If every state had a third senator, what party would they be from
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 29, 2021, 04:07:05 PM

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  If every state had a third senator, what party would they be from
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: If every state had a third senator, what party would they be from  (Read 169 times)
Tekken_Guy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,306
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 25, 2021, 11:10:52 PM »

If each state had a third U.S. senator, what party would each one be from?
Logged
WB #NoToJo
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,417
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 25, 2021, 11:22:35 PM »



almost put IA in the R column but that one being up in 2018 makes it uncertain
Logged
Roll Roons
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,367
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 25, 2021, 11:32:05 PM »



almost put IA in the R column but that one being up in 2018 makes it uncertain

I think Nevada would also be up in the air, and maybe Minnesota - Trump did almost win the state in 2016. Aside from those, I generally agree.
Logged
Adem 45
Rookie
**
Posts: 22


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 25, 2021, 11:51:30 PM »

Assuming no special elections in the new seats.

AL R
AK R
AZ Most likely D
AR R
CA D
CO D
CT D
DE D
FL R
GA Probably R
HI D
ID R
IL D
IN D
IA Possibly D? They'd of been elected in 2018.
KS R
KY R
LA R
ME D
MD D
MA D
MI Possibly R? They'd of been elected in 2016.
MN D
MS R
MO R
MT R
NE R
NV Probably D
NH D
NJ D
NM D
NY D
NC Possibly R? They'd of been elected in 2018, but Republicans managed to win more House votes in the state that year. This one is iffy.
ND R
OH R
OK R
OR D
PA Most likely D
RI D
SC R
SD R
TN R
TX R
UT R
VT D
VA D
WA D
WV R
WI Possibly D? Would have been elected in 2020. A slight overperformance downballot from Trump could change this though. If the R Senate candidate were to outperform Trump by the same amount that John James did in nearby Michigan this would be an R win.
WY R

Ones I am not super sure about are IA 2018, NC 2018, and WI 2020.

In this case that's 25 more seats for each party. Both parties would have 75 seats. Harris would still the tie breaker. If the Democratic candidate were to win in NC 2018, with IA and Wi and every other state the same, then it is 76-74, but Manchin would still in a similar position.









Logged
Tekken_Guy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,306
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 26, 2021, 12:03:22 AM »

Assuming no special elections in the new seats.

AL R
AK R
AZ Most likely D
AR R
CA D
CO D
CT D
DE D
FL R
GA Probably R
HI D
ID R
IL D
IN D
IA Possibly D? They'd of been elected in 2018.
KS R
KY R
LA R
ME D
MD D
MA D
MI Possibly R? They'd of been elected in 2016.
MN D
MS R
MO R
MT R
NE R
NV Probably D
NH D
NJ D
NM D
NY D
NC Possibly R? They'd of been elected in 2018, but Republicans managed to win more House votes in the state that year. This one is iffy.
ND R
OH R
OK R
OR D
PA Most likely D
RI D
SC R
SD R
TN R
TX R
UT R
VT D
VA D
WA D
WV R
WI Possibly D? Would have been elected in 2020. A slight overperformance downballot from Trump could change this though. If the R Senate candidate were to outperform Trump by the same amount that John James did in nearby Michigan this would be an R win.
WY R

Ones I am not super sure about are IA 2018, NC 2018, and WI 2020.

In this case that's 25 more seats for each party. Both parties would have 75 seats. Harris would still the tie breaker. If the Democratic candidate were to win in NC 2018, with IA and Wi and every other state the same, then it is 76-74, but Manchin would still in a similar position.











Are you putting incumbency into account and how they would have voted in previous years?
Logged
Adem 45
Rookie
**
Posts: 22


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 26, 2021, 01:04:12 AM »

Assuming no special elections in the new seats.

AL R
AK R
AZ Most likely D
AR R
CA D
CO D
CT D
DE D
FL R
GA Probably R
HI D
ID R
IL D
IN D
IA Possibly D? They'd of been elected in 2018.
KS R
KY R
LA R
ME D
MD D
MA D
MI Possibly R? They'd of been elected in 2016.
MN D
MS R
MO R
MT R
NE R
NV Probably D
NH D
NJ D
NM D
NY D
NC Possibly R? They'd of been elected in 2018, but Republicans managed to win more House votes in the state that year. This one is iffy.
ND R
OH R
OK R
OR D
PA Most likely D
RI D
SC R
SD R
TN R
TX R
UT R
VT D
VA D
WA D
WV R
WI Possibly D? Would have been elected in 2020. A slight overperformance downballot from Trump could change this though. If the R Senate candidate were to outperform Trump by the same amount that John James did in nearby Michigan this would be an R win.
WY R

Ones I am not super sure about are IA 2018, NC 2018, and WI 2020.

In this case that's 25 more seats for each party. Both parties would have 75 seats. Harris would still the tie breaker. If the Democratic candidate were to win in NC 2018, with IA and Wi and every other state the same, then it is 76-74, but Manchin would still in a similar position.











Are you putting incumbency into account and how they would have voted in previous years?
Really only factored in the environment when the elections took place.
Logged
WB #NoToJo
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,417
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 26, 2021, 01:45:02 AM »

Assuming no special elections in the new seats.

AL R
AK R
AZ Most likely D
AR R
CA D
CO D
CT D
DE D
FL R
GA Probably R
HI D
ID R
IL D
IN D
IA Possibly D? They'd of been elected in 2018.
KS R
KY R
LA R
ME D
MD D
MA D
MI Possibly R? They'd of been elected in 2016.
MN D
MS R
MO R
MT R
NE R
NV Probably D
NH D
NJ D
NM D
NY D
NC Possibly R? They'd of been elected in 2018, but Republicans managed to win more House votes in the state that year. This one is iffy.
ND R
OH R
OK R
OR D
PA Most likely D
RI D
SC R
SD R
TN R
TX R
UT R
VT D
VA D
WA D
WV R
WI Possibly D? Would have been elected in 2020. A slight overperformance downballot from Trump could change this though. If the R Senate candidate were to outperform Trump by the same amount that John James did in nearby Michigan this would be an R win.
WY R

Ones I am not super sure about are IA 2018, NC 2018, and WI 2020.

In this case that's 25 more seats for each party. Both parties would have 75 seats. Harris would still the tie breaker. If the Democratic candidate were to win in NC 2018, with IA and Wi and every other state the same, then it is 76-74, but Manchin would still in a similar position.



The thing is that no dem ran in nc-3
Logged
АndriуValeriovich
andjey
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,884
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: 4.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 26, 2021, 03:19:13 AM »

Assuming all of the races are open seats

Class I (last election 2018)

AL: R
AK: R
AR: R
CO: D
GA: R
ID: R
IL: D
IA: R
KS: R
KY: R
LA: R
NH: D
NC: D

OK: R
OR: D
SC: R
SD: R


Class II (last election 2020)

AZ: D
CA: D
CT: D
FL: R
HI: D
IN: R
MD: D
MO: R
NV: D
NY: D
ND: R
OH: D
PA: D
UT: R
VT: D
WA: D
WI: D


Class III (last election 2016)
Winner in 2016 and rating for 2022

DE: D - Safe D
ME: D - Likely D
MA: D - Safe D
MI: D - Tossup
MN: D - Lean D
MS: R - Safe R
MT: R - Safe R
NE: R - Safe R
NJ: D - Safe D
NM: D - Lean D
RI: D - Safe D
TN: R - Safe R
TX: R - Likely R
VA: D - Likely D
WV: R - Safe R
WY: R - Safe R
Logged
S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,412
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 26, 2021, 03:24:12 AM »



This is what I'd guess assuming I can't pick tossups
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.05 seconds with 12 queries.