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  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2004 U.S. Presidential Election
  2004 User Predictions - Discussion (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2004 User Predictions - Discussion  (Read 826863 times)
BushAlva
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Posts: 11


« on: June 08, 2004, 11:09:39 am »

My prediction is on the prediction page.  Look at it and be shocked.

Just a hint -- Oklahoma and Missouri are Kerry and California is Bush
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BushAlva
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Posts: 11


« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2004, 08:15:56 pm »

I was basically playing around with my version 2.  Version 3 looks a lot more like how I think it will or can turn out.  Again its on the prediction page.

The notable differences from Version 2 include Oklahoma a strong Bush (though I could easily lean the state), California leaning Kerry.  North Carolina leaning Bush and Arkansas leaning Bush because of Edwards and Clark, respectively.  Minnesota is now a Bush toss-up.  It could easily be a Kerry toss-up, as well.  Iowa and Pennsylvania still are leaning Bush.
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BushAlva
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Posts: 11


« Reply #2 on: June 23, 2004, 09:47:24 pm »

Total-intuition map. Basically, i pictured myself as a voter in that state, going to the polling booth, and voting for the first campaign banner I saw.



Kerry-270
Bush-268

It isn't mean to be an in depth analysis. Just gut feeling.
Yes, that would be a gut feeling. If Virginia, Missouri, Arizona, and Louisiana go for Kerry, he will probably also get Florida, Minnesota, New Mexico, Pennslyvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and maybe Ohio.    

It may be a gut feeling, but it looks to me like a very realistic outcome.  I would probably give Arizona and Missouri back to Bush, but you're map look slike a very real possibility
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