FLORIDA: GOP Leads Democrats By 43K in Voter Registration (GOP +177,344 since Nov 2020)

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1481436586940190721?s=20

[2016]

@BigSerg,
When the new Numbers come out next month Florida Republicans will nearly have a 60,000 Registration lead over Democrats in the State.

[Person Man]

@BigSerg,
When the new Numbers come out next month Florida Republicans will nearly have a 60,000 Registration lead over Democrats in the State.

Do you work with them?

[TodayJunior]

Nice spin you got there. Might I point out the decline in BOTH parties and an uptick in the Minor Parties and NPA, which goes both ways of course.

Florida is STILL A SWING STATE!!!!!!

[Unelectable Bystander]

Nice spin you got there. Might I point out the decline in BOTH parties and an uptick in the Minor Parties and NPA, which goes both ways of course.

Florida is STILL A SWING STATE!!!!!!

Only atlas can convince you that having more republicans than democrats is actually a good thing for dems

[Xing]

Are we going to have a thread every 15 seconds about the Democratic registration advantage in Nevada, as well?

[TodayJunior]

Nice spin you got there. Might I point out the decline in BOTH parties and an uptick in the Minor Parties and NPA, which goes both ways of course.

Florida is STILL A SWING STATE!!!!!!

Only atlas can convince you that having more republicans than democrats is actually a good thing for dems

That’s not what I said. I’m simply pointing out the decline in raw numbers on both sides and the uptick in minor/third/no party registration bc of the increased frustration with both mainline parties.

[2016]

Nice spin you got there. Might I point out the decline in BOTH parties and an uptick in the Minor Parties and NPA, which goes both ways of course.

Florida is STILL A SWING STATE!!!!!!

Only atlas can convince you that having more republicans than democrats is actually a good thing for dems

That’s not what I said. I’m simply pointing out the decline in raw numbers on both sides and the uptick in minor/third/no party registration bc of the increased frustration with both mainline parties.

The NPA Voters or Independents as they are called in FL are R-leaning at least for 2022. Florida will not be a Swing State during the 2024 Presidential Election. The substantial Gains Republicans are making in South Florida is something to behold and won't be offset by the gains Democrats make in Seminole, etc.

Here is the new Voter Registration out of FL up to January 31st

Republicans 5,126,689
Democrats 5,059,214
Minor Parties 254,468
No Party Affiliation 3,836,401

Since the 2020 Presidential Election Republicans have registered 200K+ New Voters and you would be kidding yourself if you think that they would be voting Democratic.

[Skill and Chance]

At this point, national Dems should just concede FL and hope it becomes a natural GOP pack consistently won by a couple million votes so they can make up some of the EC bias.

[TodayJunior]

Nice spin you got there. Might I point out the decline in BOTH parties and an uptick in the Minor Parties and NPA, which goes both ways of course.

Florida is STILL A SWING STATE!!!!!!

Only atlas can convince you that having more republicans than democrats is actually a good thing for dems

That’s not what I said. I’m simply pointing out the decline in raw numbers on both sides and the uptick in minor/third/no party registration bc of the increased frustration with both mainline parties.

The NPA Voters or Independents as they are called in FL are R-leaning at least for 2022. Florida will not be a Swing State during the 2024 Presidential Election. The substantial Gains Republicans are making in South Florida is something to behold and won't be offset by the gains Democrats make in Seminole, etc.

Here is the new Voter Registration out of FL up to January 31st

Republicans 5,126,689
Democrats 5,059,214
Minor Parties 254,468
No Party Affiliation 3,836,401

Since the 2020 Presidential Election Republicans have registered 200K+ New Voters and you would be kidding yourself if you think that they would be voting Democratic.

I will agree with you on 2022 electorate for NPAs. 2024 is too early to tell. I’m not going to speculate about that one at this time bc no one can know what the political landscape will be like 2.5 years into the future. I’m willing to bet it will look different from today.

[Mr.Phips]

At this point, national Dems should just concede FL and hope it becomes a natural GOP pack consistently won by a couple million votes so they can make up some of the EC bias.

Nah they’ll keep spending tens of millions there to keep losing.

[sting in the rafters]

At this point, national Dems should just concede FL and hope it becomes a natural GOP pack consistently won by a couple million votes so they can make up some of the EC bias.

Disagree solely because the GOP is DONE nationally without Florida. This is why the GOP has placed so much emphasis on turning the state red; they were canvassing/doing voter registration drives in Miami-Dade in spring 2017 like it was the fall of an election year because for them it might as well be. The basic math of 2 Senate seats and Clinton states+FL+any Trump-Biden state>270 speaks for itself.

It is true demographic trends with retirees/snowbirds and the infrastructure gap with reaching out to Hispanophones both strongly favor the GOP; However Dems need to play offense in one of Texas/Florida. You can't afford to have 2 of the 3 largest states off the board before a single ballot is cast.

[2016]

At this point, national Dems should just concede FL and hope it becomes a natural GOP pack consistently won by a couple million votes so they can make up some of the EC bias.

Disagree solely because the GOP is DONE nationally without Florida. This is why the GOP has placed so much emphasis on turning the state red; they were canvassing/doing voter registration drives in Miami-Dade in spring 2017 like it was the fall of an election year because for them it might as well be. The basic math of 2 Senate seats and Clinton states+FL+any Trump-Biden state>270 speaks for itself.

It is true demographic trends with retirees/snowbirds and the infrastructure gap with reaching out to Hispanophones both strongly favor the GOP; However Dems need to play offense in one of Texas/Florida. You can't afford to have 2 of the 3 largest states off the board before a single ballot is cast.

Republicans are registering new Voters at a rate in Florida that hasn't been seen in Decades. They are adding 15-17K Voters every month. If those trends continue they have a 200-250K Registration Edge in October 2024 heading into the Presidential Election which would be impossible to overcome.

[WPADEM]

At this point, national Dems should just concede FL and hope it becomes a natural GOP pack consistently won by a couple million votes so they can make up some of the EC bias.

Disagree solely because the GOP is DONE nationally without Florida. This is why the GOP has placed so much emphasis on turning the state red; they were canvassing/doing voter registration drives in Miami-Dade in spring 2017 like it was the fall of an election year because for them it might as well be. The basic math of 2 Senate seats and Clinton states+FL+any Trump-Biden state>270 speaks for itself.

It is true demographic trends with retirees/snowbirds and the infrastructure gap with reaching out to Hispanophones both strongly favor the GOP; However Dems need to play offense in one of Texas/Florida. You can't afford to have 2 of the 3 largest states off the board before a single ballot is cast.

Republicans are registering new Voters at a rate in Florida that hasn't been seen in Decades. They are adding 15-17K Voters every month. If those trends continue they have a 200-250K Registration Edge in October 2024 heading into the Presidential Election which would be impossible to overcome.

What do you think had lead to this change? Culturally conservative Hispanics moving away from the Democrats? The lousy state of the Florida Democratic party?

[Frodo]

Best to consider at least some of those numbers as suspect:

More Miami voters report illegitimate party affiliation changes

Analysis: Signatures of Florida voters whose registration was changed to Republican are noticeably different than prior samples

[2016]

At this point, national Dems should just concede FL and hope it becomes a natural GOP pack consistently won by a couple million votes so they can make up some of the EC bias.

Disagree solely because the GOP is DONE nationally without Florida. This is why the GOP has placed so much emphasis on turning the state red; they were canvassing/doing voter registration drives in Miami-Dade in spring 2017 like it was the fall of an election year because for them it might as well be. The basic math of 2 Senate seats and Clinton states+FL+any Trump-Biden state>270 speaks for itself.

It is true demographic trends with retirees/snowbirds and the infrastructure gap with reaching out to Hispanophones both strongly favor the GOP; However Dems need to play offense in one of Texas/Florida. You can't afford to have 2 of the 3 largest states off the board before a single ballot is cast.

Republicans are registering new Voters at a rate in Florida that hasn't been seen in Decades. They are adding 15-17K Voters every month. If those trends continue they have a 200-250K Registration Edge in October 2024 heading into the Presidential Election which would be impossible to overcome.

What do you think had lead to this change? Culturally conservative Hispanics moving away from the Democrats? The lousy state of the Florida Democratic party?

Probably a little bit of both. Also, since Biden took Office Democrats have become more liberal. Socialism doesn't sit very well in Southern Florida.

[EastwoodS]

Best to consider at least some of those numbers as suspect:

More Miami voters report illegitimate party affiliation changes

Analysis: Signatures of Florida voters whose registration was changed to Republican are noticeably different than prior samples

This is a Dem cope. 😭

[Frodo]

Best to consider at least some of those numbers as suspect:

More Miami voters report illegitimate party affiliation changes

Analysis: Signatures of Florida voters whose registration was changed to Republican are noticeably different than prior samples

This is a Dem cope. 😭

No, it's correcting the record. 

[EastwoodS]

Best to consider at least some of those numbers as suspect:

More Miami voters report illegitimate party affiliation changes

Analysis: Signatures of Florida voters whose registration was changed to Republican are noticeably different than prior samples

This is a Dem cope. 😭

No, it's correcting the record. 

It’s minuscule 

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Best to consider at least some of those numbers as suspect:

More Miami voters report illegitimate party affiliation changes

Analysis: Signatures of Florida voters whose registration was changed to Republican are noticeably different than prior samples

This is a Dem cope. 😭

No, it's correcting the record. 

It’s minuscule 

It's more voter fraud than 2020 had.

[Person Man]

Best to consider at least some of those numbers as suspect:

More Miami voters report illegitimate party affiliation changes

Analysis: Signatures of Florida voters whose registration was changed to Republican are noticeably different than prior samples

This is a Dem cope. 😭

No, it's correcting the record. 

It’s minuscule 

It's more voter fraud than 2020 had.

I mean, if there's widespread voting fraud and ballot stuffing by Republicans in South Florida, it would explain a lot...possibly but not probably as much as the fact that Republicans have been able to foster an "aspirational" and "Cold Warrior" culture in South Florida.