Who were the strongest starters, mid game campaigners and closers
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Who were the strongest starters, mid game campaigners and closers
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Author Topic: Who were the strongest starters, mid game campaigners and closers  (Read 326 times)
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« on: January 09, 2022, 03:04:11 AM »

Starters meaning quality of campaign from the end of primaries- Conventions

Mid Game Campaigners meaning Conventions- First Debate

Closers meaning First Debate-Election Day


Since 2000 Id say the strongest Starter was Obama 2012 when he set the narrative about Romney all through the summer and that narrative pretty much stayed through election day and what let him win so conformably


The Strongest Mid Game Campaigner was Bush in 2004 when he basically turned what happened to be a close race until that point wide open and take a comfortable lead in the polls by the time of the first debate


The Strongest Closer Was Trump 2016 when he basically was able to set the tone in the debates and ran a pretty disciplined campaign in his last 2-3 weeks and get the upset





Historically Id say Clinton in 1992 was a very strong mid game campaigner, Reagan a strong starter and closer

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dw93
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« Reply #1 on: January 09, 2022, 11:58:51 AM »

Historically:

For strongest Starter: I agree 100% with you, it's Obama 2012, as prior to that point he was pretty vulnerable, and was even down in some polls, but it was in this stage that he took the advantage, and more or less kept it by setting the narrative and defining Romney as an elitist job killer early in the campaign.

For strongest mid game: Bush in 1988. Dukakis was leading Bush by double digits after the Democratic convention, it was with and after the GOP convention that Bush not only took the lead, but took a commanding lead (even if it wasn't always double digits).

For Closer: Ford in 1976. It was at this stage that the race went from Carter leading by double digits to the gap being significantly closed. Had it not been for the "There's in no Soviet domination in eastern Europe" gaffe, Ford may have very well pulled it off.
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TheTide
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« Reply #2 on: January 13, 2022, 05:19:01 AM »

Goldwater in 1964 finished quite strongly per the polls, oddly enough. Which merely meant that he lost by 23% instead of 30%. LBJ was said to be a bit disappointed by his margin.
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