Election Calculator / Simulator 2.0 released
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February 02, 2023, 04:12:55 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Election Calculator / Simulator 2.0 released
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Author Topic: Election Calculator / Simulator 2.0 released  (Read 12359 times)
BigVic
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« Reply #25 on: January 22, 2022, 12:05:53 AM »

Here's a 2004 270-268 Kerry map where the Minnesota elector sends it into the House.



Bush would still win by the House
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VPH
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« Reply #26 on: January 22, 2022, 10:16:47 AM »

Literally so excited for the county maps.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #27 on: January 22, 2022, 03:23:29 PM »

This is amazing.
Only ask I have is that the classic EV calculator be available

It's up to Dave, since it's on his website, but I doubt he would ever take it down. I don't think he updates it anymore but I'd be surprised if he deleted that stuff. If he ever does I'll ask him to keep it up, though. I don't have access to that code unfortunately. That is actually what spurred me to start over on my own.

Damn, thanks for making these

The bold theme's aesthetic is really nice, I think I'll start to use it.

Yeah I really like how that came out. I wasn't sure if everyone else would feel the same so I left it optional, but maybe in the future I'll have it default to it. Some of the maps just look better with it (imo).
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #28 on: January 22, 2022, 03:32:59 PM »
« Edited: January 22, 2022, 03:40:58 PM by L.D. Smith ist kein Technologiefeudalist »

California Recall is missing from 2021 currently.

And FL-SEN 2018 isn't labeled as a flip.

Just FYI.

And while I'm here, how far back do you intend to stretch the Senate and Gubernatorials?
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Virginiá
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« Reply #29 on: January 23, 2022, 07:22:17 AM »

California Recall is missing from 2021 currently.

And FL-SEN 2018 isn't labeled as a flip.

Thanks, will fix.


And while I'm here, how far back do you intend to stretch the Senate and Gubernatorials?

I think 2010 is as far as I planned on going once I have more time to add a few more for each. The Senate maps especially are a bit hard to input by hand.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #30 on: January 23, 2022, 07:50:09 AM »

Fantastic! I love it, Virginia!
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Senator Laki
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« Reply #31 on: January 23, 2022, 09:55:00 AM »

Awesome Virginia. Well done!

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Abdullah
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« Reply #32 on: January 27, 2022, 05:51:01 PM »

Does the overlay function require PNG or something?

I tried using this image and it wouldn't work
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Virginiá
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« Reply #33 on: January 27, 2022, 06:16:07 PM »
« Edited: January 27, 2022, 07:41:16 PM by Virginiá »

Looks like a bug! About to go pick up dinner but when I'm done I'll remedy that for you.

edit:

Does the overlay function require PNG or something?

Fixed.
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Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
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« Reply #34 on: January 28, 2022, 10:39:55 AM »

Great update!

A minor issue I noticed: It seems like calculator assumes there 55 states, or just counts DC and each ME & NE congressional district as "states". A candidate winning 25 states would be 50% and not 45.5%. Or is that on purpose?

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Virginiá
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« Reply #35 on: January 28, 2022, 11:46:44 AM »

Great update!

A minor issue I noticed: It seems like calculator assumes there 55 states, or just counts DC and each ME & NE congressional district as "states". A candidate winning 25 states would be 50% and not 45.5%. Or is that on purpose?



It was a regression bug I caused fixing another bug, lol. It's like whack-a-mole sometimes.

Should be fixed now.
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bagelman
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« Reply #36 on: February 03, 2022, 02:49:10 PM »

This update is amazing. I briefly had some issues but I whitelisted the site on my adblocker and they went away.

Here's my wishlist:

1. 2022 Senate/Gub maps
2. Overall Senate maps (with all the states shown)
3. The ability to reduce state EVs below 3 so people can make house maps or something. Just an idea.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #37 on: February 03, 2022, 03:40:41 PM »

This update is amazing. I briefly had some issues but I whitelisted the site on my adblocker and they went away.

Here's my wishlist:

1. 2022 Senate/Gub maps
2. Overall Senate maps (with all the states shown)
3. The ability to reduce state EVs below 3 so people can make house maps or something. Just an idea.

Overall Senate map is possible. For EV threshold - I do plan on doing an interactive House map in the future. HCP is graciously working on converting the shapefiles, but it'll probably be released after all the state congressional maps are drawn, both because it's easier that way and because right now I'm still working on the interactive county maps.
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bosco
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« Reply #38 on: March 11, 2022, 09:24:51 AM »

Seriously,if it doubles as a Simulator,there should be ability to Generate random maps...
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theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #39 on: March 15, 2022, 06:45:28 PM »

WISHLIST:
-Allow for the editing of total seat numbers in states without seats up that cycle.
-The AZ-Special can't be removed, so hopefully that is solved at some point.

Anyway, great job so far!
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Virginiá
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« Reply #40 on: March 17, 2022, 02:07:17 PM »

WISHLIST:
-Allow for the editing of total seat numbers in states without seats up that cycle.
-The AZ-Special can't be removed, so hopefully that is solved at some point.

Anyway, great job so far!

Hey, thanks for reporting that. I fixed it just now. Seems to work as expected.
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theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #41 on: March 26, 2022, 05:01:01 PM »

For some reason the EV numbers are off. For instance 2000 is 268-264.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #42 on: March 26, 2022, 07:44:19 PM »

For some reason the EV numbers are off. For instance 2000 is 268-264.

I just loaded it up, it displays fine for me. Are you sure you were tinkering with it at some point and forgot? It remembers what you were last doing for a few weeks or so.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #43 on: July 26, 2022, 11:54:21 AM »

How states have voted beginning in 2000:




There have been seven Presidential elections beginning in 2000, so each state has gone 4, 5, 6, or 7 times for one Party or the other. The majority of times is  in the intensity of

80%  for all seven elections
60%  for six of seven
40%  for five of seven
30%  for four of seven   

Republican (blue)  or Democratic (red).

Is this a prediction for 2024? No. Arizona, Georgia, Indiana, and North Carolina have each gone once for the Democratic nominee in the last seven Presidential elections. Indiana is definitely not going D in 2024 except in a 400+ electoral blowout for the Democrat.  Heck, Texas is much more likely to go D than Indiana in 2024. On the other side, Minnesota hasn't voted for a Republican nominee since 1972, and Virginia had voted only once for a Democratic nominee for President (the LBJ blowout win over Goldwater in 1964) in any election between 1948 and 2008, and seems to be sharply trending D in such elections. Minnesota barely voted against Trump in 2016, so it is within range of a Republican nominee who gets 350 or so electoral votes. Minnesota isn't quite so solid-D as the map suggests.

Weird things can happen. Utah has a reputation for being a very strong-R state, but I can imagine an Obama-like Democrat defeating a Trump-like Republican in Utah. Also, it would seem that New Mexico, which went for Dubya in 2004, looks "gone" for Republicans barring something like a 400+ electoral blowout in contrast to Michigan, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin (and really Minnesota, too). The Humphrey era is long gone in Minnesota.   
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BigVic
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« Reply #44 on: August 26, 2022, 10:14:15 PM »

What about Senate maps pre-2016?
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Dreadnought Murders Women
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« Reply #45 on: August 27, 2022, 08:33:45 AM »

And while we're at it, Washington doesn't have a Class 2 Senate seat.
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bagelman
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« Reply #46 on: August 27, 2022, 10:45:56 AM »

I think it's more important to add 2022 senate maps for predictions then past ones.
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theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #47 on: October 13, 2022, 04:28:00 AM »

For some reason the 2018 Senate map isn't letting me change the flipped seats- for instance, when I seat, say, Florida from R-Gain to normal D, it will show up fine but then will turn back to a gain when I paste the code.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #48 on: October 14, 2022, 04:43:48 PM »

For some reason the 2018 Senate map isn't letting me change the flipped seats- for instance, when I seat, say, Florida from R-Gain to normal D, it will show up fine but then will turn back to a gain when I paste the code.

I tested & it did it for me too. I'll look into this. Thanks for letting me know!
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Senator Classic Liminal
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« Reply #49 on: November 04, 2022, 03:44:12 PM »

There are a lot of examples where it shows something as wrong, the most extreme example is in 1924, where Wisconsin is won by Herman Farris instead of Robert LaFollette
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