ID GOP Primary (Idaho Dispatch, Zoldak Research) - Little +41

[BoiseBoy]

Little - 59%
McGeachin - 19%
Bundy - 6%
Humphreys - 2%
Bradshaw - 1%
Usabel - 0%
Undecided - 14%

In H2H matchups
Little v McGeachin - Little +30
Little v Bundy - Little +55
Little v Humphreys - Little +42
Little v Bradshaw - Little +54

575 LV, Conducted December 20-21, with a MoE of +/-4.1%
https://idahodispatch.com/2022-idaho-republican-primary-zoldak-research-poll-breakdown-governors-race/

[President Johnson]

Seems like Little is pretty safe. I remember some posters questioning his standing. Obviously this can change, but I'm not sure whether this lead is too wide.

[Roll Roons]

Good. Hope this holds because Janice is absolutely nuts.

[beesley]

Generally Republican Primary voters don't go 'hey, this person is more right/Trumpy/loopy' and vote for that person. That's a gross mischaracterisation that is often perpetuated here.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Generally Republican Primary voters don't go 'hey, this person is more right/Trumpy/loopy' and vote for that person. That's a gross mischaracterisation that is often perpetuated here.

Maybe, but she does have the Trump endorsement and that has been a winner for most primaries aside from maybe AL Senate in 2017

[THG]

Remember when I said that Little was basically safe, Trump endorsement or not?

[kwabbit]

Generally Republican Primary voters don't go 'hey, this person is more right/Trumpy/loopy' and vote for that person. That's a gross mischaracterisation that is often perpetuated here.

Maybe, but she does have the Trump endorsement and that has been a winner for most primaries aside from maybe AL Senate in 2017

That's typically because Trump doesn't go out on a limb in most races. He usually picks the expected winner provided they are Trumpy enough, not just picking the most Trumpy candidate. This cycle is different, he's making very early endorsements and should have a meaningfully lower success rate because of that. There aren't too many examples of a Trump endorsement completely upending a race, 2018 FL Gov is one I can think of but not past that.

[Roll Roons]

1. I still don't really understand what Little did to piss Trump off.

2. If Trump's chosen candidate does indeed lose to a more moderate opponent in the reddest of red states (especially by that type of margin), it does pose serious questions about his staying power.