1994 New Jersey Senate race with hindsight

[Suburbia]

U.S. Sen. Frank Lautenberg, incumbent Democrat, won reelection against New Jersey General Assembly Speaker Garabed "Chuck" Haytaian, the Republican challenger in 1994.

Haytaian sexually harassed a woman while being in the Assembly and had to pay a settlement.

Who would you vote for?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1994_United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Jersey

[darklordoftech]

Lautenberg both with and without hindsight.

[PSOL]

Damn, they’ve been running Kuniansky for that long?

[Fuzzy Bear]

I supported Lautenberg back then.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Lautenberg both with and without hindsight.

[kwabbit]

Interesting how the map is similar but the margin is drastically different. I had typed out a whole, long county by county list of trends but accidentally deleted it lol.

The main point was the real culprit for the difficulty in Republicans getting close and winning in NJ is that they've collapsed way too much in suburban Essex and Union. The GOP used to be able to keep Union within 10 and Essex within 25. These days are long, long over. When they could do that, the math isn't too difficult. When Union is 2 to 1, then the votes aren't there to even get to 45% of the vote.

Interestingly Bergen has matched the partisanship of the state, as has Passaic and Burlington to some extent. NJ has a lot of diverse areas which make pronounced swings and trends less common.

[Roll Roons]

Interestingly Bergen has matched the partisanship of the state, as has Passaic and Burlington to some extent. NJ has a lot of diverse areas which make pronounced swings and trends less common.

I suspect Passaic and Somerset will be the likely statewide bellwether counties for at least the next decade.

[kwabbit]

Interestingly Bergen has matched the partisanship of the state, as has Passaic and Burlington to some extent. NJ has a lot of diverse areas which make pronounced swings and trends less common.

I suspect Passaic and Somerset will be the likely statewide bellwether counties for at least the next decade.

Somerset seems primed to continue trending leftward, Passaic rightward. Bergen has been very good at matching the statewide margin and will continue doing so IMO. Burlington too, which has escaped South Jersey trends, although most of it isn't very South Jerseyesque.