Reaction if Trump wins New Mexico?
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Author Topic: Reaction if Trump wins New Mexico?  (Read 1303 times)
Woody
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« on: December 04, 2021, 12:42:10 PM »
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #1 on: December 04, 2021, 12:46:30 PM »
No
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: December 04, 2021, 02:39:51 PM »
Lol he won't win NM or MN it's still a 304 map, D's aren't winning NC, OH or FL in 22

We're winning WI, PA and MI, CO, NH, NV, NM and VA 278
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TML
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« Reply #3 on: December 04, 2021, 03:17:51 PM »
That would mean he wins the NPV by double digits.
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Justin_Krunchski
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« Reply #4 on: December 04, 2021, 03:25:42 PM »

Hispanic vote would need to be within 8 and white vote would have to break 60% for Trump statewide
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Chips
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« Reply #5 on: December 08, 2021, 02:17:24 AM »
Congrats on becoming the next Cleveland Trump!
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #6 on: December 08, 2021, 09:43:14 AM »
If it happens, it would likely be for the same reason as ND.

"Population of Eddy, Lea, and Roosevelt counties more than doubles after 3rd straight year of $150 WTI oil prices and 4X increase in drilling over pre-COVID baseline."

Atlanta 2020 can happen in reverse after all.
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Person Man
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« Reply #7 on: December 08, 2021, 09:59:03 AM »
Trump probably won Virginia and MAYBE Oregon and Colorado. New Jersey, Washington, and Delaware would still be a stretch.

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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #8 on: December 08, 2021, 10:15:06 AM »
Will SirWoodbury ever create a "Reaction to..." thread that isn't a GOP hackish talking point or wet dream?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: December 08, 2021, 10:20:39 AM »
He won't win , Bush W was for Comprehensive immigration reform that's why he won AZ, NV, Co and NM, Rs today are against amnesty

So, was John McCain for immigration reform, Romney lost big time because he and the Rs started being against immigration reform
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: December 08, 2021, 10:25:43 AM »


Trump: 50%
Harris: 47%

Pretty sure something like this would have to happen for NM to go Trump.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: December 08, 2021, 10:33:51 AM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on December 08, 2021, 10:25:43 AM


Trump: 50%
Harris: 47%

Pretty sure something like this would have to happen for NM to go Trump.

Forget it Trump isn't gonna get 45% of Latino vote Bush W gotten in 2004
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #12 on: December 09, 2021, 01:17:28 PM »
The reason why Bush W won NM is because of Pete Domenici, a moderate R he has retired now, it's a D state
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #13 on: December 09, 2021, 08:59:39 PM »
Biden is more likely to win Texas then lose New Mexico.
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AGA
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« Reply #14 on: December 11, 2021, 01:47:58 PM »
I have it as Likely D, so I wouldn't be shocked, but mildly surprised. It could trend R due to low levels of education.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: December 11, 2021, 05:39:02 PM »
Bush W won NM in 2004 due to Pete Domenici we have 2 D Senators now

Trump WONT WIN NM
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RFayette
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« Reply #16 on: December 11, 2021, 05:55:09 PM »
Would be very happy to see this. 
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progressive85
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« Reply #17 on: December 11, 2021, 10:28:11 PM »
At this point, I'd be more surprised if he didn't.  NM has a lot of Latinos - oh, excuse me, Latinxers - and they're going to swing heavily to the Republicans in the next few cycles.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #18 on: December 12, 2021, 02:02:49 AM »
« Edited: December 12, 2021, 02:10:50 AM by Mr. MANDELA BARNES »
Quote from: 90s_kid on December 11, 2021, 10:28:11 PM
At this point, I'd be more surprised if he didn't.  NM has a lot of Latinos - oh, excuse me, Latinxers - and they're going to swing heavily to the Republicans in the next few cycles.

The reason why Bush W won NM in 2004/ due to Pete Domenici whom was a Maverick like McCain helped pass Campaign Finance Reform Trump criticized Gov Susana Martinez remember

We have Ben Ray Lujan, Michelle LG two Latino officeholders and Martin Heinrich
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Chips
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« Reply #19 on: December 12, 2021, 09:49:34 AM »
In the event that NM ends up being tied, here's what I believe the map would look like:
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