2004 User Predictions - Discussion

[Rococo4]

I know, I know.  But I think it will give him a few votes if he can appear to be more regional than Bush.

i think your predictions are dead on for now...except Louisana, which would give us the same result as 2000 (I hope)

[Rococo4]

I know, I know.  But I think it will give him a few votes if he can appear to be more regional than Bush.

i think your predictions are dead on for now...except Louisana, which would give us the same result as 2000 (I hope)

sorry, it would be 272 not 271, but still a win

[Rococo4]

I know, I know.  But I think it will give him a few votes if he can appear to be more regional than Bush.

Actually, again, i looked  at your map and I dont see Kerry winning Colorado, and I think Bush winning Iowa is just as unlikely.

[Rococo4]

I cant really buy this NH going for Kerry argument that many people are using because they will vote for their next door neighboor. If NH goes to Kerry, I doubt that will be the reason.  For instance, if it was Bayh v. Bush, no one in Ohio would vote for Bayh because he was from next door Indiana.  Gore didnt win any next door states in 2000.  I just dont see it.

Kerry may well win NH.  But it wont be because he is from MA.

[Rococo4]

Yea landslide why would anybody in their right mind vote for Kerry. Kerry will just let saddam go and give Iraq back to him. Plus he will raise taxes for all!

LOL...looks like we have another Reaganfan on our hands, only worse this time.

Ok, that is just dumb.  I would never vote for Kerry, but he would not let Saddam go and let him be in charge of Iraq again

[Rococo4]

I cant really buy this NH going for Kerry argument that many people are using because they will vote for their next door neighboor.

I disagree.  I think it helps Kerry here to be next door rather than Texas.  But I think the real reason Kerry will win here if he does will be because of the buzz of the primaries that Bush didn't have this year but Kerry did.

If he wins NH the primary will have helped, but we would have been there no matter where he was from.

[Rococo4]

That is a valid point.  There is alot of travel between the states.  Maybe the people of NH will know Kerry better then, and that is worse for him.  I still think Bush wins NH.

[Rococo4]

No, they dont , but they still associate their high taxes with all of their elected officials, fair or not.