Internal D Hamilton Beattie and Staff: Ford has 2 pt lead on Corker

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D: 47%. R: 45%

http://www.pollster.com/

[Sam Spade]

More proof which leads me to suspect Corker is ahead inside the MOE.

[Eraserhead]

More proof which leads me to suspect Corker is ahead inside the MOE.

^^^^^^^^
At least inside the MOE.

[Sam Spade]

More proof which leads me to suspect Corker is ahead inside the MOE.

^^^^^^^^
At least inside the MOE.

Public polling indicates nothing but that.    

I'd place my money on Corker +2-+3.

[poughies]

That is a big problem..... this continues to ad to the idea that Ford has lost 5 and corker has added 5 on in the last month.

[poughies]

when was the poll taken.... if it was taken last week as opposed to this week that would make a difference....

[Eraserhead]

I have a feeling Virginia might be our best shot at a sixth seat now...not that I'm writing this race off.

[poughies]

when a reputible poll has Webb up i'll believe that.... I really do think that this RNC ad will affect the race, but that it could either way good or bad..... That is why I'm interested to see when this poll was taken.

[TheresNoMoney]

Corker will squeek out a win in this race by the skin of his teeth.

[Eraserhead]

when a reputible poll has Webb up i'll believe that.... I really do think that this RNC ad will affect the race, but that it could either way good or bad..... That is why I'm interested to see when this poll was taken.

Well Webb is within a point in Rasmussen's latest poll and not mention he doesn't have the unfortunate but real problem of being a black guy running in the south.

[poughies]

yea but rasmussen had ford down 2... so i mean, the statistical significance is nothing...

[Eraserhead]

yea but rasmussen had ford down 2... so i mean, the statistical significance is nothing...

Yeah but Webb is white. Quite white.

[Sam Spade]

The statistical significance of someone being up 2 or 3 is really unimportant until a series of successive polls shows the same result or average as such.  That's what you have in TN and VA.  That means these races are toss-ups, but they are Lean GOP toss-ups (there is a difference)

In MO, I'm simply less sure about because the outlier is M-D.  In NJ, you have it averaging to about about 3-4 point lead, which is just right on the edge between Lean D and Lean Dem toss-up.

[okstate]

I think this race is tied, if anything.

The SurveyUSA poll out last night, of course, found an exact tie. But the larger point is that the Playboy "scandal" and the press conference mishap have had no effect on the race whatsoever. The net change in each polling company's trends are very close to even. It's all about turnout, and I would be surprised if either candidate has a palpable advantage at this point.

[poughies]

right. Though I want more polling this week.... because all polls released were taken last week (with the exception of part of the LA times poll, which is garbage anyway as can be told by the fact that miss and tenn were rep and virginia was dem).