Guess the previous county's location and demographics based on it's voting history

[Biden his time]

1980: Carter + 9
1984: Mondale + 5
1988: Dukakis + 19
1992: Clinton + 17
1996: Clinton + 4
2000: Bush + 18
2004: Bush + 27
2008: McCain + 47
2012: Romney + 54
2016: Trump + 62
2020: Trump + 64

Central Arkansas

85% Non-Hispanic White Alone
10% Non-Hispanic Black Alone
5% Other

How close was I?


1960: R+9.8
1964: D+27.5
1968: R+4.7
1972: R+28.8
1976: R+3.4
1980: R+22.7
1984: R+22.0
1988: R+14.4
1992: D+5.9
1996: D+20.2
2000: D+17.2
2004: R+0.7
2008: D+5.9
2012: D+6.7
2016: D+6.2
2020: D+1.7

[Biden his time]

-SNIP-

Suburban NY?
(Without looking I’m guessing Rockland county)


60% Non Hispanic White
20% Hispanic
15% Black
5% Other

Right on! Rockland County it is! And the racial breakdown:

60.9% Non-Hispanic White Alone
19.6% Hispanic of any race
10.0% Non-Hispanic Black Alone
6.0% Non-Hispanic Asian Alone
3.4% Other

Great job with the demographics too!

How'd you guess?

-SKIP-

[Biden his time]

-SNIP-

It sounds like somewhere in Coal Country that is over 95% white and less than 20% have bachelor's degree or higher. My county was Leelanau, MI.

1980: Reagan + 8
1984: Reagan + 22
1988: Bush + 14
1992: Clinton + 4
1996: Clinton + 10
2000: Gore + 8
2004: Kerry + 2
2008: Obama + 6
2012: Romney + 1
2016: Trump + 13
2020: Trump + 14

Without looking, is it Volusia County, FL?

60% Non-Hispanic White Alone
17% Hispanic of any race
17% Non-Hispanic Black Alone
3% Non-Hispanic Asian Alone
3% Other

Last four elections suggest that to me

-SKIP-

[Biden his time]

1960: R+19.7
1964: D+24.5
1972: R+34.5
1976: D+1.3
1980: R+26.0
1984: R+47.2
1988: R+22.0
1992: R+20.5 (Ross Perot was second place)
1996: R+39.8
2000: R+43.8
2004: R+51.6
2008: R+35.3
2012: R+39.0
2016: R+31.0
2020: R+24.6

[Biden his time]

1960: R+19.7
1964: D+24.5
1972: R+34.5
1976: D+1.3
1980: R+26.0
1984: R+47.2
1988: R+22.0
1992: R+20.5 (Ross Perot was second place)
1996: R+39.8
2000: R+43.8
2004: R+51.6
2008: R+35.3
2012: R+39.0
2016: R+31.0
2020: R+24.6

It seems like a DC exurb in Virginia that is about 70% white

You may be surprised. This is Finney County, Kansas, a county in the state's Southwest, in the great plains region. It is centered around the town of Garden City. Its population is 40K, 30K of which live in the town. It's very isolated, so much so that the closest city that's larger is Wichita, which is 200 miles to the east.

Demographics

51.7% Hispanic of any race
37.7% Non-Hispanic White Alone
3.9% Non-Hispanic Asian Alone
3.5% Non-Hispanic Black Alone
3.1% Other

-SKIP-