Australia 2022 Election
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Author Topic: Australia 2022 Election  (Read 42658 times)
Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #500 on: May 21, 2022, 04:36:39 AM »

The Coalition picks up Gilmore, first seat called to switch hands either way.

Who called this seat? Can't imagine this seat would be called with only 25% of the vote reporting.
Can't be ABC, Anothony Greeen just said it's still not called.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #501 on: May 21, 2022, 04:41:37 AM »

The Coalition picks up Gilmore, first seat called to switch hands either way.

Who called this seat? Can't imagine this seat would be called with only 25% of the vote reporting.
Can't be ABC, Anothony Greeen just said it's still not called.

Was earlier, now they changed it to "lib ahead"
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Continential
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« Reply #502 on: May 21, 2022, 04:42:22 AM »

Another useful link is the AEC's tallyroom.
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GoTfan
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« Reply #503 on: May 21, 2022, 04:43:19 AM »

The Coalition picks up Gilmore, first seat called to switch hands either way.

Who called this seat? Can't imagine this seat would be called with only 25% of the vote reporting.
Can't be ABC, Anothony Greeen just said it's still not called.



Was earlier, now they changed it to "lib ahead"

Was this tipped to flip or not?
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Pericles
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« Reply #504 on: May 21, 2022, 04:47:04 AM »

Shame about Flynn, pretty good swing but not good enough.
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Walmart_shopper
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« Reply #505 on: May 21, 2022, 04:52:30 AM »

Peter Dutton may actually lose. A pretty strong result for the ALP so far.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #506 on: May 21, 2022, 04:53:21 AM »

What happend in Queensland to give the Greens such a boost ? The State Labour's terrible enviormentla postioning alienating those voters or something else ?
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #507 on: May 21, 2022, 04:55:47 AM »

Looks like Labor needs WA to put them over the top into majority.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #508 on: May 21, 2022, 04:58:59 AM »

Seriously WTF 2 Green MP's from queensland, this is weird. Did anybody predict that ?
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Pericles
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« Reply #509 on: May 21, 2022, 05:02:30 AM »

Seriously WTF 2 Green MP's from queensland, this is weird. Did anybody predict that ?

The seats were known to be targets for them, I actually predicted Griffith for them, maybe that was a lucky guess.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #510 on: May 21, 2022, 05:02:57 AM »

Seriously WTF 2 Green MP's from queensland, this is weird. Did anybody predict that ?

The seats were known to be targets for them, I actually predicted Griffith for them, maybe that was a lucky guess.
I always thought Queensland was the most conservative mining heavy part of australia  so I thought it would their weakest state.
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #511 on: May 21, 2022, 05:03:50 AM »

Looks like Labor needs WA to put them over the top into majority.

Labor were 96% in the WA State Election, so it should be a formality now.

Labor just need 21 more seats to win.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #512 on: May 21, 2022, 05:06:16 AM »

Seriously WTF 2 Green MP's from queensland, this is weird. Did anybody predict that ?

The seats were known to be targets for them, I actually predicted Griffith for them, maybe that was a lucky guess.
I always thought Queensland was the most conservative mining heavy part of australia  so I thought it would their weakest state.
Metro Brisbane and the rest of the state may as well be distinct halves of the state, politically.
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Logical
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« Reply #513 on: May 21, 2022, 05:09:20 AM »

I'm not Antony Green but I do not see how the Coalition can form a government under these numbers.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #514 on: May 21, 2022, 05:09:58 AM »

I'm not Antony Green but I do not see how the Coalition can form a government under these numbers.
Bribe the Greens, Net zero by 2025. The Real story of this election is that saying " Screw the Enviorment" is suprisingly not a very popular political postion.
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Intell
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« Reply #515 on: May 21, 2022, 05:10:36 AM »

Seriously WTF 2 Green MP's from queensland, this is weird. Did anybody predict that ?

The seats were known to be targets for them, I actually predicted Griffith for them, maybe that was a lucky guess.
I always thought Queensland was the most conservative mining heavy part of australia  so I thought it would their weakest state.

I think the conservatism of the QLD Labor pushes people to the greens.
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GoTfan
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« Reply #516 on: May 21, 2022, 05:12:48 AM »

ABC is saying Boothby is still in doubt with Liberals ahead. If we can't even win that, something has gone badly, badly wrong.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #517 on: May 21, 2022, 05:13:41 AM »

ABC is saying Boothby is still in doubt with Liberals ahead. If we can't even win that, something has gone badly, badly wrong.
Maybe i'm jumping the gun, but I think Labour choice to abandon environmentalism after the 2019 disappointment might be part of the reason.
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H. Ross Peron
General Mung Beans
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« Reply #518 on: May 21, 2022, 05:16:08 AM »

Looks like heavily Chinese speaker seats are showing noticeable swings to ALP.
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Pericles
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« Reply #519 on: May 21, 2022, 05:16:19 AM »

ABC suggesting that Labor getting better swings with Chinese language speakers. Not a surprise but interesting to see-if it plays out.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #520 on: May 21, 2022, 05:17:07 AM »

ABC is saying Boothby is still in doubt with Liberals ahead. If we can't even win that, something has gone badly, badly wrong.

Not winning a seat you haven’t won since the 40s? Boothby narrowly disappointing Labor has been a pattern for decades now.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #521 on: May 21, 2022, 05:18:57 AM »

ABC suggesting that Labor getting better swings with Chinese language speakers. Not a surprise but interesting to see-if it plays out.
Another swing in Chinese voters towards the left, similar to the collapse of the Canadian Tories in the Canadian election.  I wonder if some of this is to do with age churn as younger more left-wing Chinese voters come into the electorate.
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CumbrianLefty
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« Reply #522 on: May 21, 2022, 05:30:25 AM »

I'm not Antony Green but I do not see how the Coalition can form a government under these numbers.
Bribe the Greens, Net zero by 2025. The Real story of this election is that saying " Screw the Enviorment" is suprisingly not a very popular political postion.

Seriously, what are the chances of this happening even if the numbers are there?
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #523 on: May 21, 2022, 05:31:54 AM »

Now looks like Labor might gain Sturt but not Boothby. Absolutely hysterical if true.
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Ebowed
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« Reply #524 on: May 21, 2022, 05:38:06 AM »

Kristina Keneally is not looking too good in Fowler at all.
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