Why did Clinton do relatively well with Hispanics (especially Miami-Dade)?
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  Why did Clinton do relatively well with Hispanics (especially Miami-Dade)?
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Author Topic: Why did Clinton do relatively well with Hispanics (especially Miami-Dade)?  (Read 2291 times)
Ferguson97
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« on: January 06, 2022, 05:25:10 PM »

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TDAS04
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« Reply #1 on: January 06, 2022, 06:28:09 PM »

Clinton improved greatly with Hispanics and minorities in general in 1996, and he campaigned heavily in Florida.  His number with Florida Hispanics also appears pretty great when compared with the drop-off with Cuban-Americans experienced by Al Gore four years later, due to Elian Gonzales backlash.
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iamaganster123
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« Reply #2 on: January 06, 2022, 10:11:13 PM »

Clinton improved greatly with Hispanics and minorities in general in 1996, and he campaigned heavily in Florida.  His number with Florida Hispanics also appears pretty great when compared with the drop-off with Cuban-Americans experienced by Al Gore four years later, due to Elian Gonzales backlash.
Referring to 2016 not 1996. And besides the main reason why Bill Clinton won Florida was because of his improvement among suburbanites(especially the more secular non evangelical types)
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TDAS04
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« Reply #3 on: January 06, 2022, 10:15:47 PM »

Oh, sorry.
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GregTheGreat657
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« Reply #4 on: January 06, 2022, 10:33:33 PM »

Hispanics were force-fed a message that Trump was going deport them throughout 2016, and that likely increased fears among Hispanic voters enough for them to swing left in 2016
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TML
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« Reply #5 on: January 10, 2022, 05:59:15 PM »

When it came to Hispanic voter outreach, Clinton clearly did a better job on this front than Biden did in 2020. (BTW, I think that while it may be difficult for Democratic candidates to replicate Clinton's 2016 margin in M-D in the foreseeable future, it shouldn't be that difficult to replicate a margin similar to Obama 2012, Crist 2014, or Gillum/Nelson 2018.)
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #6 on: January 10, 2022, 10:21:34 PM »
« Edited: September 02, 2023, 11:40:55 PM by Mr. Smith »

Because she made the effort, and time and time again had that record. She defeated Obama in '08 on the popular vote thanks to them, they were just as critical as the all-too-consuming-old-black vote to ensuring Bernie had no chance after that.
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MARGINS6729
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« Reply #7 on: May 03, 2023, 11:52:23 PM »

Trump's rhetoric, lack of outreach, and Hillary's strong history with them plus excellent outreach by her.
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riverwalk3
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« Reply #8 on: September 02, 2023, 03:04:07 PM »

Biden was one of the weakest candidates Democrats ever put up with minorities. He has done everything he can do to lose minority votes, and there's no indication this will change between now and the 2024 election.

Mucarsel-Powell better distance herself from Biden to have any chance of winning. She is a Hillary-like candidate and will get closer to Hillary margins in Miami-Dade, but not completely because of how big of a drag Biden is at the top of the ticket.
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« Reply #9 on: September 02, 2023, 06:53:25 PM »
« Edited: September 02, 2023, 07:00:56 PM by Maps are a good thing »

Her opponent ran a nativist platform and had a widely reported neo-Nazi fanbase, which was enough to delay the inevitable Cuban Thaw backlash. This isn't hard.
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riverwalk3
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« Reply #10 on: September 02, 2023, 09:45:18 PM »

Her opponent ran a nativist platform and had a widely reported neo-Nazi fanbase, which was enough to delay the inevitable Cuban Thaw backlash. This isn't hard.
There wouldn't have been as big of a backlash in 2020 had Clinton been the nominee again. Biden is the big reason why there was such a big backlash.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #11 on: September 02, 2023, 11:56:40 PM »

Her opponent ran a nativist platform and had a widely reported neo-Nazi fanbase, which was enough to delay the inevitable Cuban Thaw backlash. This isn't hard.
There wouldn't have been as big of a backlash in 2020 had Clinton been the nominee again. Biden is the big reason why there was such a big backlash.

Of course not, 'cuz the voters wouldn't have moved to Bernie and then been thrown under the bus for doing so.

But even if Sanders didn't make the angle he did, Hillary still made all that effort.

Whereas Biden ran as a Generic, and honestly anyone Generic D would've fallen prey, because Generic D is platform too afraid to just say "stfu, socialism is awesome" or even redirect it.  Even a John Kerry or Al Gore retread falls to this. Even John Delaney or Warren falls to this. Possibly Beto too.
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buffalobillsfan4444life
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« Reply #12 on: January 19, 2024, 05:20:50 PM »

Hillary Clinton did especially well in hispanic districts in california in 2016. Here are the resultas for both county and CDs

county


CDs
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mileslunn
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« Reply #13 on: January 21, 2024, 03:57:28 PM »

Trump's nativist rhetoric scared a lot of Hispanics as well as Clinton put more effort into it.  It was strong showing amongst Latinos that saved her in Nevada.  Yes Biden held state as he did better amongst whites than Clinton to compensate for weaker showing amongst Latinos.

In 2020 Trump had been in office for one term so fear was somewhat less as well as people like AOC and others in squad really scared Cuban and Venezuelan community who have very negative views of socialism and don't want any party associated with socialism.  It was same reason Garden Grove and Westminster in California saw big swings towards Trump in 2020 as large Vietnamese population who much like Cuban are very anti-Socialist.
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