ProgressiveModerate
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« on: January 18, 2022, 07:46:51 PM » |
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Even 2012 and 2020 Presidential elections where the incumbent did worse than last time, minorities by and large swung towards them, in many cases by pretty extreme amounts.
Some examples of this are:
-Cubans in Miami-Dade; Hispanics in Osceola County
-Garden Grove
-RGV and most border Hispanic communities
-"Black belt"
-New York City as a whole
-Native reservations
In every Pres election since 2000, this has been true for all these communities.
Are there really a significant portion of voters in these communities who vote for the incumbent as a rule? Are they more leniant on the incumbent? Does it have to do with coincidence if the issues that year? Is there a correlation with turnout?
Some of these shifts can't be understated because they are often parts of the coutnry that see the largest shifts one way or another.
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