IL-Victory Research: Pritzker leads all Republicans by 20+ points
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  IL-Victory Research: Pritzker leads all Republicans by 20+ points
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Author Topic: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker leads all Republicans by 20+ points  (Read 494 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« on: January 21, 2022, 04:10:52 PM »
« edited: January 21, 2022, 04:14:05 PM by Josh Shapiro for Governor »

No surprises here. Race is Safe D.

Pritzker 52.4% vs Gary Rabine 28.4% (Pritzker +24)

Pritzker 55.2% vs Darren Bailey 27.4% (Pritzker +27.8 )

Pritzker 53.1% vs Jesse Sullivan 22.4% (Pritzker +30.7)

Pritzker 53.1% vs Richard Irvin 21.6% (Pritzker +31.5)

Pritzker 55.5% vs Paul Schimpf 22.2% (Pritzker +33.3)

https://www.wcia.com/illinois-capitol-news/pritzker-enjoys-comfortable-lead-over-gop-field-rabine-early-republican-frontrunner-pollster-says/
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2022, 04:15:18 PM »

Just saying: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=450157.0

I think this is more due to the GOP candidates lacking name recognition than anything else.
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2022, 04:33:44 PM »

Yep this just looks like further evidence that undecideds should all be assumed to be republicans
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Pericles
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« Reply #3 on: January 21, 2022, 04:45:17 PM »

Good for Pritzker that he's got a majority in every matchup but it could still be a relatively close win for him.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #4 on: January 21, 2022, 06:13:39 PM »

Prediction: Pritzker +4.
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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #5 on: January 21, 2022, 06:41:13 PM »

Undecided are republicans
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #6 on: January 21, 2022, 07:15:09 PM »

For the record, I firmly believe that Pritzker wins by a smaller margin than Polis.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #7 on: January 21, 2022, 07:18:12 PM »

For the record, I firmly believe that Pritzker wins by a smaller margin than Polis.

What do you predict will be the margins of victory for Pritzker and Polis?
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #8 on: January 21, 2022, 07:22:39 PM »

For the record, I firmly believe that Pritzker wins by a smaller margin than Polis.

What do you predict will be the margins of victory for Pritzker and Polis?

Pritzker wins by 7 or 8 and Polis wins by around Biden's margin, maybe more.
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Gracile
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« Reply #9 on: January 21, 2022, 08:42:05 PM »

Pritzker's vote share here is believable and in line with my expectation of a mid-to-high single-digit win. Also, the poll had this tidbit-

Quote
More than half of the voters surveyed — 51.7% — said Pritzker has earned another term in office. Another 43.3% said he hasn’t, while 5% said they were undecided on whether the billionaire Democrat should have a second term in office.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: January 21, 2022, 09:02:02 PM »

Pritzker will win 53/46
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #11 on: January 21, 2022, 09:03:39 PM »

Just saying: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=450157.0

I think this is more due to the GOP candidates lacking name recognition than anything else.
Did we see this at work in 2018 too?
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beesley
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« Reply #12 on: January 22, 2022, 06:37:17 PM »

Pritzker strikes me, and clearly most others, as having personally and genuinely earned those numbers, rather than it just being Illinois.


It's getting old.
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Senator Incitatus
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« Reply #13 on: January 22, 2022, 10:58:14 PM »

Pritzker +10 in the end, I think. Even in a wave, he has personal appeal and will have no problem keeping his campaign spending up.
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dw93
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« Reply #14 on: January 23, 2022, 02:07:36 AM »

Pritzker wins easily, though not by as big of a margin as he did in 2018.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #15 on: January 23, 2022, 06:03:17 AM »

Safe Democratic, though the Republican candidate will definitely get 40% or more.
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