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March 07, 2021, 07:56:10 PM

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Author Topic: 2004 User Predictions - Discussion  (Read 835291 times)
Gustaf
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« Reply #675 on: January 17, 2004, 04:51:17 PM »
Aaaaaaaargh! It still is annoying! I looked at your map, but I don't like to have an in-depth discussion on this weird thread. It looked pretty optimistic, and I will complain about the tossups not being equally distributed.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #676 on: January 17, 2004, 04:55:08 PM »
We can do this!  Just keep posting!
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Gustaf
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« Reply #677 on: January 17, 2004, 04:55:59 PM »

Whatever you say...
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #678 on: January 17, 2004, 04:56:50 PM »
Yes, whatever I say.  I am the boss.
I think one more postb and the problem is fixed.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #679 on: January 17, 2004, 04:57:17 PM »
Oh Yeah.  I got it.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #680 on: January 17, 2004, 04:57:48 PM »

HA! We did it! Smiley
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #681 on: January 17, 2004, 04:59:39 PM »
High five!
Back to the discussion.
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The Trump Virus
GWBFan
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« Reply #682 on: January 17, 2004, 05:01:16 PM »


Bush v. Clark

Bush wins 328 over Clark's 210.  I know, I know...Arkansas goes Rep.  I just really don't see Clark being able to win over his home state.  I was actually going to put California as a toss-up b/c all recent polls in the state have Bush leading every Dem candidate.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #683 on: January 17, 2004, 05:03:33 PM »
Clark would lose wisconsin.
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The Trump Virus
GWBFan
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« Reply #684 on: January 17, 2004, 05:04:35 PM »

Hm.  Probably right about that actually...
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #685 on: January 17, 2004, 05:05:17 PM »
Yeah, bush could expose clark's phonieness.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #686 on: January 17, 2004, 05:14:50 PM »
California should come around to the Dems eventually. Let's keep in mind that most undecideds break against the incumbent, so Bush will most likely do worse in some states than current polls predict. But I agree that Clark no longer looks like a strong candidate.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #687 on: January 17, 2004, 05:22:41 PM »
Quote from: Gustaf on January 17, 2004, 05:14:50 PM
California should come around to the Dems eventually. Let's keep in mind that most undecideds break against the incumbent, so Bush will most likely do worse in some states than current polls predict. But I agree that Clark no longer looks like a strong candidate.
CA probably will go Dem but it will be close.
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Platypus
hughento
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« Reply #688 on: January 17, 2004, 05:28:59 PM »
My prediction was Dean/Edwards

New England solidly Democrat (although Maine and NH will be close)

Tennessee will be very close, i think it'll go for Democrats b/c of Edwards
Nevada will go Democrat...just because Tongue

NM will be a tossup, i'm going with the incumbent (Democrat)

Ohio will be close, just in favour of Bush

WV...I think it'll be seeing alot of campaigning from Dean; it's a democrat state that has lost its way recently. He'll bring it back to the fold.

Optomistic, yes; but absolutely possible.

(BTW, of the tossups, 20 evs go to Republicans (Ohio), and 21 to Democrats (TN, NM, WV) so it's not an unfair distribution
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Gustaf
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« Reply #689 on: January 17, 2004, 05:32:33 PM »
Quote from: hughento on January 17, 2004, 05:28:59 PM
My prediction was Dean/Edwards

New England solidly Democrat (although Maine and NH will be close)

Tennessee will be very close, i think it'll go for Democrats b/c of Edwards
Nevada will go Democrat...just because Tongue

NM will be a tossup, i'm going with the incumbent (Democrat)

Ohio will be close, just in favour of Bush

WV...I think it'll be seeing alot of campaigning from Dean; it's a democrat state that has lost its way recently. He'll bring it back to the fold.

Optomistic, yes; but absolutely possible.

(BTW, of the tossups, 20 evs go to Republicans (Ohio), and 21 to Democrats (TN, NM, WV) so it's not an unfair distribution



You also give the Dems other tossups: NH, Maine and Delaware. Wait a minute! DELAWARE? Smiley

Anyway, you marked those as tossups, so it's a 32-20 to the Dems.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #690 on: January 17, 2004, 05:36:44 PM »
I posted my Edwards prediction here somewhere, I have Edwards losing by 14 ev's.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #691 on: January 17, 2004, 05:37:16 PM »
Quote from: Miamiu1027 on January 17, 2004, 05:36:44 PM
I posted my Edwards prediction here somewhere, I have Edwards losing by 14 ev's.

Yeah, I remember that one.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #692 on: January 17, 2004, 05:38:37 PM »
Quote from: Gustaf on January 17, 2004, 05:37:16 PM
Quote from: Miamiu1027 on January 17, 2004, 05:36:44 PM
I posted my Edwards prediction here somewhere, I have Edwards losing by 14 ev's.

Yeah, I remember that one.
If only you remembered the location!!
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Platypus
hughento
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« Reply #693 on: January 17, 2004, 05:39:27 PM »
Yes Delaware will be close Tongue

I forgot about it; all tucked away over there Tongue

Maine and NH will go Democrat if it's Dean; I put them as tossups b/c I didn't want it to look like I was unrealistically favouring the Democrats.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #694 on: January 17, 2004, 05:42:26 PM »
I don't think Dean would take NH.

I think Delaware was originally part of Pennsylvania (I'm talking colonial times) and then broke away from it.  Not sure about that though.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #695 on: January 17, 2004, 05:47:31 PM »
Quote from: Miamiu1027 on January 17, 2004, 05:38:37 PM
Quote from: Gustaf on January 17, 2004, 05:37:16 PM
Quote from: Miamiu1027 on January 17, 2004, 05:36:44 PM
I posted my Edwards prediction here somewhere, I have Edwards losing by 14 ev's.

Yeah, I remember that one.
If only you remembered the location!!

Sorry, I don't. Why don't you start by going through the 47 pages of this thread, before moving on to other threads... Smiley
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #696 on: January 17, 2004, 05:57:38 PM »
How many pages do you think this thread will have by November 2004?  250?
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Gustaf
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« Reply #697 on: January 17, 2004, 06:01:33 PM »
Quote from: Miamiu1027 on January 17, 2004, 05:57:38 PM
How many pages do you think this thread will have by November 2004?  250?

At least.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #698 on: January 17, 2004, 06:16:27 PM »
Quote from: Gustaf on January 17, 2004, 06:01:33 PM
Quote from: Miamiu1027 on January 17, 2004, 05:57:38 PM
How many pages do you think this thread will have by November 2004?  250?

At least.
And how many replies?  3000?

I think posting at this topic will heat up during and after the primaries.

Every forum has a very long thread, and this is ours.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #699 on: January 17, 2004, 06:51:37 PM »
Quote from: Miamiu1027 on January 17, 2004, 06:16:27 PM
Quote from: Gustaf on January 17, 2004, 06:01:33 PM
Quote from: Miamiu1027 on January 17, 2004, 05:57:38 PM
How many pages do you think this thread will have by November 2004?  250?

At least.
And how many replies?  3000?

I think posting at this topic will heat up during and after the primaries.

Every forum has a very long thread, and this is ours.

Yes, definitely. I have seen some statistics from a Swedish group mail-thingy I was on last year, and during the last month before election day the number of messages went sky-high.
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