2010 Midterms if Operation Neptune Spear occured in late September or early October
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  2010 Midterms if Operation Neptune Spear occured in late September or early October
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Author Topic: 2010 Midterms if Operation Neptune Spear occured in late September or early October  (Read 765 times)
BigVic
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« on: November 21, 2021, 07:05:29 PM »
« edited: November 17, 2022, 06:33:35 PM by BigVic »

What if Opeation Neptune Spear, the mission to kill Osama Bin Laden was bought forward to the week of September 20-25, 2010 rather than in May 2011 OTL?

How will this affect the Midterms and will the Democrats save the furniture in the House if it happened on September 24 which is just 41 days away from Election Day 2010?
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #1 on: November 21, 2021, 09:00:00 PM »

Republicans still pick up the House, with reduced gains. John Boehner might not have the votes to become Speaker.

In the Senate:

Republicans gain Arkansas and North Dakota

Democrats gain Florida (Charlie Crist defeats Marco Rubio and Kendrick Meek and caucuses with the Democrats).

In Governor's races:

Republicans gain Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Oklahoma, Tennessee and Wyoming.

Democrats gain California, Connecticut, Florida, Hawaii, Minnesota and Vermont.

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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #2 on: November 21, 2021, 09:15:37 PM »

Obama really should have timed it like this.  May have resulted in a much better decade for Dems.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #3 on: November 21, 2021, 09:18:02 PM »

Obama really should have timed it like this.  May have resulted in a much better decade for Dems.

Wasn’t quite that simple of course. I’d generally prefer presidents not try to rush extremely important, sensitive, risky operations so they can be convenient for election season if they succeed.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
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« Reply #4 on: November 21, 2021, 10:35:44 PM »

Obama really should have timed it like this.  May have resulted in a much better decade for Dems.

Wasn’t quite that simple of course. I’d generally prefer presidents not try to rush extremely important, sensitive, risky operations so they can be convenient for election season if they succeed.

That and were we anywhere near ready to pull it off in September? Still a fascinating hypothetical, but I feel like in reality it wasn’t even a possibility. I can’t see them waiting 8 months because they felt like it.
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BigVic
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« Reply #5 on: November 22, 2021, 05:58:58 AM »

In OTL the Midterms in 2010 was a red wave in the House but they kept the Senate.

Would’ve held on, narrowly as well as a comfortable Senate majority
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #6 on: November 22, 2021, 04:47:58 PM »

Obama really should have timed it like this.  May have resulted in a much better decade for Dems.

Wasn’t quite that simple of course. I’d generally prefer presidents not try to rush extremely important, sensitive, risky operations so they can be convenient for election season if they succeed.

Which is why Democrats have mostly been on the losing side for the last thirty years.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #7 on: November 22, 2021, 05:37:01 PM »

Obama really should have timed it like this.  May have resulted in a much better decade for Dems.

Wasn’t quite that simple of course. I’d generally prefer presidents not try to rush extremely important, sensitive, risky operations so they can be convenient for election season if they succeed.

Which is why Democrats have mostly been on the losing side for the last thirty years.

Imagine if Obama rushed the operation and it was botched so badly that Bin Laden got away, possibly even killing Americans in the process and creating a much worse international incident with Pakistan. 2010 would have been even more of a bloodbath. Hindsight is 20/20, but even Dubya wasn’t foolish enough to f—k around with things like this for electoral gain for the most part.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #8 on: November 22, 2021, 06:04:28 PM »

Obama really should have timed it like this.  May have resulted in a much better decade for Dems.

Wasn’t quite that simple of course. I’d generally prefer presidents not try to rush extremely important, sensitive, risky operations so they can be convenient for election season if they succeed.

Which is why Democrats have mostly been on the losing side for the last thirty years.

Hmm not getting the impression that you think a lot before posting
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BigVic
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« Reply #9 on: November 17, 2022, 04:40:22 AM »

It’ll be like this year. A small GOP House majority but the Dems will still hold the Senate with 54 seats. If it happened between September 30 and October 7, Obama would’ve gotten a boost in his approval ratings.
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