2004 User Predictions - Discussion

[PeteLI66]

Hello -- This is my first post. Today I posted my first election prediction map. I love this stuff, and have been doing these kinds of maps for years. This site is a delight.

It seems to me right now that Bush will win...

[PeteLI66]

I cant really buy this NH going for Kerry argument that many people are using because they will vote for their next door neighboor. If NH goes to Kerry, I doubt that will be the reason.  For instance, if it was Bayh v. Bush, no one in Ohio would vote for Bayh because he was from next door Indiana.  Gore didnt win any next door states in 2000.  I just dont see it.

Kerry may well win NH.  But it wont be because he is from MA.

I disagree, I think that more than a few people in NH have ties to MA. For example, they work in MA, watch the news out of Boston, etc. These new england states are small, and there is a lot of cross-commuting, travelling and interstate business.

[PeteLI66]

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A lot of people in NH are escapees from Taxachusetts.  They moved to get away from the likes of Kerry and Kennedy.

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Federal elected officials do not set state tax rates.

[PeteLI66]

No, they dont , but they still associate their high taxes with all of their elected officials, fair or not.

This is so untrue.