Sweden election 2022

[omar04]

How much of an issue has the crime surge been?

[omar04]

How much of an issue has the crime surge been?

It's one of the major points of discussion in the election campaign. I think one poll showed law and order as the most important issue for voters and Magdalena Andersson has tried to cultivate an image as tough on crime, although she is under attack from the opposition who says that since the Social Democrats haven't been able to do anything about crime for 8 years it's hard to believe they'll be succesful this time around.

If the blue bloc win this election I think crime and the energy crisis are the two major factors behind it. 

Is there any immigration fearmongering? Sweden is a very liberal country but there are probably people who blame the crime surge on the ultra-conservative Muslims.

It appears so

https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/hard-leader-aims-greater-role-swedish-election-88743397

https://twitter.com/SDTobbe/status/1559508416984502272

[omar04]

One poll (Sentio) shows SD as the largest party -- the first poll to show that since October 2021 (that was also a Sentio poll).

Why does Sentio give much better numbers for SD than other pollsters?

Sentio is commissioned by a SD friendly newspaper (Nyheter Idag).

https://twitter.com/Nassreddin2002/status/1423277585895620608

https://twitter.com/Nassreddin2002/status/1564659744387874818

[omar04]

Apparently Radio Sweden just held an English language debate between the eight parliamentary parties. Unsurprisingly none of the party leaders showed up, but the parties did send some other leading figures such as C, V and KD which sent their economic policy spokespersons. It's available to watch here for those who are interested: https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/radio-sweden-election-debate-live

Oh and former Liberal leader Bengt Westerberg has just come out and said that he's going to vote for the Centre Party in the election. Not particularly surprising considering that he already said that he wouldn't vote L when a snap election looked likely last year.

Why, because of the Liberals being willing to form a government with SD support?

[omar04]

https://www.aftonbladet.se/valresultat2022/

live map of results as they come in

[omar04]

There's also the official website: https://resultat.val.se/val2022/prel/RD/rike

[omar04]

I wonder how M will react to their slipping to third place

[omar04]

There's 30% left to count with a single seat majority for the right.

[omar04]

V and C are very close to each other right now at 6.7%.

[omar04]

Nyans might have taken enough S votes to secure a majority for the right

https://twitter.com/Nassreddin2002/status/1569075194303586305

[omar04]

Nyans might have taken enough S votes to secure a majority for the right

https://twitter.com/Nassreddin2002/status/1569075194303586305

But if S did not push the line that they will get tough on crime they will lose more votes to the Right-wing bloc.

Yes, but they probably went too far in their rhetoric. In general S ran a poor electoral campaign

[omar04]

Anyway, up until Löfven quit I expected the SAP to be absolutely pulped in this election just on pure 'don't they look tired' grounds, so I suppose against that backdrop Andersson holding the right to 175-174 or whatever is pretty good even if it's not what I let myself hope for.

It looks like Andersson mostly gained voters from her coalition partners.

[omar04]

Tool showing how voters shifted from 2018 to 2022

https://www.svt.se/datajournalistik/valu2022/valjarstrommar/

[omar04]

What is the "raison d'etre" of the Liberals in Sweden? What do they stand for that isn't already amply covered either by the Centre Party or the Moderates?

At one time they billed themselves as a socially liberal middle of the road party that would appeal to teachers and intellectuals - but now they have decided to support a government dependent on and at the beck and call of the neo-Nazis in SD - so they are now basically identical to the Moderates. Why do they exist at all?

Well for the reasons you describe it's plausible at least one or two of their MPs defect, depriving the right of their majority. The SD could also have a few MPs be expelled or leave the party.