Precise moments when states stopped being swing states
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Author Topic: Precise moments when states stopped being swing states  (Read 1516 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: November 24, 2021, 09:17:42 PM »
What the precise moments in which certain states stopped being swing states?
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GregTheGreat657
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« Reply #1 on: November 24, 2021, 11:05:53 PM »
Missouri: 2008
Ohio/Iowa: 2020
Virginia/Colorado: 2016
New Mexico: 2008
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kwabbit
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« Reply #2 on: November 26, 2021, 02:06:46 AM »
Quote from: UNBEATABLE TITAN GLENN YOUNGKIN on November 24, 2021, 11:05:53 PM
Missouri: 2008
Ohio/Iowa: 2020
Virginia/Colorado: 2016
New Mexico: 2008


I think Obama got close enough in 2008 where MO where it didn't lose its status in 2012.

MO: 2012
Ohio/Iowa: 2020
Virginia/Colorado: 2016
New Mexico: 2012.
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TML
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« Reply #3 on: November 26, 2021, 02:34:11 AM »
CT & NJ: 1996
AR, LA, TN, & WV: 2004
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: November 26, 2021, 10:47:16 AM »
FL: 2020?

OH and IA were also 2016.
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kcguy
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« Reply #5 on: November 26, 2021, 11:56:24 AM »
Somewhat arbitary:

1976:  AK
1980:  MD
1984:  IL, TX, WA

1992:  CA, VT
1996:  CT, DE, KY, MT, NJ
2000:  LA

2012:  MO
2016:  IA, OH
2020:  CO
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #6 on: November 26, 2021, 12:50:31 PM »
MO/NM: 2012
CO/IA/OH/VA: 2016
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #7 on: November 26, 2021, 05:01:47 PM »
Quote from: kcguy on November 26, 2021, 11:56:24 AM
Somewhat arbitary:

1976:  AK
1980:  MD
1984:  IL, TX, WA

1992:  CA, VT
1996:  CT, DE, KY, MT, NJ
2000:  LA

2012:  MO
2016:  IA, OH
2020:  CO

Wrong about Illinois. Dole and the Bushes made campaign stops in IL in the 80s and 2000. Dubya campaigned in Illinois in November 2000 for God's Sake.

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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #8 on: December 17, 2021, 10:51:32 PM »
NY: 1984
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President Johnson
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« Reply #9 on: December 18, 2021, 02:26:30 PM »
Quote from: kcguy on November 26, 2021, 11:56:24 AM
Somewhat arbitary:

1976:  AK
1980:  MD
1984:  IL, TX, WA

1992:  CA, VT
1996:  CT, DE, KY, MT, NJ
2000:  LA

2012:  MO
2016:  IA, OH
2020:  CO

This, though I'd move Illinois to 1992 or 1996.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #10 on: December 18, 2021, 03:04:55 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on December 18, 2021, 02:26:30 PM
Quote from: kcguy on November 26, 2021, 11:56:24 AM
Somewhat arbitary:

1976:  AK
1980:  MD
1984:  IL, TX, WA

1992:  CA, VT
1996:  CT, DE, KY, MT, NJ
2000:  LA

2012:  MO
2016:  IA, OH
2020:  CO

This, though I'd move Illinois to 1992 or 1996.

Also TX was definitely a swing state in 1992 imo
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #11 on: December 18, 2021, 08:05:00 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on December 18, 2021, 02:26:30 PM
Quote from: kcguy on November 26, 2021, 11:56:24 AM
Somewhat arbitary:

1976:  AK
1980:  MD
1984:  IL, TX, WA

1992:  CA, VT
1996:  CT, DE, KY, MT, NJ
2000:  LA

2012:  MO
2016:  IA, OH
2020:  CO

This, though I'd move Illinois to 1992 or 1996.

NO. Bush was in Illinois on the weekend of November 2000, the state was a swing state in 2000....

http://p2000.us/bushcal11.html
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Gracile
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« Reply #12 on: December 18, 2021, 10:39:43 PM »
Quote from: Suburbia on December 18, 2021, 08:05:00 PM
Quote from: President Johnson on December 18, 2021, 02:26:30 PM
Quote from: kcguy on November 26, 2021, 11:56:24 AM
Somewhat arbitary:

1976:  AK
1980:  MD
1984:  IL, TX, WA

1992:  CA, VT
1996:  CT, DE, KY, MT, NJ
2000:  LA

2012:  MO
2016:  IA, OH
2020:  CO

This, though I'd move Illinois to 1992 or 1996.

NO. Bush was in Illinois on the weekend of November 2000, the state was a swing state in 2000....

http://p2000.us/bushcal11.html

Bush made multiple campaign stops in California and Washington, too (and both states were also closer than IL in 2000). So if you're using that logic, then those two states were swing states in 2000 as well.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #13 on: December 19, 2021, 05:08:55 PM »
Quote from: G on December 18, 2021, 10:39:43 PM
Quote from: Suburbia on December 18, 2021, 08:05:00 PM
Quote from: President Johnson on December 18, 2021, 02:26:30 PM
Quote from: kcguy on November 26, 2021, 11:56:24 AM
Somewhat arbitary:

1976:  AK
1980:  MD
1984:  IL, TX, WA

1992:  CA, VT
1996:  CT, DE, KY, MT, NJ
2000:  LA

2012:  MO
2016:  IA, OH
2020:  CO

This, though I'd move Illinois to 1992 or 1996.

NO. Bush was in Illinois on the weekend of November 2000, the state was a swing state in 2000....

http://p2000.us/bushcal11.html

Bush made multiple campaign stops in California and Washington, too (and both states were also closer than IL in 2000). So if you're using that logic, then those two states were swing states in 2000 as well.

They were. IL and WA stopped being swing states in 2004, and even Cheney visited there as well
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #14 on: December 19, 2021, 08:12:21 PM »
Quote from: Suburbia on December 19, 2021, 05:08:55 PM
Quote from: G on December 18, 2021, 10:39:43 PM
Quote from: Suburbia on December 18, 2021, 08:05:00 PM
Quote from: President Johnson on December 18, 2021, 02:26:30 PM
Quote from: kcguy on November 26, 2021, 11:56:24 AM
Somewhat arbitary:

1976:  AK
1980:  MD
1984:  IL, TX, WA

1992:  CA, VT
1996:  CT, DE, KY, MT, NJ
2000:  LA

2012:  MO
2016:  IA, OH
2020:  CO

This, though I'd move Illinois to 1992 or 1996.

NO. Bush was in Illinois on the weekend of November 2000, the state was a swing state in 2000....

http://p2000.us/bushcal11.html

Bush made multiple campaign stops in California and Washington, too (and both states were also closer than IL in 2000). So if you're using that logic, then those two states were swing states in 2000 as well.

They were. IL and WA stopped being swing states in 2004, and even Cheney visited there as well

Just because a nominee visits a state doesn't mean it's competitive *looks who the poster is*

Oh that's why.
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