2004 User Predictions - Discussion
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1975 on: April 24, 2004, 07:05:40 PM »

I Predict that Kerry Wins by 500,000 votes.

Same as Al Gore did.

I think Bush will win the PV big by racking up majorities in the south.
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A-Max
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« Reply #1976 on: April 24, 2004, 11:17:54 PM »

Bush will win with about 53-54%.  It will be the first time since Bush 41 won in '88 that a US President gets elected by a majority of the electorate.
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12th Doctor
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« Reply #1977 on: April 24, 2004, 11:33:03 PM »


Not most, but many.  I think PA will be within 2-3% (no matter who wins) so if they vote for Nader, that could be more than enough to swing it to Bush.

Western PA in Pop-u-list coal mining nation is a waaaaay different world.

Philly liberal are WAY different from Pittsburgh liberal, your right about that Miami.  Western PA is going to have a hard time swollowing Kerry, I'm not saying that they won't vote Kerry, but the culture clash between the regional personalities and Kerry's could be enough for Bush to prevail in the Pittsburgh area.  If that happens then PA is Bush country.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1978 on: April 25, 2004, 04:59:06 AM »


Not most, but many.  I think PA will be within 2-3% (no matter who wins) so if they vote for Nader, that could be more than enough to swing it to Bush.

Western PA in Pop-u-list coal mining nation is a waaaaay different world.

Philly liberal are WAY different from Pittsburgh liberal, your right about that Miami.  Western PA is going to have a hard time swollowing Kerry, I'm not saying that they won't vote Kerry, but the culture clash between the regional personalities and Kerry's could be enough for Bush to prevail in the Pittsburgh area.  If that happens then PA is Bush country.

Dunno 'bout that actually... Remember: Dukakis did very, very well in SW PA...
I'm worried about outer-suburban Philly though...
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1979 on: April 25, 2004, 08:02:29 AM »


Not most, but many.  I think PA will be within 2-3% (no matter who wins) so if they vote for Nader, that could be more than enough to swing it to Bush.

Western PA in Pop-u-list coal mining nation is a waaaaay different world.

Philly liberal are WAY different from Pittsburgh liberal, your right about that Miami.  Western PA is going to have a hard time swollowing Kerry, I'm not saying that they won't vote Kerry, but the culture clash between the regional personalities and Kerry's could be enough for Bush to prevail in the Pittsburgh area.  If that happens then PA is Bush country.

There is no such thing as a Pittsburgh issue.  They are the coal miners and vote on economics (for the most part.)
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Lunar
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« Reply #1980 on: April 25, 2004, 02:58:19 PM »
« Edited: April 25, 2004, 02:58:39 PM by Lunar »

Recents:



Err.

***

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php?action=indpred&id=3172

Kerry loses New York but Alabama is a tossup.
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #1981 on: April 25, 2004, 04:43:21 PM »

You da masta of finding odd ones, Lunar Smiley
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StatesRights
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« Reply #1982 on: April 25, 2004, 04:53:06 PM »

Bush has a 32+% lead in Alabama! I see that as a real toss up, lol.
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Lunar
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« Reply #1983 on: April 25, 2004, 04:53:22 PM »

I just glance at the recently submitted ones every now and then.
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #1984 on: April 25, 2004, 05:01:35 PM »

I just glance at the recently submitted ones every now and then.

As do I, but I never find any good ones Sad
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #1985 on: April 25, 2004, 05:23:03 PM »

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php?action=indpred&id=1244

SC & KS are strong Dem, but OH goes Rep?

Heh.
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Lunar
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« Reply #1986 on: April 25, 2004, 05:27:01 PM »

Everyone knows that Indiana and Oklahoma are in the bag for Kerry while many of what the so-called "polls" claim are the battlegrounds (NH, FL, OH) are heading Bush.
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StatesRights
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« Reply #1987 on: April 25, 2004, 07:01:07 PM »

I can't wait to see one that has Mass as a Republican state and like Idaho as Democrat. lol That would be a hoot.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1988 on: April 25, 2004, 07:29:17 PM »


Good one

SC and KY solid Dem also.
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #1989 on: April 25, 2004, 08:14:47 PM »

Everyone knows that Indiana and Oklahoma are in the bag for Kerry while many of what the so-called "polls" claim are the battlegrounds (NH, FL, OH) are heading Bush.

Oh, most definatly Smiley
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klrbzzz
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« Reply #1990 on: April 26, 2004, 11:57:46 AM »

I hear that Kerry will also steal away Alaska and Utah while Bush pulls in DC and New York.
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StatesRights
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« Reply #1991 on: April 26, 2004, 12:13:35 PM »

If that happens I fully hope that Gustaf has a room set up for me in Sweden. I hear the Swedish meatballs there are excellent. lol Wink
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #1992 on: April 26, 2004, 12:16:21 PM »

Everyone knows that Indiana and Oklahoma are in the bag for Kerry while many of what the so-called "polls" claim are the battlegrounds (NH, FL, OH) are heading Bush.

Oh, most definatly Smiley

Keep you eye on Utah and Wyoming... I smell upsets for Kerry in those two states.

DC may be very close, but I still think Kerry will eke out a victory...
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Gustaf
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« Reply #1993 on: April 27, 2004, 02:41:17 PM »

If that happens I fully hope that Gustaf has a room set up for me in Sweden. I hear the Swedish meatballs there are excellent. lol Wink

Sure. Smiley
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1994 on: April 27, 2004, 05:02:21 PM »

UPDATED Kerry v. Bush:



Bush/Cheney 366
Kerry/Edwards 172
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1995 on: April 27, 2004, 05:03:43 PM »



Kerry loses New York but Alabama is a tossup.


Also DC goes Bush.
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JohnFKennedy
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« Reply #1996 on: April 27, 2004, 05:07:20 PM »



errr, no it doesn't, are you looking at the linked map? DC is Democrat in it.....
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1997 on: April 27, 2004, 05:08:48 PM »



errr, no it doesn't, are you looking at the linked map? DC is Democrat in it.....

I'm seeing it as blue
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JohnFKennedy
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« Reply #1998 on: April 27, 2004, 05:10:04 PM »



errr, no it doesn't, are you looking at the linked map? DC is Democrat in it.....

I'm seeing it as blue

oops, n/m we were looking at different maps, there are 2 linked ones.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1999 on: April 27, 2004, 05:11:39 PM »



errr, no it doesn't, are you looking at the linked map? DC is Democrat in it.....

I'm seeing it as blue

oops, n/m we were looking at different maps, there are 2 linked ones.

right, okay.  Huh
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