Sweden election 2022 (user search)
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Author Topic: Sweden election 2022  (Read 32921 times)
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« on: September 11, 2022, 03:56:02 AM »
Standard questions of
a) When do polls close
b) live stream for exit polls and count
c) links to live results
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2022, 12:49:39 PM »
TV4 poll seems favorable to the Center-Left bloc
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2022, 01:03:48 PM »
Exit poll has it neck-to-neck between the two blocs
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #3 on: September 11, 2022, 01:04:57 PM »
Exit polls has a decrease in minor parties relative to 2018.  It seems polarization is in play.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #4 on: September 11, 2022, 01:06:29 PM »
Quote from: Mike88 on September 11, 2022, 01:05:19 PM
Quote from: jaichind on September 11, 2022, 01:03:48 PM
Exit poll has it neck-to-neck between the two blocs

Still, very bad for the Moderates, although a bit better than the TV4's poll.

Minus 1 is not that bad all things considered.  It seems if exit polls are right then aligning with SD loses some support on the margins it is not the kiss of death.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #5 on: September 11, 2022, 01:06:58 PM »
Which channel coverage is better? TV4 or SVT?
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #6 on: September 11, 2022, 01:08:38 PM »
Quote from: Estrella on September 11, 2022, 01:07:12 PM
Love seeing everyone at the Liberal HQ waving rainbow flags. Maybe check who your party wants to govern with?

Yeah, that struck me as wierd.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #7 on: September 11, 2022, 02:51:45 PM »
The count has slowed down to a trickle
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #8 on: September 11, 2022, 03:29:03 PM »
The Right wing bloc is gaining some ground but the rate of improvement is not enough.  Unless something changes about the count momentum the Center-Left bloc should have a narrow victory.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #9 on: September 11, 2022, 03:38:00 PM »
Gap down to 0.2% now
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #10 on: September 11, 2022, 03:39:01 PM »
L has been gaining throughout the night.  It seems they should pass the 4% with no problems.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #11 on: September 11, 2022, 03:39:55 PM »
Gap is down to 0.1%
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #12 on: September 11, 2022, 03:40:59 PM »
Right-wing bloc takes the lead.  I guess this will reverse itself as more urban votes comes in.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #13 on: September 11, 2022, 03:47:20 PM »
Right-wing bloc lead grows to 0.5%.  M is surging
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #14 on: September 11, 2022, 03:54:41 PM »
The gap is growing.  Right-wing bloc lead is up to 0.7%
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #15 on: September 11, 2022, 04:00:05 PM »
Is it me or are Sweden election night parties 70% women across the board? 
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #16 on: September 11, 2022, 04:47:22 PM »

But if S did not push the line that they will get tough on crime they will lose more votes to the Right-wing bloc.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #17 on: September 11, 2022, 05:05:41 PM »
Amazing we are about to go from a government with a majority of 1 to another government with a majority of 1.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #18 on: September 11, 2022, 06:25:13 PM »
S did bounce back from 2018 in terms of vote share but is still the second worst ever result for S in a hundred years.
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #19 on: September 14, 2022, 01:06:24 PM »
I wonder how long a government that needs both L and SD will last
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,583
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #20 on: September 14, 2022, 04:59:22 PM »
Quote from: MaxQue on September 14, 2022, 04:55:26 PM
Quote from: crals on September 14, 2022, 03:15:53 PM
But SD won't actually be in government, will it?

It shouldn't, as L won't allow it.

But would not SD ask for their pound of flesh in terms of policy for them to back a M government from the outside ?
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