Rate These Governors Races
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April 30, 2024, 02:48:48 AM
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  Rate These Governors Races
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Poll
Question: One vote per state: either "Safe" or "Not Safe" to indicate any other rating including Likely
#1
AK: Safe R
#2
AK: Not Safe R
#3
CO: Safe D
#4
CO: Not Safe D
#5
CT: Safe D
#6
CT: Not Safe D
#7
IL: Safe D
#8
IL: Not Safe D
#9
IA: Safe R
#10
IA: Not Safe R
#11
MD: Safe D
#12
MD: Not Safe D
#13
MA: Safe D
#14
MA: Not Safe D
#15
OH: Safe R
#16
OH: Not Safe R
#17
RI: Safe D
#18
RI: Not Safe D
#19
SC: Safe R
#20
SC: Not Safe R
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Partisan results


Author Topic: Rate These Governors Races  (Read 804 times)
ElectionsGuy
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E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: February 01, 2022, 11:22:32 PM »

My votes

AK: Likely R
CO: Likely D
CT: Likely D
IL: Likely D
IA: Safe R
MD: Likely D
MA: Likely D
OH: Safe R
RI: Likely D
SC: Safe R
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2022, 11:26:52 PM »

Polis is safe. He's the only Dem governor bucking his party's COVID hysteria.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #2 on: February 02, 2022, 01:00:40 AM »

AK: Likely R
CO: Safe D
CT: Likely D
IL: Likely D
IA: Safe R
MD: Likely D
MA: Likely D
OH: Safe R
RI: Lean D
SC: Safe R
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #3 on: February 02, 2022, 01:30:10 AM »

AK: Likely R
CO: Likely D
CT: (hot take incoming) Toss-Up
IL: Likely D
IA: Safe R
MD: Likely D
MA: Safe D
OH: Safe R
RI: Likely D
SC: Safe R
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #4 on: February 02, 2022, 01:47:15 AM »

AK: Likely R
CO: Likely D
CT: (hot take incoming) Toss-Up
IL: Likely D
IA: Safe R
MD: Likely D
MA: Safe D
OH: Safe R
RI: Likely D
SC: Safe R

So I was right in assuming you just made a mistake on your Atlas prediction map (where OH-GOV is rated as a Toss-up).
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: February 02, 2022, 01:54:19 AM »

AK: Likely R
CO: Likely D
CT: (hot take incoming) Toss-Up
IL: Likely D
IA: Safe R
MD: Likely D
MA: Safe D
OH: Safe R
RI: Likely D
SC: Safe R

So I was right in assuming you just made a mistake on your Atlas prediction map (where OH-GOV is rated as a Toss-up).

Yes, not sure how that happened.
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andjey
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« Reply #6 on: February 02, 2022, 06:36:46 AM »

AK: Likely R
CO: Safe D       
CT: Likely D       
IL: Safe D       
IA: Safe R       
MD: Likely D (flip)   
MA: Safe D (flip)    
OH: Safe R       
RI: Safe D       
SC: Safe R       
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #7 on: February 02, 2022, 07:11:51 AM »

We need polls from MA, MD, AZ Gov, ME Gov, and WInGov they keep polling the same races FL and MI where is our WI and ME Gov polls especially ME, last poll had LePage up 50/48

MA is Likely D but we don't know without a darn poll
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #8 on: February 02, 2022, 08:22:33 AM »

My ratings:

AK: Likely R
CO: Safe D
CT: Likely D
IL: Likely/Safe D
IA: Safe R
MD: Likely D
MA: Likely D
OH: Safe R
RI: Likely D
SC: Safe R

So, not that different from Election Guy's, although I believe Colorado is Safe D. Polis will win by double digits.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #9 on: February 02, 2022, 09:47:02 AM »

We can't rate them it's pure speculation because we need Data polls the pollster to poll all the states ME, WI, MA Govs we're getting partisan polls just like Biden Approvals aren't 40 percent



Data pollster I bet you is gonna have Shapiro, Evers and Whitmer leading  and SISOLAK 50/48 like Mark Kelly
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #10 on: February 02, 2022, 10:20:36 AM »

AK: Safe R
CO: Likely D
CT: Likely D
IL: Safe D
IA: Safe R
MD: Likely D
MA: Safe D
OH: Safe R
RI: Likely D
SC: Safe R
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #11 on: February 02, 2022, 10:49:17 AM »

See my signature.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #12 on: February 02, 2022, 11:34:30 AM »

AK: Likely R
CO: Safe D
CT: Likely D
IL: Likely D
IA: Safe R
MD: Likely D
MA: Likely D
OH: Safe R
RI: Lean D
SC: Safe R
Seems about right in most states, though I do have the Republicans winning Rhode Island (Robert Flanders), Connecticut (Bob Stefanowski), and narrowly holding onto Maryland (I think Michael Steele changes his mind and opts to run).
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Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
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« Reply #13 on: February 02, 2022, 05:25:33 PM »

IMO none of them are safe except Alaska, Iowa, and South Carolina.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #14 on: February 02, 2022, 09:31:04 PM »

IMO none of them are safe except Alaska, Iowa, and South Carolina.

Bill Walker can win an upset don't underestimate him, 2018 Gov Map is exactly the same as 22 and Laura Kelly isn't DOA no polls
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #15 on: February 02, 2022, 10:01:10 PM »

AK: Likely R but closer to Safe than Lean
CO: Safe D
CT: Safe D out of a lot of caution and because I know moderate Republicans are a thing in New England
IL: Safe D
IA: Safe R
MD: Likely D
MA: Safe D, based on the GOP candidates so far being very different from Baker
OH: Safe R
RI: Likely D, actually maybe even closer to Lean than Safe because I know RI gubernatorial politics is pretty wonky
SC: Safe R
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #16 on: February 02, 2022, 10:04:41 PM »

IMO none of them are safe except Alaska, Iowa, and South Carolina.

Bill Walker can win an upset don't underestimate him, 2018 Gov Map is exactly the same as 22 and Laura Kelly isn't DOA no polls

KS has nothing to do with this thread since KS isn't one of the races being rated in this thread, though I'm not really sure why as it might be more competitive than the OP thinks.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #17 on: February 02, 2022, 10:35:31 PM »

IMO none of them are safe except Alaska, Iowa, and South Carolina.

Bill Walker can win an upset don't underestimate him, 2018 Gov Map is exactly the same as 22 and Laura Kelly isn't DOA no polls

KS has nothing to do with this thread since KS isn't one of the races being rated in this thread, though I'm not really sure why as it might be more competitive than the OP thinks.

Ignored AK  like OR has independents running and Betsy Johnson is just as strong in OR as Bill Walker is in AK they don't poll AK just like they don't KS, it amuses me how many users have KS safe R and there aren't any polls
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #18 on: February 02, 2022, 10:58:21 PM »

IMO none of them are safe except Alaska, Iowa, and South Carolina.

Bill Walker can win an upset don't underestimate him, 2018 Gov Map is exactly the same as 22 and Laura Kelly isn't DOA no polls

KS has nothing to do with this thread since KS isn't one of the races being rated in this thread, though I'm not really sure why as it might be more competitive than the OP thinks.

Ignored AK  like OR has independents running and Betsy Johnson is just as strong in OR as Bill Walker is in AK they don't poll AK just like they don't KS, it amuses me how many users have KS safe R and there aren't any polls

I think KS might be about lean Republican or so. AK is likely Republican given how weird and wild its politics are. A Democrat could win there, perhaps, but the GOP is probably favoured given the red year (though I'm frankly guessing those two words will trigger you), and AK's reddish nature.
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coloradocowboi
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« Reply #19 on: February 04, 2022, 10:59:38 AM »

They are all safe, except Alaska.
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GregTheGreat657
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« Reply #20 on: February 04, 2022, 02:42:18 PM »

AK: Safe R
CO: Likely D
CT: Lean D (closer to tilt)
IL: Likely D
IA: Safe R
MD: Safe D
MA: Safe D
OH: Safe R
RI: Lean D (closer to likely)
SC: Safe R
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