal across the state, would still vote blue by about 5 points or thereabouts).

[Ferguson97]

5-2 based on the court ruling

[Grumpier Than Thou]

I wonder what would happen to cause a 7-0 DEM delegation in Alabama...

The Republicans run UGA fans in all 7 districts.