2002 Bush midterms without 9/11

[Suburbia]

What does a President Bush midterm 2002 look like without 9/11?

[NewYorkExpress]

I think the Gubernatorial elections would have gone about the same.

Democrats win control of the House by a narrow (3-5 seat) margin, electing Dick Gephardt as Speaker.

In the Senate:

Democrats gain Arkansas, Colorado, Minnesota (from Independence after Paul Wellstone's death and Dean Barkley's appointment) and New Hampshire.

Republicans gain Georgia, Missouri and New Jersey (I don't think Torricelli withdraws from the Senate race in this universe, as Democrats would be on track to gain enough Senate seats to able to hold the Senate without him).

[Mr.Phips]

I think the Gubernatorial elections would have gone about the same.

Democrats win control of the House by a narrow (3-5 seat) margin, electing Dick Gephardt as Speaker.

In the Senate:

Democrats gain Arkansas, Colorado, Minnesota (from Independence after Paul Wellstone's death and Dean Barkley's appointment) and New Hampshire.

Republicans gain Georgia, Missouri and New Jersey (I don't think Torricelli withdraws from the Senate race in this universe, as Democrats would be on track to gain enough Senate seats to able to hold the Senate without him).

This is probably not too far off although I think Carnahan wins in MO and maybe Allard still squeaks it out in CO (state was much more Republican then).

[Suburbia]

Does Pataki still win a third term?

[NewYorkExpress]

Does Pataki still win a third term?

New York's the most likely Governor's mansion to change hands, if only because Andrew Cuomo would have stayed in the race, beaten Carl McCall in the primary, and might have beaten Pataki in the general election.

[OSR stands with Israel]

House: Republicans lose around 10 seats in the House giving Democrats a 223-212 majority in the House(Counting Bernie as a Democrat and Goode a Republican)

Senate: Democrats hold on to Missouri and Minnesota thus keep their 51-49 majority

Gubernatorial Races: Democrats hold on to Alabama and Vermont


I think what keeps larger losses is the economy is better than it was OTL due to 9/11 never happening so that keeps Republican losses minimal but their majorities were so small that they still lose the House