TX-Quinnipiac: Abbott +15

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It’s telling that even in this R-friendly poll, Cruz's favorability is only a very undewhelming +6 (51/45). If accurate, this may lend credence to the predictions that TX-SEN 2024 is a better pick-up opportunity for Democrats than FL-SEN 2024 (and is in fact more likely to go D than OH, even with Brown running). If the R nominee is winning TX by a margin healthy enough for Cruz to be heavily favored in his Senate race, Brown has likely already lost anyway.

Yup, Beto could have had a chance in rematch, if he didn't run for prez and gov in between. After losing this race, he's pretty much done.

Yes, between him running for President and now for the gubernatorial race in 2022, it’s like he’s actively trying to end his own political career. Some people really just cannot wait a little longer to obtain more power or have serious delusions of grandeur which will cloud their judgment and harm their future electoral prospects even when they are otherwise smart strategians and skilled political operators (see: Bullock, Steve). Shows you how no one is immune from falling into the same old timeless human pitfalls (in this case overestimating oneself just because they have only had success in the past).

Perhaps he’s going the "run until the state is blue enough for me to win" route, but he’s likely to attract serious primary challengers in his next campaigns, and even against Cruz, some crossover appeal will likely be needed to flip the seat given that it’s a presidential year.

Beto planned on running when Voting Rights was enacted, but Sinema and Manchin are playing games on the Filibuster, it's not Midnight yet, it's Dec, 2021, the Rs are the Favs in Nov buts it's not time to vote yet, these are are only polls

Abbott isn't winning by 15 and Walz isn't winning by 17 either

[TheFonz]

Beto can kiss his political career goodbye forever after 2022 2018! 😂

FTFY

At this point he is, by any definition, a perennial candidate. He's attempting to cling to relevance like a 60 year old man with long hair and an Iron Maiden shirt who wants to "get the band back together" and relive his glory days. Honestly, it's pretty pathetic and sad.

[Southern Reactionary Dem]

Quinnipiac poll of Texas-Gov has:

Greg Abbott (R) 52
Beto O'Rourke (D) 37

Abbott job approval: 53/41
Biden job approval: 32/64
O'Rourke favorability: 36/47

Dec. 2-6, 1224 RVs, MoE +/- 2.8%

https://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPoll/status/1468612239137521671?t=d2vy-Zu6AhS0r1Sy...

Guess people already forgot about how he banned abortion. Lemmings.

Maybe abortion isn't that popular in TX?

[Southern Reactionary Dem]

This is assuming about an R+6 year. Yeeeeesh.

In a Neutral Environment TX was plus 6 and FL is plus 3, all signs point as of now a 304 map Scenario with Biden near 50/45 Approvals

COVID is holding his Approvals down and so are Labor shortages

That wasn't a neutral environment. The popular vote was D+4.5

[SnowLabrador]

Quinnipiac poll of Texas-Gov has:

Greg Abbott (R) 52
Beto O'Rourke (D) 37

Abbott job approval: 53/41
Biden job approval: 32/64
O'Rourke favorability: 36/47

Dec. 2-6, 1224 RVs, MoE +/- 2.8%

https://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPoll/status/1468612239137521671?t=d2vy-Zu6AhS0r1Sy...

Guess people already forgot about how he banned abortion. Lemmings.

Maybe abortion isn't that popular in TX?

Polls show that roughly 70% of Americans support legal abortion. Of course, that can't be true if we keep electing the GOP.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Quinnipiac poll of Texas-Gov has:

Greg Abbott (R) 52
Beto O'Rourke (D) 37

Abbott job approval: 53/41
Biden job approval: 32/64
O'Rourke favorability: 36/47

Dec. 2-6, 1224 RVs, MoE +/- 2.8%

https://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPoll/status/1468612239137521671?t=d2vy-Zu6AhS0r1Sy...

Guess people already forgot about how he banned abortion. Lemmings.

Maybe abortion isn't that popular in TX?

Polls show that roughly 70% of Americans support legal abortion. Of course, that can't be true if we keep electing the GOP.

Texas voters by an 8 point margin prefer Abbott on the issue of abortion

[Southern Reactionary Dem]

I think there's a dynamic going on (and I think I remember seeing polling that bears this out) where voters who cite abortion as one of their top voting issues tend to be overwhelmingly pro-life while a substantial chunk of pro-choice voters simply don't feel strongly enough to vote on that issue. It's also of course not a completely binary issue. A lot of people feel there should be limits to abortion access, but believe it should remain safe rare and legal. While outlawing abortion totally isn't popular, neither is abortion up to the point of birth. I think most would agree that it shouldn't be done once the fetus reaches viability outside of the womb. The TX law goes further than that and has an obviously bad enforcement mechanism, but they're also significantly right of the nation as a whole and those suburban voters that swung D because they hated Trump personally didn't magically become social liberals overnight.