Politics and Elections in the Netherlands: November 22 snap election, Rutte to leave (user search)
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  Politics and Elections in the Netherlands: November 22 snap election, Rutte to leave (search mode)
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Author Topic: Politics and Elections in the Netherlands: November 22 snap election, Rutte to leave  (Read 24796 times)
Laki 🇧🇪❤️🇺🇦
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,416
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P

« on: July 28, 2022, 03:52:53 PM »
« edited: July 28, 2022, 04:00:32 PM by Laki »



Death threats for the leader of BBB. They've decided to be more calm with upcoming media visits.

Protests currently still ongoing, and escalating.



Government approval rating is tanking (actually already started on low approval).

Some analysis i found and that i agree with:

Quote
This government was already unpopular when it started as it was a continuation of the previous Rutte III govt that collapsed over a big scandal. And then the country was without a functioning govt for a year.

Since then, D66 has lost voters to its left who think the govt is too economically right-wing and unambitious on the environment

VVD and CDA have lost many voters to their right (mostly BBB) who are unhappy over the govt's nitrogen pollution and (for the VVD) migration policies

So the govt is in a difficult place, especially on nitrogen pollution:

D66 is vulnerable to their voters who want MORE action to cut agriculture so homes can be built and nature saved

VVD/CDA are vulnerable as their voters want LESS action and are more supportive of the farmers
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Laki 🇧🇪❤️🇺🇦
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,416
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P

« Reply #1 on: March 16, 2023, 02:38:00 AM »

BBB won 58.8% of the vote in rural Tubbergen, Overijssel. Complete bloodbath for every other party. CDA lost three quarters of their vote in their former stronghold, down to 11% from 42%.



Turnout increased by 16% (up from 60 to 76)
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Laki 🇧🇪❤️🇺🇦
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,416
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P

« Reply #2 on: March 16, 2023, 02:23:01 PM »
« Edited: March 16, 2023, 02:26:17 PM by Senator Laki »

The Netherlands is not the only country in Europe that has a large agricultural sector and its also not the only country that is trying to meet climate change targets. Why is this BBB revolt by farmers such a uniquely Dutch phenomenon? Why do we not see similar parties popping up in Germany or Denmark or Belgium. I know those other countries have rightwing populist parties - but they tend to be focused on xenophobia and not fight against nitrogen reduction.

Low electoral threshold and at large lists, and less party financing than elsewhere.

Belgium has a high electoral threshold (and for local / regionalized lists), meaning you need to get proportionally higher percentage of votes in each region to get a seat. The financing for parties is much higher meaning it is harder to make a breakthrough.

Simply said, the system in the Netherlands is much more friendly for new parties to have an electoral breaktrough given the democracy is more direct.

The system can be called hyperproportional, for example the USA has 2 major parties but has virtually no proportional electoral process, but winner takes it all system (exc for presidential primaries).

This leads to a political culture where a vote for a different party isn't necessarily a wasted vote, meaning people are more open to vote for minor parties.

BBB had some visibility due to winning 1 seat last time in parliamentary elections. The person elected made good use of that seat in the nitrogen debate, meaning she got a lot of visibility for only having 1 seat, increasing name recognition etc.
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