What would a new Blue wall look like? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 07:42:03 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  What would a new Blue wall look like? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: What would a new Blue wall look like?  (Read 1277 times)
Schiff for Senate
CentristRepublican
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,187
United States


« on: December 06, 2021, 11:09:57 AM »



Probably this, except I'd replace NC with MN.
Logged
Schiff for Senate
CentristRepublican
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,187
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 16, 2021, 07:50:56 PM »



Probably this, except I'd replace NC with MN.

Well, you may subtract NC, but I wouldn't add MN. The map assumes there's a further R-trend among WWC voters and Trump alrealy came relatively close in 2016. Another GOP candidate winning the NPV or at least coming close to it can carry MN. The only Midwestern state remaining in the Blue Wall is IL because Greater Chicago just prevents the GOP from winning statewide.

Twin City suburbs are growing and liberalizing, while Greater MN (which is trending rightward) is declining in population. Even in 2020, MN trended pretty noticeably leftward. I think it will be safe to include in the blue wall, even if it is diceier than IL and a lot of other blue wall states.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 12 queries.