2004 User Predictions - Discussion
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Author Topic: 2004 User Predictions - Discussion  (Read 866188 times)
JohnFKennedy
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« Reply #2000 on: April 27, 2004, 05:12:47 PM »



errr, no it doesn't, are you looking at the linked map? DC is Democrat in it.....

I'm seeing it as blue

oops, n/m we were looking at different maps, there are 2 linked ones.

right, okay.  Huh

someone else linked an amusing map where Kerry won Oklahoma, Kansas and South Carolina, I was looking at that.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2001 on: April 27, 2004, 05:14:45 PM »

UPDATED Kerry v. Bush:



Bush/Cheney 366
Kerry/Edwards 172
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StatesRights
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« Reply #2002 on: April 28, 2004, 01:34:28 AM »

Boss Tweed, if their is a God above that will be the case!
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Lunar
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« Reply #2003 on: April 28, 2004, 01:35:27 AM »

I doubt Kerry will stay down in the polls.  They'll even out and bounce around.
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #2004 on: April 28, 2004, 11:13:43 AM »



errr, no it doesn't, are you looking at the linked map? DC is Democrat in it.....

I'm seeing it as blue

oops, n/m we were looking at different maps, there are 2 linked ones.

right, okay.  Huh

someone else linked an amusing map where Kerry won Oklahoma, Kansas and South Carolina, I was looking at that.

That'd be me Smiley
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StatesRights
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« Reply #2005 on: April 30, 2004, 02:31:46 AM »

Here is another "yeah right".

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php?action=indpred&id=2460
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StatesRights
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« Reply #2006 on: April 30, 2004, 02:40:07 AM »

Updated for your viewing pleasure/displeasure :


Bush - 304
Kerry - 234
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2007 on: April 30, 2004, 07:08:47 AM »

Updated for your viewing pleasure/displeasure :


Bush - 304
Kerry - 234

Not bad---

Bush will get 50% in CO and FL...etc...
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Lunar
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« Reply #2008 on: April 30, 2004, 10:37:00 PM »

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php?action=indpred&id=3267

Kerry does well enough to take Alabama, Georgia, Arkansas and Arizona but Bush manages to take a slight lead in the EC by taking New York.
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StatesRights
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« Reply #2009 on: May 01, 2004, 01:14:26 AM »

The only way Bush could possibly have a shot at NY is if it had been 9-11-04 instead of 9-11-01.
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opebo
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« Reply #2010 on: May 01, 2004, 02:06:47 AM »

The only way Bush could possibly have a shot at NY is if it had been 9-11-04 instead of 9-11-01.

Well, we'll see.  
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StatesRights
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« Reply #2011 on: May 01, 2004, 02:11:29 AM »

I pray God we have no more attacks. But I fear that July 4th or November 2nd (in two ways) will be bad days.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2012 on: May 01, 2004, 07:35:11 AM »

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php?action=indpred&id=3267

Kerry does well enough to take Alabama, Georgia, Arkansas and Arizona but Bush manages to take a slight lead in the EC by taking New York.

The guy is from Alabama.  That might have something to do with it.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #2013 on: May 01, 2004, 08:46:30 AM »

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php?action=indpred&id=3267

Kerry does well enough to take Alabama, Georgia, Arkansas and Arizona but Bush manages to take a slight lead in the EC by taking New York.

The guy is from Alabama.  That might have something to do with it.

He's a Democrat, but despite having a seriously odd map, he still has Bush winning. Smiley
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #2014 on: May 01, 2004, 01:22:12 PM »

Alabama: Strong GOP
New York: Strong Dem

I think he thinks Bush'll drop Cheney & put in Giuliani.


Just realized... he has Alaska strong Dem!

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StatesRights
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« Reply #2015 on: May 04, 2004, 12:03:39 AM »

Revised for your viewing pleasure/displeasure :



R - 274
D - 264

If New Mexico goes Kerry we have a tie. That would be interesting.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2016 on: May 04, 2004, 07:11:39 AM »

Revised for your viewing pleasure/displeasure :



R - 274
D - 264

If New Mexico goes Kerry we have a tie. That would be interesting.

Arkansas?
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elcorazon
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« Reply #2017 on: May 04, 2004, 11:37:16 AM »

Revised for your viewing pleasure/displeasure :



R - 274
D - 264

If New Mexico goes Kerry we have a tie. That would be interesting.
or West Virginia or even Nevada.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2018 on: May 04, 2004, 02:44:09 PM »

UPDATED Kerry v. Bush:


Bush/Cheney 394
Kerry/Edwards 144

Switched IL, ME, and DE to Bush.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #2019 on: May 04, 2004, 02:45:42 PM »

UPDATED Kerry v. Bush:


Bush/Cheney 394
Kerry/Edwards 144

Switched IL, ME, and DE to Bush.

Wow. And how comes CA is still Dem and IL isn't?

And I think you're going over-baord now. It isn't gonna be THAT bad.
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John
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« Reply #2020 on: May 04, 2004, 02:48:07 PM »

I THINK BUSH IS GOING TO WIN A CLOSE BUT FAIR ELECTION BY PICK UP 3 STATES
WI
PA
POSSBLE OROGAN
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2021 on: May 04, 2004, 02:51:46 PM »

Wow. And how comes CA is still Dem and IL isn't?

And I think you're going over-baord now. It isn't gonna be THAT bad.

1. IT would take a 650K vote swing in CA, only a 240K or so swing in IL.

2. It will be that bad
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The Vorlon
Vorlon
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« Reply #2022 on: May 04, 2004, 03:11:22 PM »

Revised for your viewing pleasure/displeasure :



R - 274
D - 264

If New Mexico goes Kerry we have a tie. That would be interesting.

The map is actually well within the realm of possibility
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Gustaf
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« Reply #2023 on: May 04, 2004, 03:19:53 PM »

Wow. And how comes CA is still Dem and IL isn't?

And I think you're going over-baord now. It isn't gonna be THAT bad.

1. IT would take a 650K vote swing in CA, only a 240K or so swing in IL.

2. It will be that bad

%-swing is more imprtant than in absolute terms. It would take a 45K vote swing in Wyoming, but that doesn't mean it's gonna happen.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2024 on: May 04, 2004, 03:33:51 PM »

%-swing is more imprtant than in absolute terms. It would take a 45K vote swing in Wyoming, but that doesn't mean it's gonna happen.

It does for states of equal percentages
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