Probably this, except I'd replace NC with MN.
Well, you may subtract NC, but I wouldn't add MN. The map assumes there's a further R-trend among WWC voters and Trump alrealy came relatively close in 2016. Another GOP candidate winning the NPV or at least coming close to it can carry MN. The only Midwestern state remaining in the Blue Wall is IL because Greater Chicago just prevents the GOP from winning statewide.
Democrats have to do better in the North Carolina if the Midwest becomes non-competitive outside of Illinois.
