NRSC internals of GA and NV: Laxalt +4 and Walker +1

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tilt R/Lean D

NV isn't Tilt R it's within margin of error and Biden will be back to 50/45 bye Election day when COVID disappears in Spring

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

These are Trafalgar polls, for the record.

NV/AZ being more vulnerable than NH/GA is something that should surprise nobody, of course (and the fact that for so long the conventional wisdom on Atlas and elsewhere was that they weren’t never made this any less true). However, th e poll report actually shows the numbers as 44-41 in Nevada, not 46-42 (seems to be an NBC mistake). You might want to fix that.

As far as ratings go, I’d say NV is Lean R and GA Toss-up (and I agree with the people who think Warnock is slightly more vulnerable than Hassan).

10 mnths out

NV and Az are Tilt R it's within the margin of error, you can't be serious

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tbh, I'm actually starting to believe Warnock is safer than CCM. Same might apply to GA and NV for 2024.

Lol GA is a Runoff and NV isn't safe but NV has Laxalt winning the Gov in 2o18 and it was a D Year

GA has no Senate race in 24 and DeSantis would win GA if he was the Nominee and Jacky Rosen is up in NV in 24

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tbh, I'm actually starting to believe Warnock is safer than CCM. Same might apply to GA and NV for 2024.

I think Cortez Masto is the most endangered Democratic Senator at this point.

Laxalt was winning last time in 2018 too against SISOLAK and so was Heller against Jacky Rosen

Lol it's within the margin of of 3/5 pts just like SUNUNU was leading 3)5 pts

If Hogan gets in, it will be within 3/5 pts too with Van Hollen and Biden won't be at 40 percent Approvals come Nov

When Biden, Obama and Abrams campaign with D's