Why do you think Biden is campaigning in Georgia?
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  Why do you think Biden is campaigning in Georgia?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Why do you think Biden is campaigning in Georgia?
#1
His internals + early vote numbers look good in GA		  
#2
His campaign believes they have PA, MI, WI locked		  
#3
His campaign wants insurance if something goes wrong in rust belt		  
#4
No idea, this is a bad move		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 150

Author Topic: Why do you think Biden is campaigning in Georgia?  (Read 3362 times)
mark_twain
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« Reply #25 on: October 26, 2020, 08:53:29 PM »

Georgia voter turnout has been very good these weeks!

Lots of early votes have been made, but it should also be noted that Georgia is very friendly toward absentee voting. The county where I live has several different official drop-off boxes (mine was only a 15-minute drive away).

Also, this is not the same election as 2016. Fivethirtyeight gives Biden a 46% chance of winning Georgia, and projects the vote to be 49.8% vs. 49.4%.

Last but not least, both Senate seats are on the ballot!
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nickvdk
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« Reply #26 on: October 27, 2020, 05:33:13 AM »
The Dems will have a very good chance to win one out of three near coin flips. Plus they may force Republicans to reallocate resources out of battlegrounds states like NC, SC and FL
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Ljube
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« Reply #27 on: October 27, 2020, 05:33:45 AM »
CNN questioning the wisdom of campaigning in Georgia.
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Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
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« Reply #28 on: October 27, 2020, 05:49:17 AM »
It's #1 and probably #2 (though they won't say that).

BTW, do any Georgia people know where the Atlanta rally will be today?  I know it's set up for 5PM.
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Astatine
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« Reply #29 on: October 27, 2020, 06:48:36 AM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 27, 2020, 05:33:45 AM
CNN questioning the wisdom of campaigning in Georgia.

CNN also has Colorado as "Lean D" in their predictions, their electoral map is stuck in 2012.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #30 on: October 27, 2020, 07:24:31 AM »
16 EC votes and magic number 51 will get Biden the Prez and D the Senate as wave insurance

In case IA, NC in the Senate stays R and PA stays R in EC map
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #31 on: October 27, 2020, 07:58:14 AM »
No idea. A waste of money.

POTUS: 10%
Sen: 5%
SenS: 0%

So no idea. Go to Texas or Ohio or PA or lockdown Arizona instead
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forsythvoter
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« Reply #32 on: October 27, 2020, 08:45:50 AM »
I think the odds for Biden are significantly higher than that. Best evidence is that Trump himself was in GA last week so both campaigns have internal polling that isn't inconsistent with public polling showing the race could go either way.

Also, in ATL, you have 2 competitive house races, 2 competitive senate races, in addition to the Presidential race. On top of that, the GA vote won't necessarily be correlated with the Rust Belt vote so it's a good diversification strategy should Biden actually lose of the Rust belt trio of states everyone thinks he's going to win.

Quote from: MillennialModerate on October 27, 2020, 07:58:14 AM
No idea. A waste of money.

POTUS: 10%
Sen: 5%
SenS: 0%

So no idea. Go to Texas or Ohio or PA or lockdown Arizona instead
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #33 on: September 24, 2021, 12:43:29 AM »
Some badly aged takes here!
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #34 on: September 24, 2021, 09:24:22 AM »
Literally everything they do is based on internals.  That's why it's better to watch what they do rather than what they say.  If they are traveling to a certain area it's for a very specific reason.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #35 on: September 24, 2021, 09:37:13 AM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on September 24, 2021, 09:24:22 AM
Literally everything they do is based on internals.  That's why it's better to watch what they do rather than what they say.  If they are traveling to a certain area it's for a very specific reason.

Yeah, internals are super accurate and should totally always be trusted! 







https://emilyslist.org/news/entry/joyce-elliott-leads-rep.-french-hill-in-arkansas-2nd-district
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #36 on: September 25, 2021, 09:38:53 AM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on September 24, 2021, 09:37:13 AM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on September 24, 2021, 09:24:22 AM
Literally everything they do is based on internals.  That's why it's better to watch what they do rather than what they say.  If they are traveling to a certain area it's for a very specific reason.

Yeah, internals are super accurate and should totally always be trusted! 







https://emilyslist.org/news/entry/joyce-elliott-leads-rep.-french-hill-in-arkansas-2nd-district

Nowhere in my post did I say that internals are accurate so I'm not sure why that's relevant.  The point is that's what the campaigns follow.  The thread asked why he was campaigning in GA.  All polls are garbage lately.
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Pericles
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« Reply #37 on: September 27, 2021, 11:12:34 PM »
Those internals were leaked, likely to spin a narrative about those races. It may be that the internals that get made public are disproportionately favorable to the party sponsoring them, though I do expect internals are still biased in favor of their party.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #38 on: November 28, 2021, 07:26:41 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 26, 2020, 04:17:49 PM
No idea. This is a bad move.

He should be campaigning in Florida and North Carolina.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #39 on: November 28, 2021, 07:36:50 PM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on October 27, 2020, 07:58:14 AM
No idea. A waste of money.

POTUS: 10%
Sen: 5%
SenS: 0%

So no idea. Go to Texas or Ohio or PA or lockdown Arizona instead
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