Trump v. Buttigieg? with maps
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 02:12:11 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Trump v. Buttigieg? with maps		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Trump v. Buttigieg? with maps  (Read 1095 times)
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: December 10, 2021, 09:29:17 AM »



Donald J. Trump/Josh Hawley 50.1%
Pete Buttigieg/Stacey Abrams 47.1%
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,334
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: December 10, 2021, 11:38:47 AM »


NPV is D+1 to D+2
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,969
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: December 10, 2021, 11:42:18 AM »
Buttigieg isn't Winning the nomination he is behind Bernie Sanders
Logged
Grumpier Than Uncle Joe
GM3PRP
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,064
Greece
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: December 10, 2021, 11:57:34 AM »
Why make a map.  Trump would destroy him.
Logged
TodayJunior
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,594
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: December 10, 2021, 01:30:35 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on December 10, 2021, 11:38:47 AM


NPV is D+1 to D+2

What’s the tipping point? GA/PA/WI? You could make the case for any of those three.
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: December 10, 2021, 01:31:54 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on December 10, 2021, 11:38:47 AM


NPV is D+1 to D+2
LOL Pete is not winning NV, AZ, NH, MI against Trump....dream on
Logged
TodayJunior
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,594
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: December 10, 2021, 01:55:12 PM »
« Edited: December 10, 2021, 02:09:24 PM by TodayJunior »
Quote from: SN2903 on December 10, 2021, 01:31:54 PM
Quote from: Ferguson97 on December 10, 2021, 11:38:47 AM


NPV is D+1 to D+2
LOL Pete is not winning NV, AZ, NH, MI against Trump....dream on

Why not? The college educated population is growing in the last three and is overall accelerating toward the Dems. Maybe Nevada would go trump, but not NH. At best, AZ/MI are a coin flip.

This isn’t a generic R/generic D scenario. It’s generic D Vs Trump himself. A Virginia 2021 style victory would not be replicated in any scenario with trump and probably not anywhere to the left of Florida.  

My point is more than 15,000,000 people who didn’t vote in 2016 came out to vote against trump in 2020. For all they cared, the opponent could have been a ham sandwich. Now to be fair, this did happen in NJ-2021 with the senate president losing to a truck driver, but the concept is the same. Trump ain’t gonna be redeemed. He had his chance.
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,811
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: December 10, 2021, 02:17:43 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on December 10, 2021, 09:29:17 AM



Donald J. Trump/Josh Hawley 50.1%
Pete Buttigieg/Stacey Abrams 47.1%

I don't see anything to disagree with here. 
Logged
DaleCooper
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,331


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: December 10, 2021, 02:20:05 PM »
Depends entirely on whether or not Buttigieg runs a real campaign. If he runs on social progressivism then this map will happen.
Logged
Saint Milei
DeadPrez
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,007


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -7.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: December 10, 2021, 11:29:40 PM »
Pete might lose VA at this point lmao
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,915
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: December 13, 2021, 06:17:54 PM »
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,811
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: December 14, 2021, 09:12:52 AM »

Nah, he's the perfect candidate to win VA (and would overperform national results in GA as a result), but he's out of luck just about everywhere else. 
Logged
Inmate Trump
GWBFan
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,122


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -7.30

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: December 14, 2021, 10:49:44 AM »
Quote from: Lincoln General Court Member-elect GregTheGreat657 on December 13, 2021, 06:17:54 PM




I was going to make my own map, but this is it.
Logged
LiberalDem19
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 486


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: December 14, 2021, 05:22:03 PM »
I think Buttigieg would win
Minnesota...
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,274
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: December 14, 2021, 05:22:26 PM »
Underestimate Buttigieg at your own peril
Logged
Senator Spark
Spark498
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: 0.00

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: December 14, 2021, 06:00:07 PM »
Logged
patzer
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,064
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -3.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: December 15, 2021, 02:41:14 AM »
If I had to guess I’d say we get a repeat of the 2020 map but with Wisconsin flipped red.
Logged
_.
Abdullah
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,898
United States
P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: December 16, 2021, 06:54:25 AM »

Democrats underestimate Buttigieg's weakness at their own peril
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,969
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: December 16, 2021, 07:29:27 AM »
Quote from: Big Joey on December 16, 2021, 06:54:25 AM

Democrats underestimate Buttigieg's weakness at their own peril
my
BUTTIGIEG is in last place in the primary behind Bernie Sanders he won't be nominated with SC
Logged
KYRockefeller
Rookie
**
Posts: 214


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: December 16, 2021, 11:51:34 PM »

I don't think so.  He doesn't do well with Hispanic or African American demographics, the last of which is a key piece of any winning Democratic coalition.  Until I see evidence of that changing, I'll remain a skeptic.

The national media keep trying to make Mayor Pete happen.  And just like "Fetch" in Mean Girls, it just isn't happening.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,969
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: December 17, 2021, 12:37:07 AM »
Buttigieg isn't gonna be the Nominee
Logged
BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,496
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: December 17, 2021, 09:04:02 AM »
Quote from: SN2903 on December 10, 2021, 09:29:17 AM



Donald J. Trump/Josh Hawley 50.1%
Pete Buttigieg/Stacey Abrams 47.1%

I can see this unfortunately
Logged
Wiswylfen
eadmund
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 580


Political Matrix
E: -2.32, S: 4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: December 17, 2021, 10:58:18 AM »
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,969
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: December 17, 2021, 12:25:15 PM »
Quote from: eadmund on December 17, 2021, 10:58:18 AM



Pete Buttigieg
Won't be the Nominee he is at 3% in the primary polls can't you guys look


He won't win IN
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.067 seconds with 12 queries.