2022 Senate prediction (as of January)
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Author Topic: 2022 Senate prediction (as of January)  (Read 4155 times)
Ferguson97
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« on: January 17, 2022, 09:59:57 PM »

States that are competitive or have retiring incumbents:

Alabama: Mo Brooks
Arizona: Blake Masters (FLIP)
Georgia: Raphael Warnock
Missouri: Eric Greitens
Nevada: Adam Laxalt (FLIP)
New Hampshire: Maggie Hasan
North Carolina: Ted Budd
Ohio: Josh Mandel
Pennsylvania: Dr. Oz
Vermont: Peter Welch
Wisconsin: Ron Johnson

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1 on: January 18, 2022, 11:55:22 AM »

No way GA goes D before all the other blue states WARNOCK is losing 49)48 and Fetterman is leading 44)42 Oz
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: January 18, 2022, 04:45:58 PM »

Why are Ds so afraid of predicting on their users prediction 😠😠🤭
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #3 on: January 18, 2022, 10:48:03 PM »

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: January 19, 2022, 12:06:29 AM »

We're not losing CO
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dw93
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« Reply #5 on: January 23, 2022, 02:03:09 PM »

A Wash. Dems hold GA and AZ, and gain PA, while the GOP holds WI and gains NV.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: January 28, 2022, 12:38:27 AM »

CCM isn't losing since KENTAJI BROWN, it's the end result not what's going on now
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: March 15, 2022, 12:17:23 PM »

My current predictions:

AZ:
Masters - 50.5%
Kelly - 47%

CO:
Bennet: 50.5%
Republican candidate - 46%

FL:
Rubio - 53%
Demings - 44.5%

GA (run-off):
Walker - 51%
Warnock - 49%

NV:
Laxalt - 48.5%
Masto - 47%

NH:
Morse - 49%
Hassan - 48.5%

NC:
Budd - 52%
Beasley - 45%

PA:
McCormick - 51%
Lamb - 47%

WI:
Johnson - 50.5%
Barnes- 46%
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GregTheGreat657
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« Reply #8 on: March 19, 2022, 05:45:19 PM »

OH:
Mandel: 54%
Ryan 45%

GA:
Walker 50%
Warnock 48%

PA:
Oz: 51%
Lamb: 47% (people forget that he underperformed Biden by about a point)

NH:
Hassan 48.5%
Bolduc 48%

AZ:
Masters 50%
Kelly 47%

CO:
Bennet 51.5%
Bremer 46%

NC:
Budd 51%
Beasley 46%

WI
Johnson 52%
Barnes 46%

NV:
Laxalt 50.5%
Cortez-Masto 48%

FL:
Rubio 54%
Demings 44%

Rubio also has a solid chance of winning Miami-Dade
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #9 on: April 01, 2022, 09:46:00 AM »

FL: Likely R --> Safe R. Both Rubio and DeSantis.

Both looking at polls in Florida (which typically underestimates R's substantially) and the rate of change for Republican-Democratic registration advantage, I see no viable path for Democrats to win the state in 2022.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: April 01, 2022, 01:11:40 PM »

My current predictions:

AZ:
Masters - 50.5%
Kelly - 47%

CO:
Bennet: 50.5%
Republican candidate - 46%

FL:
Rubio - 53%
Demings - 44.5%

GA (run-off):
Walker - 51%
Warnock - 49%

NV:
Laxalt - 48.5%
Masto - 47%

NH:
Morse - 49%
Hassan - 48.5%

NC:
Budd - 52%
Beasley - 45%

PA:
McCormick - 51%
Lamb - 47%

WI:
Johnson - 50.5%
Barnes- 46%

There isn't a single poll showing Kelly behind
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: April 02, 2022, 10:42:02 PM »
« Edited: April 02, 2022, 11:02:30 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

So much for your nut prediction Beto is only down 42/40 and Abbott is supposed to blow him out 60/40 that's not gonna happen

I wouldn't listen to Ferguson to getting an R nut map Prediction either
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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #12 on: April 10, 2022, 07:55:15 AM »

So much for your nut prediction Beto is only down 42/40 and Abbott is supposed to blow him out 60/40 that's not gonna happen

I wouldn't listen to Ferguson to getting an R nut map Prediction either

Your prediction would be bullish even if Biden was the best president ever (he is not).
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #13 on: April 10, 2022, 11:49:45 AM »

So much for your nut prediction Beto is only down 42/40 and Abbott is supposed to blow him out 60/40 that's not gonna happen

I wouldn't listen to Ferguson to getting an R nut map Prediction either

Your prediction would be bullish even if Biden was the best president ever (he is not).

Kelly is ahead by 4 pts Trump netted seats twice at 44 percent Approvals and we have 125 M vote Turnout do you know what Turnout was in 2010/14 it was 82 M and Rs love to talk about Biden Trump had the same exact Approvals

Where are the MI, PA and WI polls that show D's losing there aren't any those are the states that matter stop prempting an Election it's votes not Approvals that matter that's why Trump netted seats with 44 not 50 Approvals
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #14 on: April 18, 2022, 07:59:28 PM »
« Edited: April 21, 2022, 11:07:21 PM by Ferguson97 »

Updating this three months later:

Alabama: Mo Brooks Katie Britt (changing after Trump withdrawing his endorsement of Brooks)
Arizona: Blake Masters (FLIP)
Georgia: Raphael Warnock Herschel Walker (FLIP) (this one hurts...)
Missouri: Eric Greitens Vicky Hartzler (Greitens probably can't outrun the allegations)
Nevada: Adam Laxalt (FLIP)
New Hampshire: Maggie Hasan
North Carolina: Ted Budd
Ohio: Josh Mandel J.D. Vance (Trump endorsement)
Pennsylvania: Dr. Oz
Vermont: Peter Welch
Wisconsin: Ron Johnson

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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #15 on: July 27, 2022, 12:13:17 PM »

My prediction:

Senate: 51 D/49 R

AZ - Kelly

GA- Warnock

PA - Fetterman

NV - Cortez Masto

OH - Vance

WI - Johnson

FL - Rubio
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