What would a 2020 revote look like right now?

[GregTheGreat657]

I'd guess that Trump wins

[patzer]

I think Trump wins marginally thanks to slightly lessened Dem turnout, but it could go either way.

[Redban]

Now, at this very moment, Trump would win

But if you schedule the election for a few months away and thus give Democrats a chance to mobilize and campaign, then I think Biden would eke out a small win. There are just more Democrat voters than Republicans. If Democrats get a chance to mobilize, they can't lose

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Trump wins the NPV by 4-5 points.  Virginia and Colorado are decided by <2 points.  Miami-Dade flips.

[Aurelius]

Hard to say. On one hand inflation and the ongoing covid insanity pushes some Biden voters toward Trump; on the other hand 1/6 and Trump's post-election behavior in general pushes some Trump voters toward Biden. I personally know people fitting both descriptions who regret their votes for said reasons. I suspect the former is more numerous than the latter, but it's hard to say, and even if so I don't know if it's enough to push Trump to a victory rather than simply narrow Biden's winning margins.

Glenn Youngkin's victory and Ciattarelli's near-victory really do illustrate how much many voters are tired of Democrats' approach to COVID (focus groups after the VA election indicate that endless school closures, not CRT, were the main education-related issue driving voters to Youngkin), but Donald Trump is not Glenn Youngkin. Don't forget either that Youngkin never told people to inject bleach.

[Vice President Christian Man]

Considering Biden's approval rating averages are around 43/51, I'd assume the P.V. would look like a 52-45 Trump victory.